IS THIS LEGAL ACTION WARRANTED

A few days ago the Ordinary Session of Puntland of House Representatives had opened in Garowe, the Capital of the State, in an atmosphere of peace. By Constitution and tradition, the State President opened the Parliament Session.

As usual, invited dignitaries delivered speeches on the occasion. Suddenly, and inconsistently with the Parliament protocols and tradition for any opening session, an MP, Awil Hassan Daad, rose up on the floor with the explicit permission by the Speaker, and asked the President scathing questions. The President answered the MP’s questions, but got annoyed and stormed out of the Session. By the way, the President was not required legally to stay on in the session after he had delivered his opening speech.

Now, legally, an MP can ask a member of the Executive Branch any question in the public interest. In doing so, there is no crime committed that warrant the Attorney General to issue a legal action against the MP for asking the President hard questions. That MP had a question and the Speaker gave him the floor of the House to ask. He must be safe on the floor.

Besides, the House is co-equal branch of the government and couldn’t be silenced by the Executive Branch or Judiciary.

True, protocols and civility matter in their conduct by all branches of government.

In conclusion, people of Puntland badly need independent public institutions. But, that also applies to the Judiciary to avoid being seen as an Executive tool to silence government critics. Equally, people of Puntland will not tolerate their representatives being used and manipulated by external forces against the vital interests of the people of Puntland.

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Ciise Dholowaa contributed to this article providing legal definitions of Parliament Privileges.

REGULAR SESSION OF PUNTLAND PARLIAMENT OPENS IN GAROWE

October 27, 2019
The Ordinary Session of Puntland House of Representatives opens on schedule. Every peaceful session of the House is a victory and progress for the people and government of Puntland.
Usually, the House Session starts with an Opening Ceremony full of speeches by dignitaries, citations and adoption of legislative agenda of the session. 
What happened yesterday in the Opening Session was out of the ordinary. The Opening Session turned into unscheduled aggressive “question period”. It looked like preemptive strike or ambush by some members of the House against the President. Gentlemen and ladies, it doesn’t work that way.
The Opening Session of the House invites guests, both foreign and local, and it is purely ceremonial for Day One. It is not appropriate for any member of the House to disregard the norms and regulations of the House and turned it into fight with the State President on the first day of the session.
Nevertheless, and under the circumstance, President Deni answered well the member’s provocative questions directly attacking the President  The President, however, seemed to have lost his cool and had stormed out of the Session prematurely and angrily. The President should be the last person to show personal emotions. Yes, he should act in self-defense calmly, appreciative of his position as the Head of the State and Head of the Government. When a President gets annoyed, half of the population gets angry.
Puntland House members should learn the protocols and parliamentarian rules. Question Period is very important to bring the Executive branch into  account, it must be, though, scheduled and properly conducted.
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PUNTLAND FOCUS GROUP WARNING AGAINST TERM EXTENSION BY CURRENT PUNTLAND LEADERSHIP

Press Release (For Immediate Release)

Friday June 22, 2018.


We, the members of Puntland Focus Group  (PFG), express our deep concern about the on-going attempts and political moneuvering by the current leadership of Puntland Administration to extend its Term in Office in gross violation of the State Constitution.


Puntland Focus Group, conveying the democratic choices and desires of the overwhelming majority of the people of Puntland State of Somalia, appeals to Puntland House of Representatives, Traditional leaders, leaders of the Civil societies, public institutions and media, as well as the International Community, to openly come out and oppose this wanton disregard of the Constitution and infringement of people’s civic rights to choose their next members of the House of Representatives and President on January 8, 2019, when the Mandate of Incumbent Administration duly expires. Any Term Extension of any duration  is unacceptable and unwarranted.  

Puntland Focus Group informs Puntland people and the International Community that the incumbent President’s attempt to unconstitutionally seek an additional mandate is premeditated as he failed to fulfill his 2014 election campaign promises and commitment to democratization and multi-party elections in the year 2019.


The PFG unequivocally calls upon the Incumbent President of Puntland State, Dr. Abdiweli Mohamed Ali (Gaas), not to use the present conflict with Somaliland as a pretext and a cynical ploy to delay Puntland Election in 2019. This would constitute a shameful breach of public trust as it is unlawful. 


Puntland Focus Group reminds all concerned of ample historical evidences in Puntland State, whereby similar unlawful actions or attempts by an out-going President to prolong his term in office had led to civil unrests, violence and destabilization.There are no guarantees this will not happen again. We all have an obligation to forewarn our people of such possibilities by unwisely giving in to abuse of power by the present Puntland Head of the Excutive.

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In conclusion, we appeal to the entire population of Puntland State of Somalia to maintain peace and their unity, and, to defend their State patriotically against external and internal security threats.
By PFG members:Cabdi Faarax Saciid (Juxaa)Cabdirisaaq Cabdulahi Jaamac (JanogaleCali Xaaji Warsame Faarax Cali ShireJamiila Saciid MuuseXaji Maxamed Yaasin IsmaaciilCiise Maxamud Faarax (Dhollowaa)Khalif Ciise MudanMaxamud Axmad Xasan (Dhagaweyne)Saciid Cabdullahi DeniDr Maxamed Salaad Qoryooley
Spokesperson Ciise Maxamud Faarax  (Dhollowaa)

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KHALIF SHEIKH MOHAMOUD : THE UNDISPUTED POET OF HIS TIME

Thursday, October 24, 2019

Wardheer News

January 3, 2015

By Ismail H. Warsame 

I met with the late Poet Khalif Sheikh Mohamoud on numerous occasions. He was a modest and humble young man, not keen at talking at all, when he was among his friends, but always attentive, a rather reserved and even shy. Unlike many of the Somali poets, singers, and artists at the time, he did not have any personal vices, or addictions like Qat-chewing or smoking. Politically, he was not a conformist, and often his vision and convictions came into clashes with the Somali Salvation Democratic Front (SSDF) leadership of the day. Khalif always supported the underdog in political and ideological confrontations within the exiled opposition organization. He discretely, but quietly criticized SSDF leaders for poor management of resources and opportunities available to them at the time, and often sided with its opponents within the leadership on the overall conduct of the armed struggle. He was a strategic thinker and seized the events of moment with poems, which had affected and shocked the core of the Somali society like an earthquake. He was a creative genius, who had sparked off a decade of literary renaissance throughout Somalia. He dreamt of a free society, free from dictatorial suppression. He envisioned a nation free to exploit its immense potential, a proud people whose riches are immeasurable. The obstacle to his vision of future Somalia at the time was Siyad Barre’s regime as amply described by his major anti-regime poems.

