Balancing Geopolitics: Addressing Ethiopia’s Drive for Sea Access in a Fragile Region

Somalia’s policy needs to balance firmness on sovereignty with pragmatic engagement to address Ethiopia’s needs, using international and regional partnerships to pressure Ethiopia, while offering viable alternatives that serve both countries’ interests. Also, managing domestic opinion through transparent communication and ensuring any deal is perceived as beneficial to Somalia’s territorial integrity and economic development.

Somalia’s policy towards Ethiopia must navigate historical mistrust, territorial integrity concerns, and regional rivalries while addressing Ethiopia’s quest for sea access. Here’s a structured approach:

1. Diplomatic and Legal Assertiveness

  • Ankara Process Engagement: Prioritize technical committees in Ankara to negotiate Ethiopia’s sea access under Somali sovereignty. Demand Ethiopia formally void its Somaliland MoU as a precondition.
  • International Advocacy: Leverage the African Union and UN to affirm Somaliland as part of Somalia, pressuring Ethiopia to abandon unilateral deals. Highlight violations of territorial integrity under international law.

2. Domestic Unity and Communication

  • Public Diplomacy: Transparently communicate negotiations to Somalis, emphasizing sovereignty safeguards. Address grievances through inclusive dialogue to mitigate protests and build national consensus.

3. Economic and Security Incentives

  • Port Access Proposals: Offer Ethiopia conditional port access via a Somali-government-approved agreement, ensuring oversight and revenue-sharing. Tie access to Ethiopia’s disengagement from Somaliland.
  • Security Collaboration: Strengthen counterterrorism cooperation (e.g., against Al-Shabaab and ISIS) to build trust and mutual dependency.

4. Regional Balancing and Mediation

  • Neutralize Rivalries: Maintain cautious engagement with Egypt in forums like AUSSOM (likely a regional security initiative) without alienating Ethiopia. Use Turkey/Qatar as neutral mediators to ensure balanced outcomes.
  • Tripartite Dialogue: Explore indirect talks with Somaliland, incentivizing reintegration with autonomy guarantees while isolating Ethiopia’s unilateral moves.

5. Contingency Planning

  • Sanctions and Leverage: Prepare multilateral pressure (AU, Arab League) if Ethiopia persists with Somaliland. Highlight economic costs for Ethiopia, such as strained IGAD relations.
  • Alternative Partnerships: Deepen ties with Turkey, Qatar, or others for port investments, reducing Ethiopia’s leverage.

Key Considerations:

  • Sovereignty First: Any agreement must explicitly recognize Somali territorial integrity. Avoid precedents that embolden secessionism.
  • Pragmatism: Acknowledge Ethiopia’s economic needs but frame solutions within Somali-led frameworks.
  • Long-Term Vision: Use negotiations to stabilize bilateral relations, fostering economic interdependence (trade, infrastructure) to dilute historical tensions.

By combining firm legal posturing with pragmatic incentives, Somalia can protect its sovereignty while addressing Ethiopia’s interests, reducing regional volatility, and securing international support.

Two Fateful Nights That Forged Puntland: A Personal Account of Resilience and Unity


Introduction
In the turbulent aftermath of Somalia’s state collapse in 1991, the birth of Puntland in 1998 emerged as a beacon of hope for self-governance. This is the story of two pivotal nights that shaped its creation—a tale of leadership, clan diplomacy, and the tenacity of a people determined to carve stability from chaos. As a participant in these events, I recount how decisive moments in Addis Ababa and Bosaso altered the course of history.


Historical Context: Somalia’s Fragmentation and the Road to Puntland

Following the fall of Siad Barre’s regime, Somalia fractured into clan-based territories. The Somali Salvation Democratic Front (SSDF), a Majerteen-dominated movement, sought to reunite northeastern regions. Key figures like Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed (later Puntland’s first president) and Hassan Abshir Waraabe navigated a labyrinth of clan alliances and rivalries. Against this backdrop, the 1997 collapse of the Cairo Reconciliation Talks spurred leaders to pursue localized solutions, culminating in Puntland’s founding.


The First Fateful Night: The Garowe Consultative Congress

Addis Ababa, December 1997
In a cramped room at Ghion Hotel, a debate raged. A call from Islaan Mohamed Islaan Muuse urged attendance at a Harti Clan Conference in Garowe. While elders hesitated, fearing distraction from Ethiopian-based negotiations, I, the youngest present, argued passionately: “Mogadishu’s warlords rule not from exile but on the ground. We must go to Garowe.”

Outcome: The group journeyed to Garowe, where a Dhulbahante-led reconciliation between Abdullahi Yusuf and Mohamed Abdi Hashi dissolved tensions. Their clash—rooted in allegiances to Mogadishu’s warlords, Cali Mahdi and General Caydiid—was defused with humor and clan solidarity. This unity laid the groundwork for the Consultative Congress, Puntland’s first constitutional draft.


The Second Fateful Night: The Bosaso Fundraising Crisis

Bosaso, 1998
Weeks later, a new threat arose. The SSDF Executive Committee, wary of ceding power, sabotaged fundraising for the Constitutional Congress. Bosaso’s business community, pressured to withhold funds, left the project in jeopardy.

Leadership Tested: As Abdullahi Yusuf neared resignation, I confronted him: “Resign now, and we surrender to defeat.” Relenting, he rallied supporters. Through relentless outreach, we secured first 300 million Somali shillings—a lifeline handed to Islaan Mohamed in Garowe.

Significance: This victory over internal sabotage underscored the fragile coalition behind Puntland, balancing grassroots aspirations against political elites.


Themes and Legacy

  1. Decisive Leadership: Abdullahi Yusuf’s resolve, coupled with youth insistence on ground engagement, countered the inertia of exile politics.
  2. Clan Diplomacy: Personal grudges gave way to collective purpose, exemplified by the Dhulbahante mediation.
  3. Resource Mobilization: Overcoming SSDF resistance highlighted the role of local buy-in in state-building.

Reflections and Relevance Today

Puntland’s creation was no linear triumph but a mosaic of fraught negotiations. These two nights epitomize the interplay of agency and structure in rebuilding societies. As Somalia grapples with ongoing instability, Puntland’s lessons—of inclusivity, adaptability, and leadership—remain vital.

By Ismail H. Warsame
Participant in Puntland’s Founding, Former Chief of Staff to the Puntland Presidency
E-mail: ismailwarsame@gmail.com | Twitter: @ismailwarsame

THE WAR AGAINST ISIS IS NOT OVER YET

The completion of Puntland’s military operation against ISIS in the Cal-Miskaat mountains marks a critical juncture. To consolidate gains, prevent resurgence, and bring remaining leaders like Abdulkadir Mumin to justice, Puntland should adopt the following best practices, informed by counterterrorism strategies globally and regionally:


1. Secure Cleared Territories

  • Maintain a security footprint: Deploy forces to hold recaptured areas (bases, caves, villages) to deter ISIS reinfiltration. Establish checkpoints, patrols, and mobile units to monitor movement.
  • Leverage technology: Use drones, satellite imagery, and motion sensors to surveil remote mountain areas and coastal zones, where fleeing fighters might regroup.
  • Block escape routes: Coordinate with neighboring regions (e.g., Somaliland, Galmudug) and international partners (e.g., EU Naval Force, US AFRICOM) to enforce land, air, and maritime blockades.

2. Intelligence-Driven Manhunt for Leaders

  • Human intelligence (HUMINT): Engage local communities to gather tips on ISIS leaders’ whereabouts. Offer protected anonymity and incentives (e.g., rewards) for credible information.
  • Electronic surveillance: Monitor communication networks (e.g., phones, radios) used by ISIS remnants. Collaborate with international agencies (e.g., INTERPOL, CIA) to track financial flows or encrypted messaging.
  • Targeted raids: Use specialized units (e.g., PDF commandos) for precision strikes based on actionable intelligence to avoid civilian casualties.

3. Community Engagement and Reconciliation

  • Address grievances: Partner with clans, elders, and religious leaders to resolve local disputes (e.g., resource access, land rights) that ISIS exploited for recruitment.
  • Humanitarian aid: Provide immediate relief (food, medicine, shelter) to displaced civilians to build trust and counter ISIS propaganda about government neglect.
  • Counter-radicalization programs: Launch deradicalization initiatives for former ISIS recruits and their families, focusing on education, vocational training, and psychosocial support.

4. Strengthen Governance and Development

  • Restore services: Rebuild infrastructure (schools, hospitals, water sources) in liberated areas to demonstrate tangible benefits of government control.
  • Economic opportunities: Create jobs for youth through public works programs (e.g., road construction, agriculture) to reduce vulnerability to extremist recruitment.
  • Local governance: Appoint credible administrators (preferably locals) to manage recaptured zones, ensuring fair representation and accountability.

5. Regional and International Cooperation

Cross-border collaboration: Share intelligence with Ethiopia, Kenya, and Yemen to disrupt ISIS smuggling routes or safe havens.

International support: Seek funding and training from partners (e.g., UAE, UN) to build capacity in intelligence, logistics, and community policing.


6. Legal and Judicial Frameworks

  • Prosecute captured fighters: Establish transparent, fair trials for ISIS detainees to legitimize counterterrorism efforts and deter future recruitment. Use evidence from seized ISIS materials (documents, videos) to build cases.
  • Sanction facilitators: Work with the UN Security Council to impose travel bans and asset freezes on ISIS-linked individuals and businesses.

7. Counter-Ideological Campaigns

  • Religious outreach: Partner with moderate clerics to challenge ISIS’s extremist interpretations of Islam through mosque sermons, radio programs, and social media.
  • Media strategy: Publicize ISIS’s defeats (e.g., destroyed bases, surrendered fighters) to undermine its image as an invincible “caliphate.”

