https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2021/apr/21/somalias-rival-factions-spread-across-mogadishu-as-they-jockey-for-power

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Illegal extension of his four-year mandate has soured his relations with Western donors and international organizations. He had to look elsewhere for support in sustaining his unlawful regime. He has contemplated about two fronts to by-pass Western impending sanctions – Arab world and African Union. Both fronts are showing diminishing returns for his pet projects.

First, Arab countries don’t want to be seen openly propping up illegitimate leader, who had ignored the wishes of his own people for free and fair elections. Arab leaders know they would be sanctioned for openly supporting Farmajo, who has just lost constitutional legitimacy to continue to be president of Somalia. Secondly, the African Union is a major regional block of the international community, working closely and interacting with other world and international blocks such as the UN, European Union, among many others. The current yearly AU Chairperson, President Felix of DRC, has rejected Farmajo’s request for recognition of unconstitutional extension of later’s stint in Villa Somalia. Instead, President Felix counter-proposed AU intervention in Somalia’s political crisis through dialogue with all parties to the electoral impasse. Embarrassed, Farmajo had to accept Felix’s offer. It, however, backfired on him, when Somalis discovered how naive he was as all Somalis were ready to sit with him to sort out their problems and find Somali-driven and owned solutions.

Thirdly, President Felix of DRC had his own agenda as the AU Chair – mediating Farmajo and Kenyatta on their diplomatic breakdown due to maritime dispute and Farmajo’s claim of Kenya’s interference in the internal affairs of Somalia.

Farmajo’s recklessness, brinksmanship, shenanigans and total disregard for the rule of law in Somalia have been sadly exposed.

George Floyd killing: Former police officer Derek Chauvin guilty of murder https://ground.news/article/8d0cc629-15e1-4076-868d-2525ae9c4ffc

Somalia: Informal Interactive Dialogue : What’s In Blue : Security Council Report https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/2021/04/somalia-informal-interactive-dialogue.php#.YH5s1EUA790.whatsapp

A Rare Evening at Bar Saqajaan

Back in my boarding school days at Banadir Secondary School in Mogadishu, three of my childhood friends and I often hung out together after study hours. The school compound housed many Soviet teachers—disciplined, reserved, and highly trained educators, sent on secondment from their institutions to practice their English.

Life at the boarding school had its share of hardships, and one of the worst was the food. The dining hall was notorious for serving bad, tasteless meals. Many students complained of heartburn from the nutritionless diet. Our rice dinners were so sticky and solid that we nicknamed them “cement”—if you overturned your plate, the contents wouldn’t fall off.

Given this dire situation, students needed extra pocket money for an occasional early-evening escape to town for tea with milk. But not all of us could afford it every day.

One evening, we scraped together enough pennies for four cups of tea and two Rothmans cigarettes. We made our way to a little teashop that our school principal, Saleman Gaal—now the Chairman of the Somaliland Senate (the Guurti)—mockingly called Bar Saqajaan. (“Saqajaan” is a derogatory Somali term for someone of bad behavior.)

Our tight-knit group of four was ready to savor every sip and puff. Anshur, the oldest among us, hailed from the village of Buhodle in Togdher, near the Ethiopian border (now part of Puntland’s Ayn region). As we shared a cigarette, he took noticeably longer drags than his co-owner. The other protested, “Hey, you’re taking more than your share!” Without missing a beat, Anshur replied, “Let me puff enough to reach all the way to Buhodle!” We erupted in laughter.

After our tea and meager dose of nicotine, everyone felt content—except for Sharif, who came from the coastal town of Brava. Back home, he loved eating bursalid, a rich, oily Somali baked dough. At Bar Saqajaan, he spotted some in the glass counter but couldn’t afford a piece. With mock longing, he began to sing:

> “Bursalid, nin aan meeso qabin balad haduu joogo,
kama baahi beelee ishu balac ku siihaaye.”

Roughly translated: A poor man in town can’t help but keep staring at bursalid.

The entire shop—customers and waiters alike—burst into laughter. The owner, perhaps fearing the “evil eye” of Sharif’s yearning, brought us four pieces of bursalid on the house.

With his craving satisfied, Sharif’s mind wandered again. Just then, a hen darted around the corner of the shop. He turned to Anshur and asked, “Anshur, how soon does a hen deliver her babies after conception?”

Without hesitation, Anshur quipped, “If you mate with it now, it’ll give you plenty of kittens right away!” Another wave of thunderous laughter shook the room.

