August 15, 2019

Whatever the outcome of Jubaland political conundrum, it will never be the same again. Jubaland political and clan conflicts had started with the regime of Siyad Barre in the 1970s with the destabilization of a peaceful community by imposing provocative and draconian fascist personal laws under severe suppression of human rights to uproot the traditional residents of Kismayo. General Aideed and USC-NSA took Siyad Barre’s lead to finish the job of clan cleansing, followed by mayhem of clan conflicts and permanent state of civil strive and marauding militia of barbaric culture. This gave way to the birth of unholy alliance of Marehan and Habar-gedir units of substance- addicted bandits and mooryaans of Central Somalia, the Juba Valley Alliance (JVA) led by warlords, Barre Hiiraale, Yusuf Mire Seraar and Goobaale.

Jubalanders’ suffering continued with the occupation of Al-Shabab and Alqaeda extremists led by Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, Hassan Dahir Aweys and Ahmed Madoobe. UIC in Mogadishu and Kismayo had attacked Baydhaba, the Seat of TFG. from South and East.That is when Ahmed Madoobe was taken prisoner by the Ethiopians, wounded in fighting along the UIC forces. These were later dethroned in 2006 by the combined forces of Ethiopia and Transitional Federal Government (TFG). However, a group of Al-Shabab led by Hassan Turkey filled the vacuum in Kismayo temporarily.

Ahmed Madoobe out of Ethiopian prison under mysterious circumstances, and heading a brute battalion of Ras Gambooni Brigade as remnants and splinter group of the Union of the Islamic Courts (UIC), and Kenyan Defence Force (KDF) as part of AMISOM over-ran Kismayo.

Larger UIC had retreated to the countryside to re-group now as Al-Shabab, Alqaeda and ISIS to engage in urban and roadside terrorism.

Ahmed Madoobe had managed to declare himself President of Jubaland with Kenyan help and Ethiopian blessing as their former rehabilitated and high profile prisoner. Madoobe is set now to disprove the Somali Political Doctrine that no out-going leader could return to power. But, he acts the same way Hiiraale and Morgan had acted before him, just another warlord stuck in the Port-city of Kismayo, supervising Al-Shabab destructive operations of turning Jubaland jungle into charcoal for profit.

There is no limit to the suffering of the residents of Jubaland, Kismayo, in particular.