8. Continuous Assessment and Adaptation

  • Monitor threats: Establish early-warning systems to detect ISIS attempts to regroup, such as small-scale attacks or propaganda resurgence.
  • Evaluate operations: Conduct after-action reviews to identify gaps (e.g., leadership evasion, civilian harm) and adjust tactics.

Key Risks to Mitigate

  • Civilian harm: Avoid heavy-handed tactics that alienate communities. Train PDF forces in international humanitarian law (IHL).
  • Over-reliance on militarization: Pair security operations with governance and development to address root causes of extremism.
  • Leadership vacuums: If Mumin is killed or captured, anticipate ISIS attempts to appoint successors. Preemptively target mid-level commanders.

Conclusion

The “best practice” approach combines securitygovernance, and community trust to transform short-term military gains into lasting stability. Neutralizing leaders like Mumin requires patience, precision, and partnerships, but Puntland’s success will ultimately depend on its ability to offer civilians a credible alternative to extremism.

Garowe Witnesses Groundbreaking Proxy Marriage with Unique Hajj Pilgrimage Condition

By Warsame Digital Media (WDM)
Garowe, March 21, 2019

In the heart of Somalia’s Puntland region, where temperatures often soar under the relentless sun of the Horn of Africa, a traditional yet unconventional wedding ceremony unfolded in the cool, air-conditioned comfort of a Garowe banquet hall. The event, however, defied more than just the sweltering heat: neither the bride nor the groom attended their own nuptials. Instead, representatives from both families formalized the union through marriage by proxy, a longstanding Somali cultural practice where absent couples delegate authority to family members to officiate matrimony on their behalf.

A Novel Twist: Hajj Pilgrimage as a Marriage Condition
What set this ceremony apart was an unprecedented stipulation introduced by the bride’s representative. During the customary exchange of vows, the bride’s family demanded that the groom commit to taking his future wife on the Hajj pilgrimage to Mecca—a requirement described by attendees as a first in Somalia’s matrimonial traditions. The groom’s representative swiftly accepted the condition, ensuring the ceremony proceeded seamlessly. Warsame Digital Media learned through interviews that both the bride and groom, who had consented to the proxy arrangement beforehand, welcomed this innovative clause, viewing the Hajj not only as a spiritual journey but also as a symbolic foundation for their marriage.

Gender Dynamics in Proxy Ceremonies
Notably absent from the event were women, highlighting a cultural norm in such proxy marriages. The negotiation and formalization of the union were conducted exclusively by male representatives, underscoring the traditional gender roles still prevalent in Somali matrimonial customs. While the bride’s wishes were articulated through her male representative, the absence of women at the ceremony itself reflects broader societal structures that often limit their visibility in formal marital proceedings.

A Fusion of Tradition and Modernity
This marriage exemplifies how Somali traditions are evolving to incorporate contemporary aspirations. The Hajj condition, while rooted in Islamic obligation, introduces a modern layer of spousal partnership and shared spiritual goals. Locals speculate whether this precedent could inspire future couples to blend personal or practical conditions into marital agreements, reshaping conventions while preserving cultural frameworks.

As Garowe adapts to shifting societal values, this proxy marriage—with its blend of customary practice and inventive negotiation—offers a glimpse into the dynamic interplay between tradition and modernity in Somalia.

Warsame Digital Media (WDM) is committed to documenting cultural shifts and traditions across Puntland and the Horn of Africa.

[This article appeared in the WDM in March 2019.]


Celebrating Academic Milestones: East Africa University’s Graduation and a Legacy of Perseverance

Garowe, Puntland, Somalia – February 26, 2025

The grandeur of Martisoor Hotel in Garowe served as a fitting backdrop for a momentous occasion yesterday: the Graduation Ceremony of the Master’s Degree program offered by East Africa University (EAU) in collaboration with Lincoln College Malaysia. The event, which celebrated the achievements of postgraduate scholars, marked not only a triumph for the graduates but also a testament to the enduring vision of academic excellence and cross-border partnership in Somalia’s Puntland State.

A Celebration of Achievement
The ceremony honored the dedication of students who successfully completed their advanced studies under the joint program, a pioneering initiative between EAU and Lincoln College Malaysia. The partnership underscores the growing emphasis on international collaboration in higher education, equipping Somali students with globally recognized qualifications while addressing local developmental needs. Attendees included faculty members, government officials, and proud families, all united in celebrating the graduates’ hard-earned success.

In their address, representatives from both institutions highlighted the transformative power of education. “Today, we witness the fruits of perseverance and partnership,” remarked a Lincoln College delegate in a video recording. “These graduates are now ambassadors of knowledge, ready to contribute to Somalia’s progress and beyond.”

A Nostalgic Reflection: Founding East Africa University
For many present, the event carried profound historical resonance. Among the attendees was Ismail H Warsame, former Chief of Staff to the Puntland State Presidency, who shared reflections on EAU’s humble beginnings nearly 25 years ago.

“In the late 1990s, the founders of East Africa University—led by the late President Yusuf AbdulAsis—approached the Puntland government with a bold vision: to establish the region’s first recognized university, the East Africa University (EAU). At the time, their proposal lacked detailed curricula and resources. As Chief of Staff, I advised them to return with a robust academic framework aligned with national standards.

This pivotal moment in EAU’s history became a catalyst for growth. After months of meticulous planning, the university secured official recognition via a Presidential Decree in 1999–2000. The founders’ tenacity was extraordinary. They transformed limited means into a lasting institution, laying the groundwork for what we celebrated yesterday.

From Vision to Reality: EAU’s Journey
What began as a modest endeavor has since flourished into a beacon of higher education in Somalia. EAU now offers diverse programs, from healthcare and engineering to social sciences, and has forged partnerships with global institutions like Lincoln College Malaysia. These collaborations have elevated the quality of education, enabling Somali students to access world-class resources without leaving their homeland.

The university’s evolution mirrors Puntland’s broader strides in rebuilding its education sector post-conflict. By prioritizing accreditation and innovation, EAU has produced generations of professionals who drive progress in both public and private spheres.

Looking Ahead: Aspirations for the Future
As yesterday’s graduates embark on new journeys, the ceremony served as a reminder of education’s role in societal transformation. Keynote speakers urged the cohort to leverage their skills to tackle regional challenges, from healthcare gaps to economic development.

For Ismail H Warsame, the event was deeply personal. “Seeing EAU’s graduates today, I am reminded of the late Yusuf AbdulAsis and his unwavering belief in education. His dream lives on in these scholars.”

The collaboration with Lincoln College Malaysia further signals a promising future. Such partnerships not only enhance academic rigor but also foster cultural exchange, positioning Somali students as global citizens.

Conclusion
The 2024 graduation was more than a ceremonial milestone—it was a celebration of resilience, collaboration, and the unyielding pursuit of knowledge. As East Africa University continues to expand its horizons, its story stands as an inspiration: a testament to how vision, coupled with perseverance, can ignite lasting change.

To the graduates, we extend our utmost congratulations. May your achievements today become the foundation for a brighter tomorrow in Somalia and beyond.

Ismail H Warsame, reflecting on a quarter-century of progress in Puntland’s educational landscape.

Published in https://ismailwarsame.blog/WDM, February 26, 2025.

From Shanty Village to Modern Capital: The Remarkable Transformation of Garowe

Garowe, April 16, 2019 – In 1998, before the establishment of Puntland State, Garowe—now the proud capital of Somalia’s first federal state—was a starkly different place. A squatter-like village with crumbling neighbourhoods, its economy teetered on the edge of collapse. The only signs of commerce were women-run tea stalls serving stale, sugary brews and street vendors peddling khat, a stimulant leaf imported from Kenya and Ethiopia, nations historically at odds with Somalia. Even travelers en route from Galkayo to Bosaso rarely paused here, deterred by the dust, flies, and swarms of mosquitoes that plagued the shanty huts lining the main highway.

A Village on the Brink
Most residents had fled to Galkayo or Bosaso, where nascent economic opportunities and basic public services offered hope. Garowe’s hospitality sector consisted of four rudimentary “hotels”—Daawad, Nugaal, Guureeye, and Bulshaale—where guests slept on mats under blankets, shielding themselves from insects and dust. Commerce was stifled by inter-subclan distrust; transactions rarely crossed kinship lines. Tea vendors often poured unsold stock into the streets, attracting pests and deepening the village’s decline. Not a single two-story building stood in Garowe at the time.

The Puntland Catalyst
Everything changed with Puntland’s founding in 1998. Garowe’s residents made a pivotal decision: they hosted delegates to the state’s constitutional congresses, offering free lodging and security. This generosity earned Garowe the status of capital. Under the leadership of late President Abdullahi Yusuf, Nugaal Region received two ministerial posts—a symbolic gesture of inclusion. Almost overnight, the village began its metamorphosis.

Rise of a Capital
Garowe’s newfound political significance injected it with power, revenue, and ambition. The city’s skyline transformed, dotted with modern high-rises, elevators, and state-of-the-art facilities. While swimming pools remain absent, the 40°C heat may yet inspire their construction. Urbanization brought new social dynamics: residents embraced cosmetics, manicures, and a burgeoning café culture, though some lamented the rise of “urban decadence.” The city’s growth, however, was tempered by lingering clan tensions, encapsulated in the local adage, “Nugaal waa labo daan” (“Nugaal lies between two hills”), a metaphor for territorial caution.

Shadows of Progress: The Aaran Jaan Scandal
Not all transformations were positive. A youth committee tasked with auditing public debt from the constitutional conferences became infamous for embezzling 2.5 billion Somali Shillings (~$250,000 USD). Dubbed Aaran Jaan (“Devil’s Kin”), this group entrenched itself in politics, later infiltrating federal offices in Mogadishu. Today, they wield outsized influence, positioning themselves as powerbrokers between Puntland and the federal government—a legacy of corruption that still taints the region’s reputation.