That night, we all agreed—it had been a rare and wonderful evening, a perfect blend of friendship, humor, and small pleasures in the midst of boarding school hardship.

You may recall that recently Kenya had declined to participate in final proceedings of the International Court of Justice in the Hague, on maritime delimitation dispute in the Indian Ocean between Somalia and Kenya. Since then intelligence and diplomatic sources indicated that Kenya has been engaged in diplomatic offensive in countries allied with and supporting Farmajo government like Qatar and Turkey. Qatar is said to be a major investment shareholder of ENI, the Italian oil firm known to have been conducting seismic and feasibility studies in the disputed portion of the Ocean on behest of Kenya. Turkey and Qatar are strategic allies in the Middle East, and Qatar has great diplomatic influence on President Erdogan of Turkey.

President Kenyatta has been lobbying the leaders of Tutkey and Qatar to persuade Farmajo abandon his hardline position on maritime dispute with Kenya, even if the ICJ were to rule the dispute in favour of Somalia, efforts that may paving the way to resources-sharing arrangements between the two countries. There are intelligence reporters as well pointing out that the director of NISA, Fahad Haji Yassin Haji Dahir is heavily involved in these negotiations between Farmajo and leaders of Turkey and Qatar. Observators believe that a neutral venue was needed to bring Farmajo and Kenya to a meeting face to face under the auspices of DRC president flex, and that is why the venue (Congo) was chosen. Further, Farmajo is bound to pay a long-delayed visit to Abyi Ahmed of Ethiopia to discuss on the Somalia’s constitutional crisis, following Farmajo’s illegal extension of his mandate for two more years. He will continue to attend the inauguration of Ismail Ghuelleh of Djibouti before he flies on to UN Security Council Session on Somalia’s crisis. Farmajo is now in a weaker political and diplomatic position because of his problem of constitutional legitimacy at home.

For both Farmajo and Kenyatta, the stakes are high. This is a developing story. Stay tuned.

Postscript: Since posting this article, Ismail Ghuelleh declined to invite Farmajo to the inauguration, and Farmajo, instead, sent his foreign minister to US as he wasn’t welcome there hinself for illegally extending his mandate for two more years.

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The Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms is a body of declarations of Canadian human and civic rights attached to their constitution as an amendment and update for every Canadian rights, fully recognized by law and before a court of justice.

Here, Hon. Ahmed Hussen, a Federal Liberal Party politician of Somali origin, and current minister in Prime Minister Justin Trudeau cabinet, and the former prime minister of Canada and former minister of justice in the cabinet of Trudeau the father, Mr. Jean Chretein, are marking a televised podcast, celebrating the 39th Anniversary of that historic Canadian bill of rights. Mr Chretein was minister of justice when Canadian Constitutiom was patriated from UK Westminister. “In 1982, Canada fully broke from its colonial past and “patriated” its Constitution. It transferred the country’s highest law, the British North America Act (which was renamed the Constitution Act, 1867), from the authority of the British Parliament to Canada’s federal and provincial legislatures. The Constitution was also updated with a new amending formula and a Charter of Rights and Freedoms. These changes occurred after a fierce, 18-month political and legal struggle that dominated headlines and the agendas of every government in the country”

Take a watch: https://www.facebook.com/HonAhmedHussen/videos/314582783339962/

Those are characteristics needed in a Somali political leader or in anyone in a position of leadership in any field of human endeavors. Every grown up person has some history of doing something in their past life, which may indicate how they perfomed, expecially in dealing with people (people’s skills) and managed their responsibilities towards public and private properties.
Chinese Communist Party, worried about the chance of untested leaders getting into positions of power accidentally, had developed a method to select their leaders. It is called “Selection Through Democracy by Merit”. In other words, tested leaders through their experiences are allowed to advance slowly towards positions of power. No room for mistakes for power grab by individuals in tightly controlled power of the state and the party.

A government is a dangerous organisation that can do more damages and harm to citizens and vital national interests of a country, if it is allowed to fall into the wrong hands of dangerous and irresponsible individual or a junta. Public businesses must be made transparent to seek consent of the citizens and the governed. No backroom deals and doing businesses in the darkness.