Yet, when Siyad Barre resorted to and intensified his traditional divisive tactics against Somali society in order to cling to his collapsing power and to counter growing influence and popularity of Khalif Sh. Mohamoud, by encouraging what they then termed as“Ergo Daarood” with a series of poems with the intention of inciting clan hatred and tribal conflictsKhalif Sh. Mohamoud refused to be drawn in, or to respond to the critics of his poems and cause. He had a political vision above the mudane and petty political bickering intended for the survival of the regime. Instead, Khalif let Dhoodaan and others to respond to his critics at the expense of Siyad Barre.

I met Khalif Sheikh Mohamoud in Jijiga for the first time in 1982 in a Somali restaurant with a group of young SSDF activists and fighters. He had just come from Addis Ababa at the time to visit fighters at frontline stations. I was posted there as a Political Officer for our mobilization and propaganda campaigns directed towards Northern Somalia. As we were eating our meals of meat and rice, he suddenly asked me whether I knew the Somali phrase: “Macaan Dharakla”. I answered him with the literal meaning of the phrase as a kind of delicious and favorite piece of meat located at lateral sides of the camel below the hum. Someone from his entourage asked me whether I heard about the poetic verses: “Macaan Dharaklayahay Ceebtu Waa Meheradiinii eh” from the celebrated Khalif’s Poem “Hurgumo”.

Siyad Barre

The Late President of Somalia, Siyad Barre, was reportedly in shock when he heard Poet Khalif Sheikh Mohamud was killed in action in a battle between SSDF fighters and Somalia’s Army in Galdogob in the former’s offensive to capture the District. Although SSDF had succeeded in winning that battle,Poet Khalif was among the fallen fighters , Siyad Barre was reported saying that with the death of Khalif Sheikh Mohamud, SSDF had conclusively lost the war against his regime. No doubt, Siyad Barre was fond of Khalif’s poems, and he was reported many times instructing his aides to hunt and collect all poems of the poet.

Siyad Barre was often seen replaying Khalif’s scathing verses against his repressive regime, especially one citing “Mareexaan, Majeerteen waxay isuyihiin waa iska moogtahay eh …… Mabda’a, siyaasadda xun iyo maamulkaan nacay eh”. A relative of Siyad Barre and one of the last caregivers of the ailing and sick leader in exile in Nigeria, had reported from Siyad Barre’s death bed that Barre was repeatedly saying the name, “Khalif Sheikh Mohamud”, until his last breath before he passed away. The dying leader didn’t explain or was too weak to elaborate what he meant by repeating Khalif’s name. The attendant neither understood at all nor knew Khalif Sh. Mohamoud. One possible explanation or interpretation is that Siyad Barre believed that his dictatorial military regime fell partly due to the powerful influence, popularity, venomous and contagious nature of poems by Khalif Sheikh Mohamoud.

Khalif was a master of both straight and oblique art of poetic communications.

Ismail H. Warsame
WardheerNews Contributor
E-mail: ismailwarsame@gmail.com
Twitter: @ismailwarsame

Ismail H. Warsame is the Former Director of SSDF General Secretariat (1983-1989) and Founding Member and First Chief of Staff of Puntland Presidency (1998-2004).


We welcome the submission of all articles for possible publication on WardheerNews.com. WardheerNews will only consider articles sent exclusively. Please email your article today . Opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of WardheerNews.

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BREAKING NEWS

October 22, 2019

Ahmed Hussen, Canada’s Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship, has just won overwhelmingly his Parliament Seat in Toronto York South-Weston Liberal Party Riding. Congratulations!

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Patriotic trolling: how governments endorse hate campaigns against critics

(Credit: The Guardian)

Carly Nyst

Yassmin Abdel-Magied’s experience matches those of journalists and activists around the world targeted by online hate mobs trying to suppress criticism of those in power

  • Carly Nyst is a technology and human rights consultant
Youth Without Borders founder and Sudanese-born engineer Yassmin Abdel-Magied on the ABC’s Q&A program.

The story is increasingly a familiar one: a journalist or activist speaks out against the status quo, and is confronted with a barrage of abusive and violent remarks online. Public figures, representing the status quo under threat, encourage or endorse the abuse, either through action or inaction. The target of the attack is intimidated into silence. The status quo holds strong.Advertisement

That is the story of Yassmin Abdel-Magied, engineer, writer and social advocate, who was bombarded with hateful Twitter and Facebook posts after several outspoken remarks brought her within the crosshairs of Australian politicians. It is also the story of dozens of other journalists and activists across the world. Each of them has been the target of online hate mobs wielding violent and abusive threats in an attempt to suppress legitimate criticism of those in power.

Antoun Issa Read more

In some countries, the state itself incites such attacks, urging its supporters to exploit the virility and familiarity of social media to amplify government messages and take down dissenting voices. In other cases, the government’s role is more oblique; individual politicians and media personalities fuel online campaigns aimed to discredit critics, while the government leverages the incident for political gain.

Each of these is a case of what we call “patriotic trolling”. An international research coalition, of which I am part, has been studying this phenomena for over a year, working to catalogue and dissect these attacks in an attempt to describe their origins and impacts in a forthcoming report.Advertisement

In countries from Venezuela to Turkey, Ecuador to India, we have documented cases in which journalists and activists have been deliberately targeted with violent, misogynistic and hateful messages online at the behest, or with the endorsement or implicit approval, of the state. Armed with memes and hashtags, and deploying not only abusive language but bots, malware and doxing, patriotic trolls seek to muzzle, discredit and abuse those who criticise or advocate against the status quo.

The attack against Abdel-Magied resembles others we have documented against journalists in China, Finland and India

Abdel-Magied’s case is emblematic of what is arguably the most insidious form of patriotic trolling attacks, in which government-backed actors fuel existing social media campaigns, manipulate public biases, and leverage online abuse for offline intimidation. In Abdel-Magied’s case, a blaze of social media abuse in response to a controversial Anzac Day tweet was further fuelled by a tweet by a member of parliament, George Christensen, who encouraged Abdel-Magied to consider “self-deportation” and called for her firing from a casual presenting position at the ABC. Australia’s immigration minister, Peter Dutton, called the activist a “disgrace” and welcomed the subsequent cancellation of her television show.

The attack against Abdel-Magied resembles others we have documented against journalists in China, Finland and India; like the Australian writer, those journalists were likewise sent death threats, rape threats and videos of beheadings. The attack also contains echoes of patriotic trolling campaigns in Turkey, where pro-government media personalities have sparked Twitter attacks against journalists reporting on the Gezi Park protests and the July 2016 coup attempts.