Garowe Today: A Beacon of Progress
Despite these challenges, Garowe has emerged as a model of urban development in Somalia. Its meticulous town planning, peaceful environment, and entrepreneurial spirit attract visitors and job-seekers from Mogadishu, Hargeisa, and beyond. The city pulses with opportunity, blending tradition and modernity.

Conclusion
Garowe’s journey from a forgotten village to a thriving capital is a testament to resilience and vision. While shadows of its past linger, the city’s skyline—and spirit—soar ever higher. To walk its streets today is to witness Somalia’s potential in motion. Welcome to Garowe: where history meets hope.


Warsame Digital Media (WDM) – Documenting Somalia’s Stories

[This article was edited after posting].

White Paper: Shaping Somalia’s Narrative – A Call for Responsible and Balanced Media Engagement

By Warsame Digital Media (WDM)


Introduction
Warsame Digital Media (WDM) recognizes the pivotal role of writers, narrators, and commentators in shaping Somalia’s story. As voices of influence, your words inspire perceptions locally and globally. While Somalia faces challenges, it also thrives with resilience, innovation, and hope. This white paper urges a shift toward balanced narratives that honor progress and foster unity, steering clear of defeatism and cynicism.


The Role of Media in Somalia’s Journey
Media bridges local and diaspora communities, amplifying voices and framing realities. In post-conflict societies, narratives can either fuel despair or ignite hope. Somalia’s story is multifaceted—acknowledging struggles while celebrating triumphs is vital for collective morale and nation-building.


The Challenge: Defeatism and Its Impact
Persistent negativity in discourse risks normalizing despair, deterring investment, and stifling grassroots efforts. Cynicism erodes trust in institutions and communal bonds. While critique is necessary, unchecked pessimism undermines Somalia’s progress.


The Power of Balanced Narratives

  1. Inspiration Drives Action: Stories of resilience, like youth-led startups or cultural revitalization, motivate societal engagement.
  2. Unity Over Division: Highlighting shared triumphs fosters national pride.
  3. Global Perception: Balanced narratives attract diaspora reinvestment and international partnerships.

Guidelines for Responsible Communication

  1. Avoid Absolutist Language: Replace “everything is broken” with “challenges persist, but progress is evident in…”
  2. Balance Critique with Solutions: Pair analysis of issues with examples of local solutions (e.g., community-led education initiatives).
  3. Amplify Positivity: Showcase entrepreneurship, art, tech innovation, and peaceful dialogue.
  4. Mind Emotional Impact: Consider how words affect vulnerable audiences, especially youth.
  5. Constructive Criticism: Offer actionable feedback instead of venting frustration.
  6. Collaborate: Partner with platforms like WDM to share uplifting stories.

Call to Action: Be Architects of Hope
WDM invites you to reframe Somalia’s narrative:

  • Write with Purpose: Your pen can heal, unite, and inspire.
  • Celebrate Quiet Victories: From small businesses to peacebuilding, every story matters.
  • Engage Diaspora Thoughtfully: Bridge physical distance with cultural pride and optimism.

Conclusion
Somalia’s story is unfolding through its people. By choosing hope over cynicism, you become stewards of its future. WDM pledges support through resources, training, and platforms to amplify responsible storytelling. Together, let’s craft a narrative worthy of Somalia’s resilience.

Contact WDM: [iwarsame@ismailwarsame.blog/https://ismailwarsame.blog/@ismailwarsame]
“A nation’s greatness lies in its storytellers.” – Somali Proverb.


Message to Writers
Dear Change-Makers,
Your words shape destinies. As Somalia rebuilds, we urge you to wield your influence with care. Balance honesty with hope, critique with compassion. Share stories that ignite pride and possibility. Join WDM in fostering a narrative that reflects Somalia’s strength. Together, we rise.

With resolve,
Warsame Digital Media

Letter of Appreciation & Call to Action

Warsame Digital Media
Championing Transparency, Accountability, and Free Press in Somalia
February 24, 2025


To Our Valued Subscribers and Supporters,

Warsame Digital Media (WDM) extends its deepest gratitude to each of you for your unwavering engagement and support. Your dedication to reading our critical analyses and in-depth coverage of Somalia’s national affairs—and broader regional issues in the Horn of Africa—fuels our mission to inform, challenge, and inspire.

A special thank you to those who renewed their subscriptions or joined our community as new members this year. Your generosity is the lifeblood of WDM. Without your trust and commitment, our platform could not continue to amplify voices of truth or hold power to account. We humbly urge others to follow your lead, ensuring this vital platform remains a beacon of independent journalism.

Why Your Involvement Matters
Somalia stands at a crossroads. To build a nation free from corruption, maladministration, and injustice, we must collectively prioritize transparency and courage. WDM is more than a blog—it is a movement. By shedding light on pressing public issues and speaking truth without fear or favor, we lay the groundwork for a brighter future. But we cannot do this alone.

Join Us: Call for Contributors
WDM seeks passionate individuals committed to the principles of a free and fair press. We invite:

  • Writers & Analysts to craft incisive commentary on governance, policy, and society.
  • Reporters & Investigators to uncover stories that demand accountability.
  • Media Monitors & Researchers to track trends and amplify underrepresented voices.

This work demands integrity, vision, and courage. Staying on the sidelines is not an option as Somalia rebuilds. Move beyond social media debates and shared posts—take action with WDM. Your words and efforts can shape narratives, spark change, and leave a lasting legacy.

Together, Let’s Build a New Somalia
The road ahead is challenging, but every subscription, article, and act of support brings us closer to a nation defined by justice and opportunity. Join us in making a difference—not just for tomorrow, but for generations to come.

With renewed resolve and appreciation,

Ismail Warsame
Chief Editor, WDM
“Get Used to Free Press”


Stay Connected | Support Independent Journalism | Contribute Today.

WDM TONE OF VOICE

Announcement to WDM Readers Worldwide
February 24, 2025

At Warsame Digital Media (WDM), our voice is our power. Today, we’re proud to share our official Tone of Voice Guidelines—a blueprint for how we communicate, inform, and inspire as a mission-aligned, impact-driven, and community-centric platform. These principles ensure every headline, story, and interaction reflects our unwavering commitment to truth, justice, and Somali voices everywhere.


OUR CORE TONE PRINCIPLES

  1. FEARLESS & UNCOMPROMISING
    Bold, principled, and unafraid to challenge power.
    Example: “We expose corruption, not cater to it.”
    We don’t use passive language, vague statements, or hedging.
  2. ENLIGHTENING & ANALYTICAL
    Intellectual yet accessible, offering depth without jargon.
    Example: “To understand Somalia’s future, we must confront its past.”
    We avoid overly academic phrasing or superficial takes.
  3. EMPOWERING & HOPEFUL
    We Inspire action and foster resilience.
    Example: “Change begins when voices like yours are amplified.”
    We avoid cynicism or defeatist language.
  4. AUTHENTIC & COMMUNITY-FOCUSED
    We are grounded in Somali realities, prioritizing local voices.
    Example: “This isn’t just our story—it’s yours.”
    We avoid generic or detached perspectives.
  5. URGENT & PURPOSEFUL
    We convey immediacy without sensationalism.
    Example: “The truth can’t wait—and neither can we.”
    We avoid alarmism or clickbait tactics.

PUTTING TONE INTO ACTION

Headlines & Social Media

  • “Corruption Exposed: How WDM Uncovered the Truth Behind the Scandal.”
  • We avoid such things as “You Won’t Believe What Happened Next!” (sensationalized).

Stories & Editorials

  • We humanize data
  • We don’t overwhelm with dry facts

Audience Engagement

  • We invite dialogue: “What solutions do YOU want to see? Share your voice.”
  • We don’t dismiss criticism like: “If you don’t like it, go elsewhere.”

OUR LANGUAGE & STYLE

  • Vocabulary:  We use active verbs like “expose,” “challenge,” “amplify”—and Somali terms (heer for clan, shaqo for work) to honor cultural authenticity.
  • Structure: We use short, impactful paragraphs for digital clarity.
  • Visuals: We pair text with imagery of resilience—protest art, grassroots activists, real images, and historical archives.

WHO WE ARE
WDM is the “Guardian-Observer hybrid with a Somali heartbeat”:

We have the passion of a local activist newsletter.


FINAL CHECKS BEFORE WE PUBLISH

  1. Does this align with WDM’s mission to inform and empower?
  2. Is the tone respectful yet unyielding in pursuing truth?
  3. Will it resonate with Somali locals and the global diaspora?

WHY THIS TONE WORKS FOR WDM
It balances authority with approachability, ensuring credibility without elitism. It reflects Somali realities while engaging global allies. Most importantly, it fuels our role as disruptors in a media landscape too often constrained by fear or bias.

Join us in amplifying fearless, authentic, and urgent storytelling. Together, we rise.

— The Warsame Digital Media Team

WDM Vision for Puntland State Progress

 February 23, 2025 


Introduction: Unleashing the Power of Puntland’s Global Network
Imagine a future where Puntland’s diaspora—scattered across continents as doctors, engineers, entrepreneurs, and advocates—becomes the backbone of the region’s transformation. According to World Bank estimates, diaspora remittances already fuel 15-30% of Puntland’s GDP, but their potential extends far beyond finances. Their skills, innovation, and cultural ties are untapped goldmines. At Warsame Digital Media (WDM), we propose a bold, structured vision to channel this potential into security, stability, reconstruction, and inclusive growth. Ad-hoc contributions are over; it’s time for systemic, accountable collaboration.


