MADAX-KA-NOOL

Mogadishu, May 13, 2019 – Interesting to note that the Office of the Prime Minister (OPM) of Somalia was literally a ghost space from Saturday, 4th May to Sunday, 10th May, 2019. All offices at OPM remained deserted during this period, with no staff and no work attended to.

There was no reason given for the offices in the OPM to remaining closed, staff staying out, with no work taking place for such an extended duration.

For those that have been following Somalia news, the Prime Minister of Somalia (Hassan Ali Khaire) had been out in Garowe since departing Mogadishu on Saturday, May 4 and is (was) still holed up there, for the eighth day running, for a meeting that so far remained nameless, agendaless, and outcome-less between the executive leadership of FGS and FMS.

The deputy Prime Minister too was away from office, where he left Mogadishu, reportedly, on Wednesday before the PM left for Garowe to attend to assignments in places outside the country that included Tana forum, in Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.

That no work was taking place in OPM offices while the PM was away is indicative of a phenomenon commonly refered to in Somali lingo as “madax ka nool.” In Somalia public service, in most cases, when the boss is away from office everyone else will also stay away.
This means the boss is the institution and the institution is the boss.

Bravado aside, OPM stayed true to its mantle of “madax ka nool.”

By a Staff Writer

A NEW RE-ALIGNMENT IN SOMALIA’S BODY-POLITIC

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oqdeu4JpIWg&feature=share

POTENTIAL LANDSLIDE 202O ELECTION VICTORY FOR FARMAAJO

Garowe, May 13, 2019

With no state or national plan and socio-economic vision of their own, and with the demographic reality of 70% youthful population of Somalia, who are now actively social media connected, getting their information mainly from Facebook, regional states (Federal Member States) have no influence in the political orientations of their respective residents. On the contrary, the Federal Government of Somalia has attained the biggest impact and influence in the political opinion-forming of young generations in favor of Farmaajo re-election bid.

The exception is probably Somaliland, whose youth were exposed to anti-Somalia school curricula and secessionist indoctrination for more than two decades. Even here, there is increasing social media influence, clearly coming out publicly during Farmaajo Election as President in 2016 with outright celebrations and social media entries and sharing of the event in urban centers of Somalia’s Northwestern Regions.

With no national or state history taught in Somalia’s religiously dominated schools and business-like shops as universities of lowest grades and ratings, Somalia’s youth have no alternative sources of information to social media, where the leaders of the Federal Government give more priority than the security of Mogadishu or addressing the issue of Law & Order, in general.

As a keen observer of Somalia’s political developments and heightened exposure of youth to social media, Facebook in particular, I won’t be surprised if Farmaajo could be able to marshall landslide election victory in 2020.

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SOMALI FEDERAL GOVERNMENT: THREE AND HALF DOWN

Updated. Don’t miss this out.

https://ismailwarsame.blog/2019/05/13/somali-federal-government-three-and-half-down/

SOMALI FEDERAL GOVERNMENT: THREE AND HALF DOWN

Garowe, May 13, 2019 – Based on yesterday’s separate Communique issued by federal regional states of Puntland, Hirshabelle and Southwest, it is now clear that the Federal Government of Somalia has succeeded in splitting and breaking up the Inter-state Cooperation Council of Federal Member States into two camps, following the recent acrimonious Garowe Summit. Puntland, Hirshabelle and Southwest and half of Galmudugh (unofficially represented in Garowe Gathering by FGS) have now fallen into line with FGS, effectively isolating Ahmed Madoobe of Jubaland and Ahmed Duale Haaf of Galmudugh.

Puntland State, the wild card here in the equation of regional chess-game has been successfully persuaded to join the Farmaajo-Khaire political calculus. a turning point in FGS Policy of “Regime Change” before Somalia’s 2020 Parliament and Presidential Elections takes place.

FGS Regime Change is apparently essential to remove any regional state obstacles to the re-election of Farmaajo for a 2nd term in Villa Somalia on a planned nationwide general election. FGS fight is now on to deal with Jubaland and the Galmudugh half or faction headquartered in DusaMareb of Galgadud Region led by Haaf. The other half of Galmudugh in Adaado has been already won over and now fallen into the FGS fold. The Adaado faction had threatened earlier to join the anti-Farmaajo opposition in Mogadishu upon Haaf victory in his negotiations with Federal leaders in Garowe Summit, according to reliable sources in Mogadishu and Adaado.

With Haaf “Faction” now constituting no major problem for the FGS, it would be interesting to watch developments in the forthcoming Jubaland Elections.

One may call this as the biggest take-away from recent Garowe Summit between FGS and federal states, calling it inappropriately “Garowe-III”