In Turkey we witnessed the increasing sophistication of patriotic trolling attacks over just a few short years: whereas early attacks were ignited by ruling party figures, over time they have appeared increasingly remote from the government, as the task of inciting and fuelling patriotic trolling attacks shifted to pro-government media proxies.

The auto-virility of patriotic trolling campaigns is one of their most disturbing features: states need only implicitly encourage patriotic trolling campaigns, referencing them with approval or leveraging them for political gain, to create an environment in which online hate mobs will self-ignite and self-sustain in pursuit of the government’s own objectives.Advertisement

The emergence of patriotic trolls puts at risk human rights and values that are critical to the proper functioning of any democracy. Patriotic trolling attacks undermine the rights of individuals to freely impart and receive ideas, of journalists to report free from arbitrary influence, and of activists to live free from invasions of their privacy and personal safety.

 Read more

But these campaigns harbour an even more pernicious import. Among the many promises that technology offers, there is this: as the ability of governments to control information is subverted, despotic regimes will no longer thrive under the cover of media censorship and state propaganda. A worldwide web of internet-connected flashlights will illuminate the dark places where human rights violations multiply and evil flourishes, so the promise goes. With the help of technology we may never see another Pol Pot, another Pinochet, or another Hitler, again.

Yet, although this may be the reality that we want (and, as a privacy advocate, I’m not sure it is), without widespread and radical change, it will certainly not be the reality we get. Instead, governments the world over are co-opting digital technologies to serve their own ends, with perverse consequences for human rights. Having ceded control of information, states are seeking to exploit its abundance: monitoring their citizens online, manipulating social media, spying on journalists and activists and, now, sending online hate mobs after those who would criticise them.

Online platforms and the mainstream media both have a responsibility to deprive patriotic trolling campaigns of the exposure and sensationalism that feeds them. But we, ordinary citizens, also have a role to play; we must take a more critical and investigative eye to what we too often cynically cast as innocuous and isolated instances of online harassment. Otherwise, we may never see another Martin Luther King, another Glenn Greenwald, another Yassmin Abdel-Magied.

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The FARMAAJO’S POPULIST PHENOMENON


OCTOBER 21,

President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo, like Donald J. Trump, is a populist thriving in symbolism, empty slogans on patriotism and revolutionary flavour. Farmaajo became the Prime Minister of Transitional Federal Government under Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed through the lobbying of family connections from Farmaajo’s wife.  He was born to a low-income family, unlike Trump, and raised in Mogadishu. His father, Farmaajo Senior, was a gate-keeper at Public Works Ministry in the civilian Somali government before it was overthrown by General Siyaad Barre of the same sub-clan of Mareexaan as Farmaajo. A military dictatorship, practising nepotism and cronyism gave Farmaajo’s family the first break from poverty. 

As young adolescent, Farmaajo junior and his playmates ran into legal problems. The family had persuaded the Military Despot to post this youth to Foreign Service in the Embassy of the Somali Democratic Republic in Washington DC, thus allowing him to escape from a criminal liability in Mogadishu. He was granted political asylum in the USA as the Somali Government had collapsed in January 1991.

Farmaajo’s formative years had witnessed public deceptive slogans of Siyaad Barre’s “Kacaan” (Revolution), and under-handed operations of the ruling family, whereby secret family consultations were held at night and decisions implemented during the day – frequently sending pre-eminent and public figures to jail in the wee hours of the night, many never coming back to their loved ones. This was widely and extensively practised throughout the existence of the dictatorship for twenty-one years.Thousands had perished in maximum security jails like “labaatan-Jirow”. Many others were purged and destroyed, while hundreds of thousands fled the country to all directions of worldwide for their own safety. Somalia now, even the under the occupation of thousands of foreign troops disguised as AMISOM, doesn’t send out such huge number of refugees, fleeing from repression by their own government as Siyaad Barre’s. Farmaajo has sympathy and antipathy for certain politicians and sub-clans in the country. This personal characteristic explains also his anti-federalist policies and attitude. Welcome to Confederalism! If that wouldn’t solve his problem for good, then only a psychiatrist could try to help him.

Young Farmaajo grew up in the atmosphere of a dictatorship, where kangaroo courts, hand-picked rubber-stamp parliament and personal fear for life, devoid of any civil liberties, were supreme daily occurrences. Unexplainable in Farmaajo’s strange populist phenomenon includes the fact that many young Somalis in the country and within the diaspora, ignorant of the country’s recent ugly history, are engaged in advocacy for N&N deceptive social media misinformation. The sudden erection and unmasking of nationalistic statues in Mogadishu these days to coincide with the anniversary of Siyaad coup d’etat, while the entire country is in dire situation, are powerful tools and deceptive political symbolisms par excellent by a demagogue. The whole exercise is to misdirect the people’s concerns with what is happening with Somalia-Kenya Maritime Dispute.

Fond of specious mask and using propaganda that he stood for the interest of the common man and country in an uninformed and gullible society, and portraying himself as a different patriotic politician, who was paying soldiers on time and caring for the veterans of 1977-1978 Ogaden War with Ethiopia, he rode on a strange phenomenon of rare populism in Mogadishu, and to some extent, Somalia.

His popularity in Mogadishu became apparent after he was unceremoniously fired by joint decisions of Sheikh Sharif Ahmed and Sharif Hassan Adan as result of what is known as the Kampala Accord.

Surprisingly, certain sections of Mogadishu residents led by Murursade, his wife’s sub-clan, employing the grievances of disabled War Veterans occupying Di Martino Hospital, and hired IDPs in Mogadishu camps, rose up in public demonstrations, decrying the dismissal of Farmaajo as the Prime Minister. Mogadishu politicians had noticed Farmaajo’s popularity phenomenon.

Competing factions within President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud Damul-Jadid Government were on loggerheads as who would replace just fired Prime Minister Abdiweli Sheikh, with Fahad Yassin and Farah Abdulkadir competing for influence. Farah Abdulkadir had won the battle, but not the war. Fahad’s anti-Hassan and anti-Farah political campaign had ended up Farmaajo’s win of the Presidency in 2017, when on the eve of the election night, nearly 60 MPs close to Daljir Party suddenly switched from Sheikh Sharif’s Presidential candidacy to Farmaajo’s.

Now that Farmaajo is the President of Somalia, all other branches of the government, the Parliament and Judiciary are as paralyzed as they were during the Regime of Siyaad Barre.This had resulted in total political stalemate in the country. It won’t stay that way. Something has to happen soon. We only pray for the better.


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Correction: an early version of this essay wrote incorrectly “Farmaajo’s election as President in 2016. “Daljir Party” was said to be the face of Union of Islamic Courts supported by Turkey. It was managed by Ahmed Moallim Fiqi during the presidency of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, with the knowledge of Sheikh Sharif, who hooked them up with Turkey. Ahmed Fiqi briefly got appointed Chief of Staff at Villa Somalia before he was pushed out by Fahad Yassin.