The WDM Vision

To transform Puntland’s diaspora into architects of sustainable development through transparent partnerships, innovation, and shared purpose.


Strategic Priorities: A Blueprint for Impact

  1. Security Enhancement
    • Strengthen defense capabilities and counterterrorism resilience.
  2. Stability Promotion
    • Foster governance reforms and community-led peacebuilding.
  3. Reconstruction & Infrastructure
    • Rebuild critical assets with sustainable, diaspora-driven investments.
  4. Economic Growth
    • Ignite job creation through entrepreneurship and SME support.
  5. Trust & Transparency
    • Embed accountability at every level of engagement.

Policy Framework: From Ideas to Action

A. Security Sector Support

  • Diaspora Defense Fund (DDF):
    A transparent platform for contributions (cash, equipment, expertise) to the Puntland Defense Forces.
    • Example: Fund community-led drone surveillance in conflict zones, inspired by Kenya’s Nyumba Kumi model.
    • Oversight: Independent audit committee with diaspora reps to review quarterly impact reports.
  • Expertise Exchange Program:
    Deploy diaspora professionals (e.g., cybersecurity experts) for PDF training via virtual workshops or on-site missions.

B. Stability & Governance

  • Diaspora Peacebuilding Grants:
    Fund NGOs and elders leading reconciliation programs, like inter-clan dialogues in Galgala Mountain ranges.
  • Humanitarian Aid Coordination:
    Partner with diaspora NGOs for targeted aid delivery (e.g., drought relief in Nugal).
  • Diaspora Advisory Council:
    Formalize diaspora input on anti-corruption reforms, modeled on Ethiopia’s diaspora boards.

C. Reconstruction & Infrastructure

  • Adopt-a-Project Scheme:
    Sponsor schools, hospitals, or roads with naming rights (e.g., “Garowe Tech Hub by Toronto Somali Association”).
  • Transparency Portal:
    Real-time digital dashboard tracking budgets and progress, akin to Somalia’s Wadajir Platform.
  • Tax Incentives for PPPs:
    10% tax rebates for diaspora investments in renewables or port infrastructure.

D. Economic Growth & Innovation

  • Diaspora Investment Authority (DIA):
    A one-stop shop for expedited licensing, land leases, and mentorship.
  • Venture Capital Fund:
    Match diaspora investments in high-growth sectors like agriculture, fishery, animal husbandry, and solar energy (see Djibouti’s agro-processing success).
  • Job Creation Rewards:
    3-year tax holidays for businesses creating 50+ local jobs.

E. Accountability & Trust-Building

  • Anti-Corruption Safeguards:
    Mandate competitive bidding for diaspora-funded projects + whistleblower protections.
  • Diaspora Oversight Committees:
    Include diaspora reps in procurement reviews to ensure accountability.

Implementation Roadmap: Steps to Success

  1. Launch a Diaspora Liaison Office (2025):
    Resolve disputes, streamline processes, and provide real-time updates.
  2. Host Annual Diaspora Summit (2026):
    Rotate between Garowe, Galkayo, and Bosaso to align priorities and celebrate contributors.
  3. #PuntlandRising Campaign:
    Viral social media drive showcasing diaspora success stories.

Why This Works: Incentives & Impact

  • Recognition: Annual “Diaspora Patriot of the Year” awards.
  • Cultural Bonds: Sponsor heritage tours for diaspora youth to reconnect with roots.
  • Measurable Outcomes: Annual reports tracking GDP growth, jobs created, and security gains.

Conclusion: A Call to Build Together

Puntland’s future hinges on turning its global diaspora from spectators into nation-builders. This framework—rooted in transparency, innovation, and inclusivity—offers the blueprint.

To the Puntland Government: Institutionalize this policy to harness global Somali expertise.
To the Diaspora: Invest your skills, capital, and voice in a homeland ready to rise.

Together, a secure, prosperous Puntland isn’t just a dream—it’s within reach.


Warsame Digital Media | Bridging Policy and Progress
February 23, 2025 | https://ismailwarsame.blog | @ismailwarsame

Engage With Us:

  • What project would you sponsor under the Adopt-a-Project Scheme? Comment below!
  • Share your vision for Puntland using #PuntlandRising.

Why Supporting WDM Means Championing Fearless, Unbiased Journalism


Introduction:
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WDM OPEN LETTER OF COMMENDATION

To: H.E. Said Abdullahi Deni
President of Puntland State of Somalia
Puntland State Presidency Office
Garowe, Puntland
Somalia

Subject: Commendation for Exemplary Leadership in Combating ISIS in the Cal-Miskaat Mountain Ranges

Excellency,

I write to extend my deepest admiration and commendation for your resolute leadership in guiding Puntland State Defence Forces (PDF) to decisive victories against ISIS in the Cal-Miskaat mountain ranges of the Bari Region of Northeast Somalia. Your unwavering commitment to eradicating terrorism and restoring stability to Northeast Somalia stands as a testament to your visionary governance and dedication to the people of Puntland State.

Under your steadfast command, the mobilization of troops and the galvanization of public support have proven instrumental in turning the tide against this grave threat. By uniting citizens and soldiers alike in a shared cause, you have not only bolstered morale but also reinforced the collective resolve to safeguard Puntland’s stability and security. The success of this campaign underscores the effectiveness of your strategic acumen and hands-on leadership, which have inspired both confidence and courage across the region.

The liberation of the Cal-Miskaat area marks a pivotal milestone in countering violent extremism, paving the way for lasting peace and prosperity. It is heartening to witness how your administration’s efforts have curtailed ISIS’s influence, protected vulnerable communities, and restored hope for a future free from fear. The sacrifices of the Puntland State Defence Forces, local communities, and all stakeholders involved in this struggle reflect the profound resilience of our people—a resilience mirrored and magnified by your own leadership.

As Puntland continues to confront security challenges, I trust that your exemplary stewardship will remain a beacon of strength and unity. The international community watches with respect as your administration sets a powerful example of locally led counterterrorism success.

Once again, I applaud your extraordinary efforts and extend my sincere gratitude for your service to the people of Puntland State. May this victory herald a new era of stability, and may your vision for a secure and prosperous Somalia continue to flourish.

With utmost respect,

Ismail H Warsame
Chief Editor/WDM
iwarsame@ismailwarsame.blog

PUNTLAND IS FOR ASYMMETRICAL FEDERALISM

To effectively advocate for asymmetrical federalism, leveraging its resources and historical political strength, Puntland State has to follow these structured recommendations:

1. Historical and Political Contextualization

  • Historical Precedents: Highlight Puntland’s role in Somali governance, including its 1998 declaration of autonomy, which predates Somalia’s Transitional Federal Government (2004). Emphasize its experience in maintaining stability, conflict resolution, and institution-building.
  • Critique Centralization Failures: Reference Somalia’s history of centralized authoritarianism (e.g., Siad Barre’s regime) and post-1991 state collapse to argue that centralized power risks repeating past mistakes. Contrast this with Puntland’s relative stability under decentralized governance.

2. Legal and Constitutional Frameworks

  • Provisional Constitution: Use Somalia’s 2012 provisional constitution, which recognizes federalism (Article 3), to legitimize asymmetrical arrangements. Argue that flexibility exists for negotiated autonomy, as seen in other federations (e.g., Canada, Ethiopia).
  • Negotiation Strategy: Push for constitutional amendments or bilateral agreements to formalize Puntland’s unique status, such as control over resource management, security, and cultural policies.

3. Resource Management and Economic Arguments

  • Resource Leverage: Highlight Puntland’s strategic assets (e.g., seaports, potential oil reserves, rich precious minerals, fisheries) to demonstrate how local control could boost regional and national economies. Propose revenue-sharing models (e.g., % of resource profits to Mogadishu) to align with national interests.
  • Economic Decentralization: Cite examples like Nigeria’s derivation principle or Iraqi Kurdistan’s oil agreements to show how regional resource autonomy can coexist with federal systems.

4. Coalition Building and Diplomacy

  • Domestic Alliances: Collaborate with other federal states (e.g., Jubaland, Galmudug) on shared grievances against central overreach, while distinguishing Puntland’s unique historical claims.
  • International Advocacy: Engage diaspora communities, NGOs, and partners like the EU or AU to frame asymmetrical federalism as a stability-enhancing model. Avoid secessionist rhetoric to maintain international support for Somali unity.

5. Education and Advocacy Strategies

  • Workshops/Publications: Develop Somali-language materials explaining asymmetrical federalism, using case studies (e.g., Quebec, Catalonia). Target politicians, intellectuals, and traditional leaders (e.g., clan elders).
  • Media Campaigns: Utilize local radio, TV, and social media to emphasize Puntland’s contributions to Somalia and the risks of centralization. Frame autonomy as a tool for equitable development, not separatism.
  • Academic Partnerships: Partner with universities to research federalism models and host conferences, inviting national and international experts.

6. Addressing Challenges

  • Counter Centralization Narratives: Preempt accusations of divisiveness by stressing that asymmetrical federalism strengthens unity through mutual respect. For example, note how Ethiopia’s federal system accommodates diversity.
  • Internal Consensus: Address intra-Puntland divisions by fostering dialogue between political elites, business leaders, and civil society to unify the autonomy agenda.

7. Strategic Messaging

  • Unified Somalia, Diverse Governance: Use slogans like “Strong Regions, Strong Somalia” to link Puntland’s autonomy to national prosperity.
  • Security Framing: Argue that Puntland’s autonomous security forces (e.g., counter-piracy efforts) benefit Somalia’s stability, justifying asymmetrical control.