We, the Somalis, were doing the opposite of Chinnese method – no vetting of those who aspire to attain positions of responsibilities; the more unknown a politician is, the better; the more he acts as hustler, the better; the more he is aggressive and rude, the better. The more he is popular with his clansmen and interest groups, the better. and the more he is corrupt, the more he is powerful and influential. This practice had led to Somalia’s ruin, and the current political impasse and national quagmire. It is time to rethink and review carefully how we choose those whom want to lead us.

https://ismailwarsame.blog/2021/04/16/how-did-somalia-came-to-this-political-quagmire/

[Name] WDM SOMALIA MONITOR [Work info] Media Services, WDM, [Mobile] +252 907 034 081 [Mobile] +252 906 794 548 [Home] ismail@ismailwarsame.blog

‪Hence all these in advertently contribute to the extension crisis that befall Somalia. Here are few updates and Also check your sources:

1. The situation is going from bad to worse. Opposition groups are taking positions on different parts of the city. The likelihood of all out war is increasing.
2. Somalia foreign minister and his deputy are touring in Arab capitals. They are seeking funds to replace the suspended funds from the west. I was told they got a cold shoulder from Saudis. They are now in Oman. There is touchable financial constraints which making running the business of the gov difficult
3. No one so far endorsed the extention
4. There is growing likelihood for PM to resign.

By Ahmed Khalif

Take a listen to Somali-American Prof Samater:

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A coup d’etat involving security/military/legislative took place in Mogadishu in early days of April 2021. It was seizing of all powers of the Central Government (FGS) by its own president, MAM Farmajo.

From now onwards, it will not be business as usual with unpredictable security situation in the Capital City and elsewhere in the country.

All Somali patriotics should resist this coup d’etat in order to saveguard the modest gains of people of Somalia, following the Civil War.

But, in this instance, GAAS is right

The international community should take due diligence not to help rolling back the modest gains of the people of Somalia, emerging from the legacy of civil war. Recognition of the Federal Government of Somalia is one of the critical achievements Somalia had gained – withdrawing it would harm Somalia beyond post-Farmajo. Defunding AMISOM would mean throwing Somalia to the wolves. It would be not only policy mistake, but also a dangerous proposition for all concerned. Relocating embassies and offices of international organizations would create a precarious power vacuum in Mogadishu. Curtailing humanitarian interventions would lead to humanity disasters. Confronting Farmajo’s regime by the International Community must be smartly handled to avoid hurting ordinary Somalis and their hope for the future.

Farmajo’s regime should be dealt with targeted and effective individual sanctions to remove obstacles towards democratic movement. In fact, IC requires doubling down on aid effectiveness and monitoring the activities of those, who are known to impede progress in Somalia.

Compelling Farmajo regime to return to the negotiating table on the basis of 17 September Agreement is the only reasonable course of action – no backing down on this principle. Resolutions and bills by a dissolved one House of Parliament alone without any consideration to the Upper House of the same legal status is a flagrant violation of the law of the land. This couldn’t stand.

Brussels, 13/04/2021 – 17:01, UNIQUE ID: 210413_4Statements by the HR/VP

Yesterday, the Lower House of the Somali Parliament voted to a de-facto extension of the mandate of the President and the Federal government by two years following the impasse on the electoral process which should have been finalised by 8 February 2021. This action undermines the longstanding effort, supported by the EU and the international community, to rebuild Somalia through consensus.

The international community, including the EU, have repeatedly and publicly expressed that we could under no circumstances accept an extension of the government mandate, or any partial or parallel process related to the elections, without the agreement of the parties to the 17 September electoral agreement. The European Union believes that the passage and signing of this resolution will divide Somalia, impose additional delays and constitute a grave threat to the peace and stability of Somalia and its neighbours. It certainly does not serve the interests of the people of Somalia.

We call for an immediate return to talks on the holding of elections without delay based on the September 17 agreement. Failing this, the EU will consider further concrete measures.

They say that those who don’t remember their past mistakes are condemned to repeat them. In Somalia, no lessons learnt from decades of mayhem ending up in state failure and hundreds of thousands of citizens perished. And now, with decimating Coronavirus, severe drought, and today’s state coup through already dissolved and illegitimate parlianent, the little hope people of Somalia had had in consolidating the modest gains of the last decade is slipping away before their eyes. Tin-pot dictator, Farmajo, has also been able to squander the generous help from the world community in reviving the failed State. It is a tragedy that continues unabated and risks existential threat this time around. This is a fragile country infested with tribal divisions. That is why Somali State had failed in 1991 because of one dictator. Somalia could disappear this time around because of one man dictator-to-be. Could it be saved this time around? Have your say.