Book Promotion

Excerpts from the Introduction of the book, Talking Truth to Power in Undemocratic and Tribal Context

Articles of Impeachment

A collection of short political essays, contemporaneously memorializing Somalia’s recent history in an independent critical analysis.

by Ismail H. Warsame, former Chief of Staff at Puntland State Presidency (1998-2004):

This book of four hundred pages is a timely record of political events in Somalia as they are happening or being debated on. The book could be a good source material for students and teachers learning English as a 2nd language in their composition papers and reporting skills. The book could also enlighten foreign diplomats and politicians on current political issues in Somalia, and efforts being made by Somalis to re-instate and re-construct their failed state. The articles in the book are thought provoking as they are fearless to talk truth to power. They have been enjoying wide readership and circulation in the author’s blog. Many readers, however, advised the author to compile them into hard copy.  I have responded to their requests.

The book has appendices of A to K, capturing historic documents on reviving the nation-state of Somalia.

Foreword by Ambassador Mohamed Ahmed Awil, former Somali Ambassador to the People’s Republic of China.

BREAKING NEWS: SUSPICIOUS, IF NOT BREACH OF TRUST



October 18, 2019

ICJ HEARING OF SOMALIA-KENYA MARITIME DISPUTE DERAILED

The postponement of ICJ hearing of the case until June 2020 is at least suspicious, if not already a breach of public trust. I believe this is the 2nd ICJ postponement of the hearing. But, this time, the situation is different with a cloud of suspicion as what has transpired between Somalia and Kenya under the mediation efforts by the new Nobel Peace Laureate, Prime Minister Abyi Ahmed of Ethiopia.

It looks that a deal on the case has been struck to postpone the ICJ hearing to an unacceptable long period before its suspension and eventual withdrawal from the Court altogether.

President Farmaajo must go live urgently to address this issue and the subsrance of his latest interactions with President Uhuru of Kenya, IGAD Mediation Team and Prime Minister Abyi Ahmed of Ethiopia on the case. There is a rotten fish to smell, so to speak.

Somali people are stunned by the silence of President Farmajo on his multiple secret MoUs, agreements and treaties with Ethiopia. This is very discomforting.

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A WORD OF PRAISE TO SOMALIA’S FORMER PRESIDENTS

October 18, 2019


They say, give the devil his dues. The former Somalia’s Presidents of the Federal Government, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, have become politically mature enough to keep engaged in Somali affairs, irrespective of their political ambitions to seek 2nd chance at the Federal Presidency. That is citizenship. They sought public service to a make a difference. They know they had left huge problems behind and figured out that they still could contribute to a better Somalia. The mere fact that they are still publicly engaged in to help resolve Somalia’s predicaments as active and enlightened citizens of Somalia is highly commendable. Compare them with Abdulqassin Salad Hassan and Ali Mahdi Mohamed. What do you say to that?


Also engaged and still  politically active is  former federal Prime Minister, Ali Mohamed Geedi. He deserves praise for still getting involved in fixing Somalia. Compare him with the two Abdiwelis, CCC and Saacid. Are they even comparable to him? I know they would say that they had had their term and they couldn’t meddle in other politician’s mandate. But, we all know that they are still politically as ambitious as Farmaajo and Khayre.


Former President of Puntland State, Senator Abdirahman Faroole, turned out to fare far better politically speaking, and in terms of good citizenship than the two Abdiwelis, CCC and Saacid combined. Would you argue?


In fact, one could argue that those politicians, who have turned out to be indifferent to Somalia’s plight and daily suffering and struggles of the citizens, after they were rewarded with the full trust of the masses in the highest offices of the land, were fake and selfish, in the first place. Do you agree? 

It is rather disappointing as it is surprising that even Abdirahman Abdishakur Warsame is doing a much better job in Somalia’s politics than a bunch of our former prime ministers and state presidents.


Have your say.


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CLANDESTINE OPERATIONS BY N&N MANAGERS

October 15, 2019

Now that N&N have successfully disabled all public institutions, including the Parliament and Judiciary, and having most Federal Member States of Galmudugg, Southwest and Hirshabelle irreparably destroyed, it is time for N&N to launch a clandestine operation on how to implement a digital project of stealing people’s votes nationwide through digital fraud in 2020/21.


We have warned the public and covered this N&N policy projection for 2020/21 general election in  previous articles of  Warsame Digital Media WDM. The clandestine registration of voters in most urban centres of Somalia is well underway as it has been going-on for a while with secret registration units or cells operating in all regions of Somalia, including Puntland.


Surprisingly, the Chairwoman of the Federal Electoral Commission, Halima Yarey, was forthcoming to confirm this fraudulent registration project of would-be voters nationwide. Listen to her in the video recording of her most recent interview below.

This is a wake-up call for the members of Puntland Electoral Committee as well as Puntland Government.


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Halima Yarey

ON JUBALAND, NOW MADOOBE FORCEFULLY RE-INSTALLED 3RD TIME,  WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?

October 13, 2019


So, Ahmed Madoobe is proclaimed President of Jubaland for 3rd time, now three times consecutively, in exchange for the destruction of Jubaland natural environment and perinnial rainforest, turning the entire vinicity and Kismayo Port black with coal ashes; with extremists still occupying entire Jubaland, save Kismayo City, which still enjoys the administration of warlordism and one-man show, with the extra security threat this time around to Somalia’s sovereignty and territorial integrity from Kenya at mercy of autistic-like political leader at the helm of the Federal Government of Somalia.


Was the whole purpose of Madoobe’s Inauguration involves in doing more harm to the causes of the residents of jubaland and Somalia under the incompetent, short-sided, selfish and vengeful leadership of Farmaajo-Khayre feeble and pity dictators? 


Where do we go now from here to try to fix this mess created by Farmaajo Team?


Read what the Ethiopian intellectuals and scholars are concluding on FGS, in their October 2019 CDRC DIGGEST Journal, Vol 4 No 4:


“This is similar to how the Islamic Courts Union dealt with their opponents to emerge as the sole power in Southern Somalia from 2005 until early 2007. Currently the SFG is facing a dual challenge: addressing the threats that Al-Shabaab poses on the one hand and asserting itself as the de facto and de jure government of the entire country and the federal member states on the other.