Key Examples for Persuasion

  • Ethiopia’s Ethnic Federalism: Demonstrates how regional autonomy can manage diversity.
  • Canadian Asymmetry: Quebec’s distinct language and cultural policies within a federal system.
  • Iraqi Kurdistan: Resource management and security autonomy without formal secession.

Conclusion

By grounding the argument in Somalia’s constitutional framework, historical precedents, and economic pragmatism, Puntland can position asymmetrical federalism as a stabilizing, equitable solution. Education and coalition-building will be critical to preempt resistance from Mogadishu and secure broad-based support.

TO STAY IN THE SOMALI FEDERATION, PUNTLAND STATE COULD STILL OPT FOR ASYMMETRICAL UNION


To navigate its quest for asymmetrical federalism within Somalia’s contentious political landscape, Puntland must leverage its unique resources, historical influence, and strategic priorities while balancing national unity. Below is a structured approach:


1. Legal and Constitutional Negotiations

  • Amend the Provisional Constitution:
    Advocate for constitutional recognition of asymmetrical federalism, allowing Puntland greater autonomy in governance, resource management, and security. This could mirror models like Quebec (Canada) or Zanzibar (Tanzania), where regions have distinct powers while remaining part of the state.
    • Key Demands: Control over marine resources (fishing, ports), cultural heritage preservation, and local security forces.
    • Leverage International Mediation: Engage the AU, IGAD, or UN to broker talks with Mogadishu, framing autonomy as a stabilizing measure amid counterterrorism efforts.
  • Draft a Puntland Charter:
    Formalize its governance structure, rights, and obligations within Somalia’s federal framework, ensuring alignment with Somali cultural norms and international law.

2. Economic Leverage and Resource Management

  • Negotiate Revenue-Sharing Agreements:
    Demand a higher share of revenues from its natural resources (e.g., frankincense, myrrh, fisheries) to fund local development. Propose a model similar to Iraq’s Kurdistan Region, which retains 17% of federal oil revenues.
    • Ports and Trade: Use control of critical ports (Bosaso, Garacad) to negotiate trade autonomy or joint federal-state management.
  • Develop Blue Economy Partnerships:
    Partner with international entities (e.g., UAE, Turkey, EU) to invest in marine resource exploitation, positioning Puntland as a hub for sustainable fisheries and maritime trade.

3. Political Coalition-Building

  • Form Alliances with Other Federal States:
    Collaborate with Jubaland, Galmudug, and others to push for a decentralized federal system. Jointly advocate for constitutional reforms that empower states while preserving national cohesion.
  • Engage Clan and Civil Society:
    Mobilize Puntland’s influential clans (e.g., Majeerteen, Warsangeli, Dhulbahante, Lelkase, others) and civil society to build grassroots support for autonomy, framing it as a safeguard against Mogadishu’s overreach.

4. Security and Counterterrorism as Bargaining Chips

  • Link Autonomy to Regional Stability:
    Highlight Puntland’s role in combating ISIS in Cal-Miskat and securing the Gulf of Aden. Argue that greater autonomy would enhance its capacity to address transnational threats, benefiting Somalia and global partners.
    • Request Security Sector Support: Seek direct international funding for PMPF, Darawiish, PSF (e.g., via UAE, EU, or U.S. AFRICOM) to reduce reliance on Mogadishu.

5. Public Diplomacy and Identity Politics

  • Promote Puntland’s Historical Legacy:
    Emphasize its pre-1960 political and administrative experience and leadership in Somali reconciliation efforts (e.g., 2004–2009). Use cultural heritage (e.g., ancient port cities like Qandala, Alula, Bargaal, Hafuun etc) to bolster claims to self-rule.
  • Media Campaigns:
    Utilize platforms like Puntland TV and social media to frame autonomy as a democratic right and economic necessity, countering Mogadishu’s centralization narrative.

6. Confidence-Building Measures with Mogadishu

  • Phased Implementation:
    Propose transitional agreements (e.g., 5–10 years) to test asymmetrical governance, allowing Mogadishu to monitor outcomes without ceding permanent authority.
  • Joint Committees:
    Establish federal-state committees on resource management, security, and constitutional reform to build trust and incremental collaboration.

7. International Advocacy

  • Lobby for Recognition:
    Leverage partnerships with Gulf states (UAE, Saudi Arabia) and Turkey, which have strategic interests in Puntland’s ports and resources, to pressure Mogadishu into concessions.
    • Engage Diaspora Networks: Mobilize Puntland’s diaspora in Europe and North America to advocate for autonomy through lobbying and remittance-funded development projects.

8. Mitigating Risks

  • Avoid Secessionist Rhetoric:
    Clearly distinguish asymmetrical federalism from Somaliland’s independence bid to retain domestic and international legitimacy.
  • Prevent Fragmentation:
    Ensure autonomy demands do not alienate minority clans in Puntland, maintaining internal cohesion through inclusive governance.

Comprehensive Analysis and Expansion of Puntland’s Counter-ISIS Strategy in the Cal-Miskat Mountains

By Jama Haji Warsame, Puntland State, Somalia

Introduction
Puntland’s battle against ISIS in the Cal-Miskat Mountain Range is a pivotal effort to stabilize Somalia and curb regional extremism. While the original reports outline a strategic framework, a deeper dive into specific challenges, stakeholder dynamics, and innovative solutions is essential for a robust policy response.


Short-Term Security Challenges: Context and Data

  1. Tactical Adaptations by ISIS:
    • ISIS has historically employed hit-and-run tactics in Somalia’s rugged terrain. For instance, in 2022, militants used similar strategies in the Golis Mountains, causing prolonged skirmishes. The use of IEDs has surged, with over 50 incidents reported in Puntland in 2023 alone, complicating troop movements and endangering civilians.
    • Humanitarian Impact: The UN estimates 30,000 civilians have been displaced since operations began, straining resources in cities like Bosaso. Organizations like the Somali Red Crescent are providing aid, but funding gaps exceed $15 million.
    • Financial Strain: Puntland’s annual security budget is 25 million dollars, yet counter−ISIS operations consume 4010 million dollars, the stabilization package, remains critical but insufficient.

Long-Term Consequences: Lessons from History

  • Security Vacuum: The 2017 withdrawal of Ethiopian troops from central Somalia led to Al-Shabab’s resurgence. Puntland must avoid this by pre-positioning trained local forces in liberated areas.
  • Economic Stagnation: The fishing and livestock sectors, contributing 60% of Puntland’s GDP, face disruption. Unemployment among youth (over 70%) heightens vulnerability to radicalization.
  • Regional Spillover: ISIS affiliates in Mozambique and the DRC demonstrate the group’s capacity to exploit governance gaps. Cross-border intelligence-sharing with Kenya and Ethiopia is vital.

Stakeholder Roles: Collaboration and Challenges

  • Local Leaders: In Somaliland, clan-led peace councils reduced intercommunal violence by 50% in 2020. Replicating this model could enhance trust in Puntland.
  • Federal Government Tensions: Puntland’s boycott of Somalia’s National Security Council in 2023 over resource-sharing disputes risks fragmenting counterterrorism efforts. Mediation by the AU or IGAD is critical.
  • International Partners: The U.S. AFRICOM provides drone surveillance and occasional airstrikes, while UAE trains PMPF troops. The UAE’s port investments in Bosaso could be further leveraged for more economic-security linkages.

Post-Conflict Engagement: Innovative Solutions

  1. Rehabilitation Programs:
    • Nigeria’s “Operation Safe Corridor” DE radicalized 2,000 Boko Haram fighters via psychosocial support. Puntland could partner with UNICEF to replicate this, focusing on vocational training in agriculture.
  2. Infrastructure Development:
    • Prioritize towns-Cal-Miskat road projects to enhance market access and security mobility. Mobile health clinics piloted in Galmudug, reduced maternal mortality by 30%, and could be expanded.
  3. Gender-Inclusive Strategies:
    • Include women in community policing, as seen in Kenya’s “Nyumba Kumi” initiative, which improved local intelligence by 40%.
  4. Environmental Considerations:
    • Mine-clearance efforts must integrate environmental NGOs to restore grazing lands. The HALO Trust’s work in Somaliland offers a blueprint.

The Way Forward: Integrated Strategies

  • Phased Governance Rollout: Within 6 months of liberation, mobile administration units (MAUs) could be deployed to provide basic services, building on lessons from the Somali Regional State in Ethiopia.
  • Economic Revitalization: Partner with the World Bank’s Somalia Urban Resilience Project to fund youth entrepreneurship in Bosaso, targeting sectors like renewable energy and digital services.
  • International Coordination: Establish a “Cal-Miskat Stabilization Coalition” with the AU, EU, and Gulf states, modeled on the Global Coalition Against Daesh, to pool resources and intelligence.

Conclusion
Puntland’s success hinges on transcending military action to embrace holistic governance, economic inclusivity, and regional cooperation. By integrating lessons from global counterinsurgency efforts and addressing gaps in gender and environmental policy, Puntland can transform Cal-Miskat into a beacon of resilience, deterring extremism through sustainable development. The international community must act decisively, recognizing that stability in Puntland is a linchpin for regional security.

Addressing Somali Concerns Over Ankara Talks & Puntland’s Stance

By Warsame Digital Media | February 18, 2025

Growing anxiety among Somalis over recent negotiations between Somalia and Ethiopia, particularly regarding the Ankara Declaration and Ethiopia’s pursuit of sea access, underscores the need for a unified and transparent diplomatic strategy. These concerns are amplified by Puntland State, a critical stakeholder in Somalia’s federal structure, which has voiced objections to the Ankara process over fears of marginalization and threats to Somalia’s territorial integrity. Below are actionable steps to safeguard Somalia’s sovereignty, address Puntland’s grievances, and ensure inclusive representation in high-stakes talks:


1. Ensure National Unity and Federal Inclusion

  • Immediate Action: Expand the Somali delegation to include representatives from federal member states, particularly Puntland, whose strategic coastal interests are directly impacted. Embed technical experts in international law, maritime boundaries, and regional security to counterbalance Ethiopia’s geopolitical leverage.
  • Long-Term Measure: Formalize a permanent intergovernmental committee comprising federal and state-level leaders to oversee all negotiations affecting national sovereignty.

