Day: June 29, 2021

NOMADIA STATE

It is supposed to be a government by the nomads, governed by the rules of “pastoral democracy” and wisdom of impartial tribal elders. But, tribesmen are not taught about the concept of “yours” and “mine.” Everything belongs to either the whole tribe or is there to be grabbed by everyone. Since there is no culture of urban society (different tribes co-inhabiting in one location for an extended period of time), there are no rules for the rights of others outside one’s own tribe. Everything belonging to a different tribe has no equal protection and property rights. It is out there for the grab.

Those who moved into cities from nomadic tribes come with same mentality and cultural mindset of the nomadic tribal enclaves. It would take them many generations, if not centuries, to get accustomed to the rules of peaceful coexistence with other tribes.

Nomadia doesn’t enjoy allegiance by any one tribe other than those holding higher stakes in the nomadia leadership. Nomadia suffers from incompetence and lack of equal opportunities for all members of its constituency. There are no predictable rules of the road in public services and administration of justice. Those who hold high offices and their kinship are more equal than the others.

The constitution and laws of the Nomadia are just formalities and non-binding to those who have connections and wealth. Laws are just nuisances to those in power. Nomadia operates under lies and hypocrisy of self-denial about its Nomadia nature as government by the nomads by falsely claiming it was a modern national government composed of three branches independent from each other. Nomadia functions even in contradictions to what nomads had agreed upon after prolonged conflicts. Since all know that there is no respect for the rules of law, the powerful takes advantage of the weakness in governance in the absence of real separation of power.

As long as there is no real concern for facing the realities and addressing the hypocrisy in the nature of Nomadia, its constituency will never put their act together. Nomadia will never develop allegiance to it as a national organization (government) for all.

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PS: Please note that the term “Nomadia State” is an invention by WDM (Warsame Digital Media).

A TURNING POINT IN TIGREYAN WAR

USA pressure on Abyi regime is bearing fruits with Eritrean army pullout from Tigray and retreat of Ethiopian forces from major cities there, including the regional capital, Mekelle. Addis Ababa leadership is losing ground in the war. Ethiopia had benefitted from Western assistance since time immemorial against its real and perceived enemies like Somalis and surrounding muslim countries. This time Prime Minister Abyi had ignored Ethiopian history and ventured out into uncharted foreign policy adventures. The result is that Ethiopia has lost its traditional Western allies.

It looks that Abyi has given in, under pressure, to negotiate with TPLF leaders. Ethiopian internal situation is now chaotic and unpredictable. It is also unclear whether Abyi would be able to hang on to power in a turbulent Ethiopia, and whether his expected gesture for peaceful negotiation would settle and calm things down in Ethiopia.

TPLF would unlikely push towards Addis Ababa, for they would experience the same Western pressure as Abyi has suffered from. They would be forced to negotiate with either Abyi or his would-be successors.

The new political and military developments in Ethiopia would have impact on Somalia as well, especially with regards to the recent unholy alliance between Farmajo, Afewarki and Abyi. It would also negatively impact on the Somali Regional state and its current Addis-appointed nominal leader, Mustafe Cagjar, who relied heavily on Abyi and supported Farmajo’s shenanigans in Somalia. This is still a developing story. Stay tuned.