 It appears that the SFG has yet to show progress on both fronts. The assault it has waged on the FMS has created fault lines that Al-Shabaab is manipulating. The situation of the Sourhwest, Galmudug and Hir-Shebelle states and the strength that AlShabaab is showing indicate these fault lines. Puntland and Jubaland have survived the onslaught of the SFG and are reasserting themselves in their respective areas of control, although the SFG is trying to asphyxiate them, Jubaland in particular. But these confrontations will not help either the SFG or these contesting FMS, as resources spent on self-defense and attacks could have been used to strengthen each other against a common enemy”


Prime Minister Abyi Ahmed of Ethiopia has just won the Nobel Peace Price for job well done for the entire Region, while President Farmaajo is being accusing of dismembering his own country and allowing extremists to multiply and get bolder under his watch.


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CDRC: Developments in Somalia and the role of Somalia in regional integration

OCTOPBER 2019 VOL. 4 NO. 4

“The changes in Ethiopia and the rapprochement with Eritrea created an opportunity for Somalia’s Federal Government to join a tripartite effort towards economic integration. It is very well known that Somalia has yet to establish a government that fully exercises a monopoly of coercion in the entire country, and there are a number of Federal Member States (FMS) that have resisted dictation from the current officials of the Somalia Federal Government. This tension emerged following the election of the current officials of the SFG in 2017. The FMS had created alliances to show strength and make a better deal with the SFG, but the SFG preferred to weaken the states individually through coercion or inducements. Rather than engaging them as a united front, the SFG opted to deal with them one by one and try to fragment their alliances. The SFG has succeeded to some extent and has changed the leadership in some of the FMS, and eventually ensured that the alliances the FMS created are no longer functional. This is similar to how the Islamic Courts Union dealt with their opponents to emerge as the sole power in Southern Somalia from 2005 until early 2007. Currently the SFG is facing a dual challenge: addressing the threats that Al-Shabaab poses on the one hand and asserting itself as the de facto and de jure government of the entire country and the federal member states on the other. It appears that the SFG has yet to show progress on both fronts. The assault it has waged on the FMS has created fault lines that Al-Shabaab is manipulating. The situation of the Sourhwest, Galmudug and Hir-Shebelle states and the strength that AlShabaab is showing indicate these fault lines. Puntland and Jubaland have survived the onslaught of the SFG and are reasserting themselves in their respective areas of control, although the SFG is trying to asphyxiate them, Jubaland in particular. But these confrontations will not help either the SFG or these contesting FMS, as resources spent on self-defense and attacks could have been used to strengthen each other against a common enemy. Obviously, if the SFG had created a framework of cooperation with all the Federal Member States, the war on AlShabaab and the creation of governance institutions that will allow the government to slowly exercise a monopoly of coercion legally would have been easy to achieve. If the international community cannot push this, it will not help Somalia consolidate its achievements. There is no doubt that the Somalia Federal Government with the support of the international community is trying to exercise its de jure legitimacy. But this effort has yet to bring the necessary result since the leadership does not seem to have used a wise approach with the Federal Member States such as engaging them in dialogue to create a common platform for joint governance and consolidate peace elsewhere. Eventually the SFG could claim the progress in these administrations as its own success. The new leadership of the SFG that came to 8 CDRC DIGEST OCTOPBER 2019 VOL. 4 NO. 4 power in 2017, rather than following a process of institution-building on the basis of existing structures and nurturing federalism and coordinating itself with the regional administrations, opted to undermine the Federal Member States and impose itself on them. Rather than considering them as partners of governance and jointly addressing the threats of Al-Shabaab and ISIS, the confrontation with the FMS created more opportunities for the extremist groups to manipulate the fault lines between the SFG and the FMS. And while some of the regional administrations have succumbed to the intrusions of the SFG leadership, others have resisted and survived. For example, the effort to influence the elections in Puntland and Jubaland faltered, while the SFG succeeded with the support of local actors and others from the neighborhood in unraveling some of the achievements of the FMS in Galmudug, Southwest State, and HirShebelle. The SFG successfully imposed its own president on the Southwest after jailing Muktar Robow, and it dismantled the Galmudug administration. The recent agreement with Ahlu Suna Wal Jamaa is not going anywhere although millions of dollars have changed hands. Obviously, the SFG will sway the upcoming election in Galmudug in its favor. But this may not ensure a long-term and sustainable peace, and might create further crisis instead. Since the area was the first that challenged al-Shabaab leadership and broke the myth regarding the group, and being adjacent to Ethiopia’s buffer zone one cannot ignore the challenge it poses and hence needs a serious follow up. Given these realities, the possible role of the SFG is the regional integration scheme needs a scrutiny. As indicated earlier, the changes in Ethiopia and the rapprochement that followed with Eritrea created an opportunity to bring the Somalia Federal Government onboard for regional integration. But this goodwill might have complicated the situation in Somalia as the SFG misused the effort to undermine the FMS. Two consecutive meetings that were held in Asmara and Gondar between the leaders of the three countries emboldened Farmajo and his colleagues to take aggressive and forceful measures to assert themselves on the ground through destabilizing the FMS that were in the process of transition through elections or setting up better administrative apparatuses. It appears that the SFG has been advised to reverse federalism in Somalia. But this is not an easy feat. In actual fact, rather than contributing to regional integration by mobilizing the regional administrations to consolidate peace and security, the SFG is using the tripartite framework as a source of power and external legitimacy to intimidate the FMS. Eritrea’s leaders consider federal structures as balkanization of Somalia and do not support federal arrangements. The Eritrean leaders have encouraged the SFG leadership to destroy the federal structures in Somalia. Since the leaders of Eritrea have a very hostile attitude towards federalism in general, including in their own country, it would not be too surprising if these suspicions were found to be well-grounded based on Somalia’s experience and SFG’s actions. Even if one contests the application of federalism in Somalia, one should look at the challenges in a manner that considers facts on the ground and the way most 9 CDRC DIGEST OCTOPBER 2019 VOL. 4 NO. 4 administrations are created. Hence more emphasis should be made on how to support Somalis create frameworks of dialogue for institutional development that Somalis can eventually build consensus around. Somali leaders should refrain from using external leverage to force changes that are not sustainable and lead the country to further fragmentation. Moreover, protests are heard regarding the benefits of, for example, clanbased power sharing in the country. The 4.5 formula—a framework was put in place in a reconciliation conference in Djibouti in 2000 and one that ensures equal representation to all the major clans and fair representation to the remaining ‘minority’ clans—might not be an optimal arrangement and may reveal a number of fault lines. But as a framework of power sharing, it had solved part of Somalia’s problems. It has also expanded the relatively peaceful areas and developed them as local administrative mechanisms. These local level structures have also facilitated indigenous governance institutions that have immensely contributed to uprooting extremist groups. It should be emphasized that these processes have created beneficiaries and losers and that those who have benefited have the capacity to sustain them. But when the SFG introduces huge financial inducements, fault lines widen and affect the equilibrium existing on the ground. Although the SFG claims to provide a unitary governance structure in Somalia, most Somalis may feel that federalism is helping to address some of the fault lines as well as the decentralization of power that Somali communities resent when a single community or clan overuses nationalism. The contestation between these divergent views will continue to consume resources and energy in the country. Given the local contestation in Somalia between the SFG and the FMS, the positions taken by opposing communities in support of this or that group further deepen existing fault lines. The export of the Gulf crisis into Somalia that is witnessed in the support of contesting local actors financially and logistically will worsen the situation further, making the SFG’s effort to assert itself in Somalia an uphill struggle. The recent election in Jubaland and the failure of the SFG to influence the process to its liking has further complicated the situation. The embargo that the SFG imposed on Kismayo will affect the normal life of the population there. The positions the regional actors and governments took regarding the election in Jubaland added fuel to the fire. These differences further complicate the upcoming election in Mogadishu for the new leadership, since the recent difference between the SFG and Jubaland leadership is the beginning of the contest of the 2020/21 elections. Puntland and Jubaland have boycotted the ongoing Somalia Partnership Forum, which will eventually affect the role of the partners, which could be sanctioned by the SFG. These complex factors will prevent the SFG leadership from contributing its share to regional integration and overall peace and security in the Horn. The capacity of the SFG to address the challenges of Al-Shabaab, without having a clear roadmap to bring Somalia’s actors together, is feeble. The major strategy therefore should be to ensure that the SFG and the FMS sort their 10 CDRC DIGEST OCTOPBER 2019 VOL. 4 NO. 4 differences amicably and aim to address bigger challenges Somalia is facing”