2. Prioritize Transparency and Public Trust

  • Conduct nationwide consultations with civil society, clan elders, and regional governments to unify Somalia’s position. Publicly share the government’s red lines (e.g., no territorial concessions, upholding UNCLOS maritime laws).
  • Issue regular updates via a dedicated portal to dispel rumors and affirm Somalia’s commitment to its constitutional principles.

3. Address Puntland’s Specific Concerns

  • Acknowledge Puntland’s historic role in stabilizing Somalia and countering extremism. Guarantee its inclusion in Ankara Declaration follow-up talks, especially on issues impacting its coastline and resources.
  • Reject any agreements that bypass federal consensus, reinforcing Article 54 of Somalia’s Provisional Constitution, which mandates federal oversight on international treaties.

4. Mobilize Regional and International Backing

  • Rally support from the African Union (AU), Arab League, and Turkey to uphold Somalia’s sovereignty under international law. Highlight Ethiopia’s potential violation of AU principles on border integrity.
  • Partner with Egypt, Eritrea, and other Nile Basin states wary of Ethiopian expansionism to build a united diplomatic front.

5. Prepare Legal and Diplomatic Safeguards

  • Commission a UNCLOS-compliant maritime boundary review to preempt disputes. If Ethiopia escalates its claims, pursue arbitration at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) or UN Security Council.
  • Draft contingency sanctions legislation targeting entities that undermine Somalia’s territorial sovereignty.

6. Invest in Diplomatic Capacity

  • Train Somali diplomats in multilateral negotiation tactics and maritime law, prioritizing talent from coastal states like Puntland.
  • Establish a Horn of Africa Policy Institute to generate data-driven strategies for future negotiations.

Conclusion: Unity as a Non-Negotiable Priority

Somalia’s fragility demands that Mogadishu and federal states like Puntland present a cohesive front. By centering transparency, legal rigor, and inclusive dialogue, Somalia can resist external pressures while rebuilding domestic trust. The Ankara process must not become a pretext for division but a catalyst for reinforcing Somalia’s indivisible sovereignty.


Warsame Digital Media advocates for Somali-led solutions grounded in constitutionalism and equity.


Key Points:

  1. Explicit Acknowledgment of Puntland: Directly addresses its grievances and integrates its representation into the strategy.
  2. Stronger Legal Frameworks: Emphasizes UNCLOS and ICJ mechanisms to counter Ethiopian claims.
  3. Domestic Transparency Measures: Proposes concrete tools (e.g., public portals) to rebuild trust.
  4. Regional Coalition-Building: Aligns Somalia with regional actors opposed to Ethiopian overreach.
  5. Constitutional Safeguards: Cites Article 54 to justify federal-state collaboration on treaties.

WDM MESSAGE

The risk of Somalia’s breakup hinges on addressing the trust deficit through actionable compromises. A combination of constitutional fidelity, inclusive dialogue, and equitable resource management—assisted by international support—could stabilize the federal system. Puntland’s buy-in is critical; addressing its demands while reinforcing shared national interests offers a viable path to cohesion. Without urgent, collaborative action, cyclical fragmentation or tendencies to break up will persist, undermining not only Somalia’s recovery, but eventually its very survival as a country.

The Strategy for Success: Key Steps to Defeat ISIS

TH E
DAILY
SOMALIA
Background of ISIS terrorist
groups.
The ISIS is a terrorist organization that has been officially designated as a global terrorist group.It originally emerged from
Al-Qaeda in Iraq(AQl)in 2004 before rebranding as the Islamic State of Iraq(Isl)in 2006. With the political uprising of Syria in 2011, the group expanded its operations and adopted the name the
islamic State of iraq and Syria (Isis).
ISIS quickly gained notorlety for its brutal tactics and extrome interpretation of Islamic law.By 2014,the group had seized
significant territory in Iraq and Syria,declaring a self-proclaimed
caliphate.This expansion led to a multinational military intervention aimed at combating the group’s influence and
territorial control.The ISIS’s rapid expansion and declaration of a caliphate in 2014 marked a significant turning point in the group’s history and global perception.This self-proclaimed, state, spanning parts of Iraq and Syria,attracted thousands of foreignfighters from around the world,further complicating the regional conflict.The group’s use of social media for propaganda and recruitment purposes demonstrated asophisticated understanding of modern communication tools,allowing them to
spread their ideology and attract supporters on a global scale.

Introduction
The continued presence of ISIS in Puntland poses a serious security threat to Somalia and East Africa. Although this group is smaller than Al-Shabaab in terms of manpower and territorial control, its technological capabilities,resilience in
combat, large number of foreign fighters,
strategic location in the mountains of the Bari region, and the ability to generate revenue through extortion and illegal businesses makes it a significant threat to regional stability and Somalia’s counterterrorism efforts.
The fight against ISIS in Cal-Miskaat, alongside the battles against Al-Shabaab in Gaimudug, Hirshabelle, Jubbaland, South West,and the Somali National Army is a just war that must not be met with neutrality. It is crucial for the government and the public,supporters, and opposition alike to unite to eradicate these
extremists.
The international community’s response to ISIS was multifaceted, involving military interventions,economic sanctions,and efforts to counter the group’s online presence.Coalition airstrikes,combined with ground operations by local forces,gradually eroded ISIS’s territorial control.However,the group’s ideology and decentralized structure has allowed it to persist,evolving into a more traditional
insurgency and continuing to inspire lone-wolf attacks in various
parts of the world.
How did ISIS Arrive in Somalia?
In early 2015,the ISIS attempted to establish a foothold in the Horn of Africa,particularly in Somalia.The group
sought to recruit young fighters and defectors from Al-Shabaab to gain support.Puntland,specifically the
Cal-Miskaat mountains became a key hideout for ISIS fighters,as they engaged in conflict with the Puntland
government and security forces.
Global intelligence sources have identified that ISIS
follows a five-pronged military strategy:
1. Open attacks and direct combat
2.Suicide bombings
3. Propaganda and ideological warfare
4. Espionage and intelligence gathering
5. Guerrilla warfare (ambush tactics)

By ABDULLAAHI ISSE MOHAMED (RUBAANI)
Executive Director at Somali Policy
and Development Centre

PUNTLAND STATE, FEDERAL GOVERNMENT OF SOMALIA AND THE FIGHT AGAINST ISIS AND AL-SHABAB- A GENERAL UNDERSTANDING

The situation in Puntland, where its forces are combating ISIS-Somalia and Al-Shabab with support from the UAE, Ethiopia, and the USA—but without backing from Somalia’s Federal Government (FGS) and African Union Support and Stabilization Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM)—reflects complex geopolitical, security, and intra-Somali tensions. Here’s a structured assessment:

Key Actors and Motivations

  1. Puntland State:
    • Security Autonomy: As an autonomous region since 1998, Puntland has long prioritized self-reliance in security, particularly against ISIS in the Cal Miskaat Mountains and Al-Shabab incursions.
    • Political Tensions with Mogadishu: Strained relations with the FGS over resource-sharing, federalism, and political representation drive Puntland to seek external allies.
  2. Federal Government of Somalia (FGS):
    • Centralization vs. Federalism: Mogadishu views Puntland’s independent alliances as undermining its authority and fears setting precedents for other regions.
    • Geopolitical Alignments: The FGS leans on Turkey and Qatar (rivals of the UAE and Ethiopia), complicating its willingness to endorse Puntland’s partnerships.
  3. External Supporters (UAE, Ethiopia, USA):
    • UAE: Seeks strategic influence via Bosaso port and counters Islamist threats; part of broader Gulf competition with Qatar/Turkey.
    • Ethiopia: Aims to prevent spillover of extremism into its territory and secure economic interests (e.g., port access).
    • USA: Focuses on counterterrorism, targeting ISIS-Somalia to prevent global threats.
  4. Critics in Mogadishu:
    • Sovereignty Concerns: Argue that foreign intervention erodes Somali sovereignty and entrenches regional fragmentation.
    • Proxy War Fears: Suspect UAE/Ethiopian support emboldens Puntland’s autonomy, risking prolonged federal-regional strife.

Security Dynamics

  • ISIS-Somalia vs. Al-Shabab: While Al-Shabab remains the dominant extremist group in Somalia, ISIS’s foothold in Puntland (since 2015) poses a localized threat. The Cal Miskaat Mountains provide strategic terrain for insurgent activities.
  • Counterterrorism Efficacy: External support has likely enhanced Puntland’s operational capacity, but questions remain about long-term sustainability without FGS coordination.

Political Implications

  • Federal-Regional Rift: Mogadishu’s absence of support exacerbates distrust, potentially encouraging other federal states (e.g., Jubaland) to seek external patrons, weakening central governance.
  • Proxy Competition: The UAE/Ethiopia vs. Turkey/Qatar rivalry risks turning Somalia into a theater for regional power struggles, diverting focus from unified counterterrorism.

International Media and Diplomacy

  • Western Coverage: Highlights Puntland’s anti-ISIS efforts, framing it as a frontline in global counterterrorism. This visibility may pressure the FGS to engage but could also deepen its resentment.
  • Diplomatic Strains: The FGS’s criticism of UAE/Ethiopia reflects broader discomfort with non-aligned foreign interventions, complicating international mediation efforts.

Risks and Opportunities

  • Risks:
    • Fragmentation: Parallel security structures in Puntland could inspire secessionist sentiments or weaken federal cohesion.
    • Proxy Escalation: Gulf and Horn rivalries may prioritize strategic interests over Somali stability.
  • Opportunities:
    • Local Stability: Degrading ISIS in Puntland could improve regional security, allowing economic development (e.g., UAE-funded infrastructure).
    • Model for Collaboration: If mediated, Puntland’s efforts could inspire federal-regional counterterrorism partnerships.

Conclusion

The Puntland-FGS divide underscores Somalia’s fragile balance between federalism and centralization, exacerbated by external actors pursuing competing interests. While foreign support bolsters Puntland’s counterterrorism capacity, it risks deepening Somalia’s political fractures and entangling the country in regional power struggles. A sustainable solution requires dialogue between Puntland and Mogadishu, aligned international support, and a unified strategy against extremism that addresses root causes like governance gaps and clan grievances. Without this, Somalia risks further fragmentation, benefiting only extremist groups and external powers.

UNDERSTAND WHY THE ARABS ARE NOW CONDEMNING KING ABDALLAH OF JORDAN

Some Arab political pundits have criticized King Abdullah II of Jordan for meeting with President Donald Trump and endorsing his policy proposal on Gaza and the broader Israeli-Palestinian conflict for several reasons. These criticisms often stem from political, ideological, and regional perspectives, as well as concerns about the implications of Trump’s policies for the Palestinian cause and Arab unity. Below are the key reasons for such condemnation:


1. Perceived Alignment with U.S. Policies Unfavorable to Palestinians

  • Trump’s Pro-Israel Stance: President Trump’s administration was widely seen as heavily biased in favor of Israel, exemplified by decisions such as recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, moving the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, and endorsing Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. These actions were viewed as undermining Palestinian claims to East Jerusalem and the two-state solution.
  • The “Deal of the Century”: Trump’s Middle East peace plan, often referred to as the “Deal of the Century,” was criticized for favoring Israeli interests at the expense of Palestinian rights. Many Arab pundits saw King Abdullah’s engagement with Trump as tacit approval of a plan that they believe marginalizes Palestinian aspirations for statehood and self-determination.

2. Erosion of Jordan’s Historical Role as a Defender of Palestinian Rights

  • Jordan’s Unique Position: Jordan has historically positioned itself as a key advocate for Palestinian rights, partly due to its large Palestinian population and its custodianship of Islamic holy sites in Jerusalem. Critics argue that meeting with Trump and appearing to support his policies undermines Jordan’s moral and political standing as a defender of the Palestinian cause.
  • Perceived Betrayal: Some pundits view King Abdullah’s engagement with Trump as a betrayal of Jordan’s historical commitment to the Palestinian struggle, particularly at a time when the Palestinian leadership rejected Trump’s proposals outright.

3. Regional and Domestic Political Pressures

  • Arab Public Opinion: Across the Arab world, there is widespread sympathy for the Palestinian cause, and Trump’s policies are deeply unpopular. By meeting with Trump, King Abdullah risks alienating not only Palestinians but also broader Arab public opinion, which sees the U.S. approach as unjust and one-sided.
  • Domestic Concerns: Jordan has a significant Palestinian population, and any perceived shift away from supporting Palestinian rights could provoke domestic unrest or criticism from political factions within Jordan.

4. Concerns About Normalization with Israel

  • Normalization of Israeli Occupation: Trump’s policies, particularly those related to Gaza and the West Bank, are seen as attempts to normalize Israeli occupation and annexation of Palestinian territories. Critics argue that King Abdullah’s engagement with Trump could be interpreted as endorsing this normalization, which contradicts the Arab consensus on the need for a just and comprehensive solution to the conflict.
  • Impact on Arab Unity: Some pundits fear that Jordan’s actions could encourage other Arab states to follow suit, further fragmenting the Arab position on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and weakening collective bargaining power.

5. Lack of Palestinian Inclusion in the Process

  • Marginalization of Palestinian Voices: Trump’s policies were crafted without meaningful consultation with Palestinian leaders, leading to accusations that the U.S. was imposing a solution rather than facilitating a negotiated settlement. Critics argue that King Abdullah’s engagement with Trump legitimizes a process that excludes and disempowers Palestinians.
  • Undermining the Palestinian Authority: By engaging with Trump, King Abdullah risks undermining the Palestinian Authority’s position and weakening its ability to negotiate on behalf of the Palestinian people.

6. Geopolitical Implications for Jordan

  • Balancing Act: Jordan walks a fine line between maintaining its strategic relationship with the U.S. and upholding its commitment to the Palestinian cause. Critics argue that King Abdullah’s meeting with Trump prioritizes U.S. ties over regional solidarity, potentially isolating Jordan within the Arab world.
  • Regional Rivalries: Some pundits suggest that Jordan’s actions could be seen as aligning with U.S. and Israeli interests at the expense of broader Arab and Islamic solidarity, particularly in the context of regional rivalries involving countries like Iran and Turkey.

Conclusion

The condemnation of King Abdullah II by some Arab political pundits reflects broader concerns about the direction of U.S. policy under President Trump and its implications for the Palestinian cause. Critics view Jordan’s engagement with Trump as undermining its historical role as a defender of Palestinian rights, legitimizing a one-sided peace process, and risking regional and domestic backlash. While Jordan may have sought to balance its strategic interests with its commitment to the Palestinian cause, the perception of alignment with unpopular U.S. policies has fueled criticism and skepticism among Arab commentators.

Ultimately, the controversy highlights the complex geopolitical dynamics of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the challenges faced by Arab leaders in navigating competing pressures from domestic, regional, and international actors.

Book Review: “Confessions of a British Spy and British Enmity Against Islam”

By M. SIDDIK GUMUS

WDM Book Review: “Confessions of a British Spy and Enmity Against Islam

Introduction
Confessions of a British Spy and British Enmity Against Islam” presents a strategic manual allegedly authored by a British spy during the colonial era, outlining methods to exploit perceived weaknesses in Muslim societies and dismantle their sources of strength. The text is accompanied by rebuttals that defend Islamic principles and Ottoman achievements, reflecting a clash between colonial subterfuge and cultural resilience. This review examines the book’s claims, the counterarguments provided, and their historical and ideological contexts.


Summary of the Book’s Claims
The original text identifies 13 weak spots within Muslim societies:

  1. Internal Divisions: Sectarian (Sunni-Shia), political (ruler vs. people), and tribal conflicts.
  2. Ignorance and Illiteracy: Alleged widespread lack of education.
  3. Spiritual and Moral Decay: Neglect of knowledge and conscience.
  4. Otherworldly Focus: Disengagement from worldly progress.
  5. Tyrannical Rulers: Emperors depicted as oppressive.
    6–13. Infrastructure and Governance Failures: Unsafe roads, poor public health, economic collapse, weak military, and environmental neglect.

The book then lists 23 power sources of Muslims, including unity under Islam, adherence to religious practices (prayer, jihad, charity), strong community bonds, and reverence for scholars and the Qur’an. To undermine these, it recommends fostering division, obstructing education, promoting asceticism, and manipulating rulers.


Rebuttals and Counterarguments
The rebuttals, likely from a defender of Ottoman and Islamic heritage, systematically refute the claims:

  • Internal Unity: The Ottoman system prioritized scholars, as seen in Sultan Mahmud II’s refusal to execute Mawlana Khalid Baghdadi, stating, “Scholars would by no means be harmful to the State.”
  • Education and Literacy: Ottoman villages had mosques and schools; even peasants were literate in faith and crafts.
  • Balance of Worldly and Spiritual: Citing the Prophet’s hadith, “Work for the world as though you’ll never die, and for the Hereafter as if you’ll die tomorrow,” the rebuttal emphasizes Islam’s holistic ethos.
  • Infrastructure and Governance: Ottoman roads were safe for pilgrims, hospitals like those that treated Napoleon existed, and cities like Delhi under Firuz Shah boasted advanced irrigation systems.
  • Military Strength: Historical examples, such as Bayezid I’s victory at Nicopolis (1396), challenge the claim of weak armies.

The rebuttal also counters strategies to erode Muslim strengths, arguing that Islamic teachings inherently promote unity, education, and ethical governance, making external subversion difficult.


Analysis
The original text reflects colonial tactics of division and cultural erosion, exploiting perceived vulnerabilities. However, the rebuttal’s reliance on Ottoman achievements risks idealizing the past. For instance, while Ottoman infrastructure was advanced for its time, later decline is overlooked. Similarly, the defense of caliphs as just rulers contrasts with historical complexities of power struggles.

The spy’s advice to promote asceticism (e.g., via Ghazali’s Ihya Ulum al-Din) is astutely countered by distinguishing zuhd (detachment from materialism) from neglect of worldly duties. The rebuttal’s emphasis on Islamic balance—education, hygiene, and governance—highlights a nuanced understanding often absent in colonial narratives.


Conclusion
“Confessions of a British Spy and British Enmity Against Islam” offers a stark lens into colonial strategies to destabilize Muslim societies by amplifying divisions and undermining cultural pillars. The rebuttals, rooted in Ottoman history and Islamic theology, reveal a resilient identity that resisted such tactics through communal cohesion and institutional strength. While the text serves as a historical artifact of imperial manipulation, the counterarguments underscore the enduring relevance of unity and ethical governance in facing external challenges. This dialogue between subversion and resilience remains pertinent in contemporary discourses on cultural identity and colonialism.

Rating: ★★★★☆ (A compelling historical document with rich counterpoints, though requiring critical engagement with both perspectives.)


This review synthesizes the text’s dual narratives, contextualizing them within broader historical and ideological struggles, and invites reflection on the interplay between external domination and cultural preservation.