SOMALIS, HAVE ANOTHER TYPE OF ELECTION!


October 12, 2019


Have you ever heard an Arab man’s comedy story about a snoring colleague?  جىب نوم التانى, which roughly translates into “have another type of sleep”.


You could also ask Somalis to have another type of election. The old method through clan selection sounds like that snoring Arab man. It isn’t credible anymore. All past selections in Federal Member States are discredited, including of those of Puntland, which became a reference point and role model for all political bad actors of the rest of FMS.


Another type of election could come only by doing the hard and honest work of preparing people for general elections through the ballot-box. To do that, it requires selfless leadership to make history, and leaders, who, the potential outcomes of those elections couldn’t deter their determination to see that through.


Mature democracies hold elections not because they want specific candidates to win, but because elections are the only instruments to prevent political stalemate, gridlocks and societal unrests. Transparent elections give people free choices to blame only themselves, if their choices result in bad leadership, therefore they would think wisely next time around, thus establishing a tradition of democracy and peaceful transfer of power.


Somalis, have another type of election!


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SIGNIFICANT AFRICAN BREAKTHROUGH – CELEBRATE 

OCTOBER 11, 2019

The winning of Nobel Peace Price by Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2019, Abyi Ahmed, is a significant development for the people’s of East Africa. The news shall dramatic positive impact on the present and future leaders of the Horn and entire African continent in regard to governance and bold selfless leadership.

I had a number of debates with people, who thought that Mr Ahmed was too hasty in his reform programs and quick outreach to Ethiopia’s real and perceived enemies. My argument was based on the thinking that if he weren’t quick in his pace of change in Ethiopia, he wouldn’t survive to see the results of his policy initiatives. There were too many people in the Ethiopian establishment wanted him fail or get him eliminated. He had to act faster to get them sidelined first.
The outcome of being “too hasty” is today’s announcement of the Nobel Price for leadership.

I also often encounter people, who likewise criticize US Congresswoman, Ilhan Omar, for getting into issues of non of her business. I disagree. She has made history in the US legislature already, American society and the world. Somalis, too, are proud of Ms. Omar. Many other peoples of the world are empressed by Omar’s achievements and talents. Even Israel is surprised by Omar’s challenge to its unfair treatment of Palestians in the occupied territories and its powerful influence in US politics.

Don’t get surprised if she becomes next in line for the Price.

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ANOTHER TURNING POINT IN SOMALIA’S GOVERNANCE


October 11, 2019


Since the adoption of the Provisonal Charter of 2004, a political battle has been raging on between federalists and centralists. A turning point in that political war came to half-way win for the federalists in confronting then former FGS President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, who had eventually capitulated to the formation of Jubaland. That was a strong message to the centralists that the clock couldn’t be turned backed to the departing position of one city-state status.


President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and his team of Damul-Jadiid had no choice, but to rush up a centrally sponsored formation of Hirshabelle and re-invigrated Galmudugh, as there was a political panic among Hawiye, as they saw themselves being left behind as the rest of Somalia had embraced upon federalism.


The centralists, however, didn’t give up their political struggle to turn the tide of popular desire for decentralization, even after formation of federal member states of Southwest, Hirshabelle and Galmudugh. They had to think of another way to continue the fight against federalists. Since they assumed the Daroods were spearheading the new notion of federalism, they had to find a Darood leader willing to sacrifice his constituency, like Siyaad Barre, for the position of a nominal presidency in Somalia. They struck gold in President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo, a Mogadishu born politician of former military regime, whose italian nickname, Farmaajo (cheese), sounds sweet to the residents of Banadir.


Farmaajo, heavily promoted and advertised by centralists, once elected under limelight of popular welcome, immediately started a war against what was supposed to his own power-base in Somalia’s clan politics, just in the same manner his former late boss ran things from Mogadishu then, while trying very hard to unravel the gains of the 2nd Republic. The only difference is that Farmaajo had deceptively chased out even the Marehans to project an inital image that they too aren’t welcome in Villa Somalia.


Regardless of whether the recent Jubaland election was properly and legally conducted or not, the bigger issue was that the centralists were using Farmaajo in the same way they were using HSM then. It looks that Jubaland is another turning point, again, that Somalia resists the temptation to restore one city-state dictatorship. 


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THE DEBATE IS ON CONFEDERALISM NOW, NOT FEDERALISM ANYMORE.

October 9, 2019

Those, who are still talking about Federalism in Somalia are way behind the times. Federalism is history here, at least in the minds of Somali thinkers. That is because N&N Government managers have been interpreting federalism to mean nothing more than a dictatorship by a city-state in the same way former Somali leaders ruled, until the fall of the Military Regime in 1991.

The debate is now raging on, on how to implement a fair and reliable governance formula consistent with Somali values as confederal system.

Confederation is a term understandable to most Somalis as confederate clans existed throughout Somali history. Raxanweyn or digil&Mirifle, Isaaq, Cawl-Yahan of Ogaden etc, are all confederate clans respectively, not blood-related. They are purely political confederates – even Hawiye is a confederate of clans.

Now, we are debating on macro-confederates at state level based on Somali traditional history and anthropology to officially formulate confederalism as the most suitable system of government.

As a starting point, the Provisional Federal Constitution must be revised to reflect on that reality with constitutionally defined powers for the shared central authority and confederal member states.

The future prime ministers of the shared central authority of Somalia should come from confederal member states on rotational order at consultations of confederal member states and the shared Somali central authority. The President of the shared central authority should be elected by all confederal member states in a national electoral process through one-person-one-vote. Choosing one of the leaders of confederal member states includes in this arrangement. Example, Dubai Ruler, Sheikh Mohammed, is the Prime Minister of UAE.

Confederalism is a native idea whose time and yours have come at right moment. Seize it.

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TALK TRUTH TO POWER

ANNOUNCEMENT

Title of the book: TALK TRUTH TO POWER

The Freedom of the Press in Somalia in Articles of Impeachment

By Ismail H. Warsame

Coming up soon.

MADOOBE INAUGURATION AND PUNTLAND DILEMMA


October 7, 2019


There is no doubt that Ahmed Madoobe’s election or self-election, depending on your perspective, is contraversial. The international Community led by the Representative of the UN Secretary-General to Somalia, James Swan, had yet to welcome the result of Jubaland Election. IGAD member countries, save Kenya, didn’t endorse it. Puntland State has good working relationships with those international partners and IGAD Member States, including Kenya.


Puntland’s interests come first before Jubaland’s, unless you think they are the same. Puntland Government should weigh this before venturing out to send a delegation to Kismayo. So far, Puntland Government had managed the dispute between FGS and Jubaland well. President Deni cannot afford to act in the same way Sheikh Sharif, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Sharif Hassan do. These politicians are, only not in opposition, but they also hold no positions of public responsibilities.


On the one hand, sending a Puntland delegation to Kismayo would have political consequences on which Puntland ought to consider carefully in regards to her relationships with other partners, including future cooperation with the Federal Government. Here, Puntland’s interest overwheighs all other considerations, emotions and sympathy for Jubaland.


On the other hand, not sending a delegation to Kismayo has optical and political negativities for Puntland State. However, if the Speaker of Puntland House of Representatives could participate in the Inauguration of Omar Finish as the New Mayor of Mogadishu, why is he not able to lead a Puntland delegation to Kismayo now?


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INDIRECT RULE OR CONTAINMENT OF SOMALIA


October 5, 2019


The international community, including her neighbours consider Somalia dangerous, not because of the extremists she produces, foreign radicals she hosts or sending huge refugees to the Western World. These can be easily defeated or managed as they aren’t more difficult than those in Syria or Iraq. Somalia is regarded dangerous because of the characters of her people. From her colonial rulers and observers to the present Somali Partners’ Forum, the conclusion is keeping Somalia under indirect rule or containment, taking clue from past colonial anthropologists, explorers, travelers, administrators and leaders of colonial powers of Great Britain, Italy and France as well as historically hostile neighbors of Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, and even Tanzania, which has no borders with Somalia, and lately Djibouti, exploiting the spoils of collapsing Somali Central Government.


As the Somali Central Government had failed in 1991, the International Community had set up the Somali Aid Coordinating Body, the SACB, to direct and manage the problems of  Somalia, basically taking over the sovereignty of the Somali State. As the Transitional Federal Government of the Somali Republic, TFG, was elected in 2004, the Somali Coordinating and Monitoring Committee, CMC, was created immediately to hang on to Somali sovereignty and not letting it go. That is why the TFG couldn’t operate. Somali Partners’ Forum is the similar grouping as SACB with just different friendly name, doing the same function of indirect rule of Somalia.


The common character of these groups, specifically designed to handle Somalia, is their lack of accoubtability. They aren’t accountable to anyone. They have no common address. Their membership is difficult to know as International NGOs and foreign security services often take part in their activities. They often issue no-reply statements. They always take advantage of high turn-over of naive and inexperienced Somali leaders. The problem is that Somalia, in her desperate humanitarian, governance and security situations, needs the individual countries and organizations that make up such Western oranizations as they need or interested in Somalia too.


In my personal capacity as representative of Puntland Government then, I had to reject the decisions and letters from SACB at the time, reiterating the fact that Puntland was not signatory to 1993 Addis Ababa Treaty on creating the SACB, its Code of Conduct and Policy Paper On Working With Responsible Somali Authorities. In 1993, only Somaliland existed. The rest of these “Responsible Authorities” were traditional leaders, local NGOs and other civil societies, if any.

The reasoning behind the mindset of these foreign organizations is based on historical writings of Richard Burton, Sir Richard Ellot, Enrico Cerrulli,  I.M. Lewis, Gerald Hanley and others, descriping Somalis as proud, firecely independent, extremely intelligent and violent by nature. If not contained and marginalized, they would move beyond their native borders to own up entire East Africa first, after which they could surprise the rest of the world. Their danger lies in the fact that they consider themselves more equal than the white European people. To paraphrase one British colonial administrator of East Africa, the white man couldn’t accept a black man, who thinks he is superior than the European man. They should be contained within the borders of Jubaland. Take a listen to Sir Richard Eliot:


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YouTube credit: Ramad TV

TANZANIA ON LIMITATIONS OF CONTINENTAL SHELF WITH SOMALIA

It is Somalia and Tanzania to regulate the intersection or overlap of their continental shelves. Kenya is out of the matter as it doesn’t have a Continental shelf.

A DANGEROUS UN SITE IN GAROWE TO AVOID


October 3, 2019

I was driving west on my way to a joint inauguration of new traditional leader, Ali Said Samater and Chief Elder, Adirizak Haji Awil Isse, of Omar Muse, sub-clan of Dir clan, in Puntland State of Somalia.

Before reaching my destination at Hiddo-Raac resort, about 20 Kms off to the west of Garowe, the State Capital of Puntland, I had to stop in the way. To dress up for the event, I had to put on my suit tie, which was in the gloves compartment of my vehicle. I came to halt at a free space between the compound of UNPOS Garowe and Amal Bank. Unaware that this spot was the most dangerous in town. I was putting on my suit tie, when a uniformed man approached my vehicle cautiously to make sure that I wasn’t exploding in a suicide bomb-blast.

In a saddened voice, and perhaps, silently thanking Allah for my safety, he asked me “what are you doing here”, after I pulled down my side window? I said nothing other than “what is wrong here”? He asked me, “don’t you see you are on the cross-hairs of a gun”? “What”? I looked up at my left. Exactly, there was a guard on the top of UNPOS compound, aiming at me, ready to shoot to kill. I quickly drove away, not daring to signal left, moving improperly onto the road. Momentarily, I glanced at guard still aiming at me. I was extremely lucky. Allah meant me to live on. Paradoxically, the New Sultan is a local employee of the UN.

There were a number of times that I had noticed UN security personnel were over-reacting and engaged in unproportional security precautions that make Garowe look like Mogadishu. I understand that there were a few security incidents in as many years during the entire existence of Puntland, but not to that extent that the UN Garowe is show- casing now in a peaceful city. Garowe is much safer than the Nairobi they are fond of. I fully understand, however, UN presence in Garowe, as in any other town in Somalia, justifies their employment and careers in a way a Nairobi security incident couldn’t impact them, but, they are too over-protective, triger-happy and security paranoid to endanger innocent lives by accident.

Glad to inform you that the inauguration of Sultan Cali Said Samater and Elder Abdirisaaq Xaaji Cawil, went exceedingly well with the attendance of large group of Puntland prominent traditional leaders, elders and large crowd of popular supporters. Congratulations to the traditional leaders of Cumar Muuse, Dir, Puntland!

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PUNTLAND: ABSENCE OF COHERENT STATE POLICY


October 3, 2019


Could anybody pinpoint the policy objectives of Puntland Government on the way forward locally and nationally? If you can do, share these policy goals with us.


I don’t see a Policy Paper on what Puntland State is doing or intends to do for all its residents to know and work towards achieving these objectives involving socio-economic targets; formulating State policy towards the rogue policies of the Federal Government; General Election 2020/21; its relationships and coordination with other Federal Member States; working with international partners and organizations; security and stability of Puntland State, among other issues of vital importance.


Puntland State seems unable or reluctant to formulate adequately a coherent policy on her political differences with the Mogadishu Regime, thus creating a confusion in the minds of Puntland people as from whom they take the political lead in going forward with regards to Somali national and local affairs. It looks that the State is in permanent political limbo situation. This is isn’t acceptable as it is dangerous – citizens not knowing where their country is heading to, how to help the State and what to hope for.

 
President Said Abdullahi Deni and his administration officials should know that the status quo is no longer acceptable, and that Puntland couldn’t stay put to wait for something happening to her, instead of Puntland State leading something to happen and shaping its future and that of Somalia.


There should be a White Paper on Puntland’s political objectives and actions to back them up. This should come out upon studies and thoughtful deliberations to produce serious policy alternatives on pressing issues of the State and Somalia. There should be mass communication strategy to inform Puntland general public and that of the people of Somalia and international community. Get the confusion and dilemmas out of the way. Puntland shouldn’t be playing Proverbial Ostrich.

“Finally, it is highly recommendable to recall all Puntland representatives, members of Federal Parliament and the Senate to come home for urgent consultations as a first step to work out a new Puntland strategic policy”


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LOGIC OR CRITICAL THINKING?

ARE YOU AWARE OF THIS FROM N&N GOVERNMENT?

N&N 2020 Election Strategy Roadmap. People will vote nationwide online? Are you kidding? Read their presentation at international forum.

GOING ROGUE AGAIN

October 2, 2019

Going rogue again to do more harm to the consolidation of a united 2nd Republic of Somalia.

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WHO IS OPPOSING SOMALI NATIONAL RECONCILIATION?

These are serious obstacles to national unity. In the end, this constituency could be responsible for the breakup of Somalia”

​0ctober 1, 2019

How come Somalis aren’t asking the most obvious and key question to all current predicaments of Somalia? Doesn’t it look like a weird behaviour of a medical doctor not interested in diagnosing the sickness of his/her patients suffer from, while prescribing medical remedies?

Have you ever asked yourself about this vitally important question of national significance that could make or break Somalia? Don’t you think that this is the over-arching problem, its solution of which is the panacea to resolve all problems?

You guessed, it is a national reconciliation without which Somalia could never rise up again. Mark my words here. There is a vicious civil war, bordering on genocide, and not being followed by national reconciliation efforts.

But, who is refusing to swallow that powerful medicine in the vital interests of Somalia? Think hard about whom?

There are obvious forces opposing a Somali National Reconciliation Process.

Here they are:

(A) Hawiye/Banadir leaders

Most Somali presidential contesters hail from Hawiye/Banadir Region because of the proximity to the Capital City and using it as their stronghold. 1. Their political constituency prefers to keep the status quo for economic and political reasons. 2. National Reconciliation is a complex process requiring (a) long term, huge national efforts, sustainable policies and programs (b) Material compensation and return of misappropriated public and private properties (c) Repentance for wrong-doing (d) Fair administration of justice and regulations to prevent such crimes never happening again (e) Special Status for the Capital City of Mogadishu as State property, never to be claimed on tribal basis again. Any Hawiye leader wouldn’t accept these preconditions in exchange for national reconciliation. These are serious obstacles to national unity. In the end, this constituency could be responsible for the breakup of Somalia.

(B) Non-Hawiye leaders

Any non-Hawiye leader in Mogadishu has little or no say in Banadir affairs, and for reasons of political self-preservation, he/she doesn’t want to rock the boat for the duration of their short stints in office.

(C) Predatory Banadir Business community

They are the real economic, security and political power, not only in Mogadishu, but also in entire Somalia, Northwest Regions included. They don’t want to give up these powers through national reconciliation and strong public institutions.

(D) Islamists

Various Islamist factions grew prosperous, influential and independent in the absence of Somali government. They had thrived in the power vacuum. Most aren’t interested in Government regulations and functioning public institutions to avoid supervision over their activities. Islamists have been focusing on religious fundamentalism, education without subjects of Somalia’s context and history, and economic sectors.

(E) Humanitarian and Aid Industry 

These organisations prefer conditions in Somalia that help their aid and humanitarian appeal to be effective. Problems of hunger, diseases and insecurity is, perhaps, all they need to be relevant. That is not because they wish ill-will for Somalia, but that is the nature of their employment and professional careers. Good governance and strong public institutions are bad news for them.

(F) Federal Members States

Most leaders of FMS have no national vision as they are also struggling for their own political survival from threats of their selfish colleagues at national level. As incompetent as most may appear, they are also busy counting the passing days of their term in office. 

(G) Somali Pseudo-Intellectuals

These are superficial intellectuals, who have never been accused of engaging in deep societal studies, do more harm than good in confusing the general public. They also mislead the international community by distorting realities in Somalia. They are part of the problem in dividing the masses.

These are the forces in the way of national reconciliation, based on observations, recent history and Mogadishu political conundrum.

Have your say.

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