PAYPAL MAFIA

Russian Federalism and the Rehabilitation of the Empire — Russia in Global Affairs

https://eng.globalaffairs.ru/articles/russian-federalism-miller/

White Paper: Puntland State’s Strategic Options for Preserving Stability and Autonomy within the Somali Union

Executive Summary
The Puntland State of Somalia has long been a cornerstone of stability and governance in northeastern Somalia, playing a critical role in countering violent extremist groups such as ISIS and Al-Shabab. However, the lack of meaningful support from the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) has exacerbated longstanding grievances, including concerns over constitutional adherence, economic marginalization, and disproportionate policies affecting Puntland’s residents. These challenges have reignited debates about Puntland’s future within the Somali Federation, particularly in light of Somaliland’s unilateral declaration of independence in 1991.

This white paper explores three strategic options for Puntland to address these challenges while preserving stability and autonomy: (1) convening a National Congress for Constitutional Reforms, (2) transitioning to a Confederation Model, and (3) pursuing a Declaration of Independence. Each option is analyzed for feasibility, challenges, and steps forward, with recommendations for prioritizing dialogue, engaging international mediators, and addressing security collaboratively. The paper concludes that while independence remains a last resort, incremental steps toward confederalism or constitutional reform could preserve Somali unity while addressing governance grievances.

Introduction
Puntland State has been a stabilizing force in Somalia for decades, contributing significantly to governance reconstruction and countering violent extremism. Despite these efforts, the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) has failed to provide adequate support, leading to growing discontent over issues such as constitutional violations, economic marginalization, and inequitable policies. These tensions have prompted a reevaluation of Puntland’s role within the Somali Federation.

This white paper examines three potential pathways for Puntland to navigate its current challenges: constitutional reform, confederalism, and independence. Each option is assessed for its feasibility, potential challenges, and actionable steps, with the aim of providing a roadmap for Puntland’s leadership and stakeholders.

Option 1: National Congress for Constitutional Reforms
Feasibility and Challenges
Consensus-Building: A National Congress could foster dialogue between Puntland and the FGS, but success depends on Mogadishu’s willingness to engage. Historical precedents, such as the 2000 Arta Conference, highlight the difficulties of overcoming clan rivalries and centralization tendencies.

Legal Framework: The 2012 Provisional Constitution provides a foundation for reform, but amendments require broad political buy-in from federal states and Mogadishu.

International Support: Mediation by regional bodies like the African Union (AU) or the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), as well as involvement from civil society and traditional leaders, could lend legitimacy to the process.

Steps Forward
Coalition-Building: Partner with other federal states, such as Jubaland and Galmudug, to form a united front advocating for constitutional dialogue.

Preconditions: Secure guarantees for equitable representation and international oversight to ensure Mogadishu’s compliance.

Phased Approach: Prioritize urgent issues like resource-sharing and security cooperation, while deferring contentious topics such as electoral models to later stages.

Option 2: Confederation Model
Feasibility and Challenges
Autonomy vs. Unity: A confederation would grant Puntland greater sovereignty, including independent security forces and fiscal control, while maintaining nominal Somali unity. However, Mogadishu is likely to resist ceding power.

Regional Dynamics: Neighboring states like Ethiopia and Kenya may oppose a confederation if it destabilizes Somalia, though some might tacitly support it to counter Al-Shabab.

Constitutional Hurdles: Transitioning from federalism to confederalism would require redefining the social contract, potentially through a referendum or inter-state treaty.

Steps Forward
Draft a Framework: Propose a confederal constitution outlining shared competencies (e.g., foreign policy, currency) and state-level powers (e.g., taxation, security).

Lobby Internationally: Highlight the confederation as a stability measure to international donors like the EU and UAE, emphasizing parallels with decentralized models such as the UAE’s federalism.

Pilot Cooperation: Initiate cross-state projects, such as joint counterterrorism operations and trade agreements, to demonstrate the benefits of confederalism.

Option 3: Declaration of Independence
Feasibility and Challenges
Legal and Diplomatic Barriers: Under international law, secession is rarely recognized without central government consent. Puntland would face significant challenges in gaining recognition, similar to Somaliland’s unresolved status.

Security Risks: Mogadishu could retaliate militarily, exacerbating conflict and providing opportunities for Al-Shabab to expand its territory.

Economic Implications: Loss of access to Somali financial systems and international aid (via Mogadishu) could cripple Puntland’s economy unless alternative partnerships are secured.

Steps Forward
Preparatory Measures: Strengthen governance institutions, diversify revenue streams (e.g., port fees, diaspora bonds), and seek bilateral aid from countries like the UAE and Ethiopia.

Regional Diplomacy: Court neighboring states for recognition, framing independence as a stabilization measure and leveraging Puntland’s role in countering extremism.

Gradual Unilateralism: Incrementally assert sovereignty (e.g., issuing visas, signing trade deals) while avoiding overt provocation until international backing is assured.

Recommendations
Prioritize Dialogue: Exhaust all avenues for constitutional reform and confederation before considering independence. A united front with other federal states increases leverage in negotiations with Mogadishu.

Engage International Mediators: Involve regional and international bodies such as IGAD, the AU, and key Somalia donors like Qatar and Turkey to pressure Mogadishu into meaningful negotiations.

Contingency Planning: Prepare discreetly for independence by building foreign alliances and securing revenue streams, while publicly advocating for reform.

Address Security Collaboratively: Propose a federal-state security pact with AU support (e.g., AUSSOM) to counter extremists, showcasing Puntland’s commitment to Somali stability.

Conclusion
Puntland’s strategic options—constitutional reform, confederalism, and independence—each present unique opportunities and challenges. While independence remains a last resort, incremental steps toward confederalism or constitutional overhaul could preserve Somali unity while addressing governance grievances. By prioritizing dialogue, engaging international mediators, and addressing security collaboratively, Puntland can navigate its current challenges and secure a stable and autonomous future within or alongside the Somali Federation.

This white paper serves as a foundation for informed decision-making by Puntland’s leadership, stakeholders, and international partners, ensuring that any path forward prioritizes stability, autonomy, and the well-being of all Somali people.

PUNTLAND STATE HAS TWO OPTIONS LEFT TO REMAIN IN THE SOMALI UNION

The defense of territorial sovereignty against foreign or extremist threats is a matter of utmost gravity. For years, the Puntland State of Somalia has borne the brunt of countering violent extremist groups, including ISIS and Al-Shabab, in the northeastern regions of Somalia. Despite these efforts, the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) has yet to provide meaningful support to Puntland’s forces in this critical struggle. This absence of collaboration exacerbates longstanding grievances, including concerns over the FGS’s adherence to the Provisional Federal Constitution, perceived economic marginalization, and policies disproportionately affecting Puntland’s residents.

These tensions unfold against the backdrop of Puntland’s decades-long contributions to stabilizing Somalia and rebuilding governance structures after state collapse. Documented evidence underscores the human and material sacrifices made by Puntland’s people and institutions. Recent developments on the frontlines, however, highlight a troubling pattern of federal disengagement. Many in Puntland perceive the current administration’s failure to fulfill constitutional obligations as a dereliction of duty—a serious charge that merits scrutiny by Somalia’s legislative and judicial bodies.

The cumulative effect of these challenges has reignited debates about Puntland’s future within the Somali Federation, particularly following Somaliland’s unilateral declaration of independence in 1991. While remaining in the union with Banadir remains a possibility, the lack of reciprocity in governance and security cooperation has led some to consider alternatives. Any decision will require careful analysis of constitutional, political, and socioeconomic implications to ensure stability for all Somali people. Here are possible options, feasibility and how to go about each one:

1. National Congress for Constitutional Reforms

Feasibility and Challenges:

  • Consensus-Building: A National Congress could foster dialogue, but success hinges on Mogadishu’s willingness to engage. Historical precedents (e.g., 2000 Arta Conference) show mixed results due to clan rivalries and centralization tendencies.
  • Legal Framework: The 2012 Provisional Constitution provides a basis for reform, but amendments require broad political buy-in, including from federal states and Mogadishu.
  • International Support: Mediation by regional bodies (AU, IGAD) or the UN could pressure stakeholders to participate. Civil society and traditional leaders might help legitimize the process.

Steps Forward:

  • Coalition-Building: Partner with other federal states (e.g., Jubaland, Galmudug) to form a united front demanding constitutional dialogue.
  • Preconditions: Secure guarantees for equitable representation and international oversight to ensure Mogadishu’s compliance.
  • Phased Approach: Prioritize urgent issues (resource-sharing, security cooperation) while deferring contentious topics (e.g., electoral models) to later stages.

2. Confederation Model

Feasibility and Challenges:

  • Autonomy vs. Unity: A confederation would grant Puntland greater sovereignty (e.g., independent security forces, fiscal control) while maintaining nominal Somali unity. However, Mogadishu is likely to resist ceding power.
  • Regional Dynamics: Neighboring states (Ethiopia, Kenya) might oppose a confederation if it destabilizes Somalia, though some could tacitly support it to counter Al-Shabab.
  • Constitutional Hurdles: Transitioning from federalism to confederalism requires redefining the social contract, potentially through a referendum or inter-state treaty.

Steps Forward:

  • Draft a Framework: Propose a confederal constitution outlining shared competencies (e.g., foreign policy, currency) and state-level powers (e.g., taxation, security).
  • Lobby Internationally: Highlight confederation as a stability measure to donors (EU, UAE) wary of state collapse. Emphasize parallels with decentralized models (e.g., UAE’s federalism).
  • Pilot Cooperation: Initiate cross-state projects (e.g., joint counterterrorism operations, trade agreements) to demonstrate confederal benefits.

3. Declaration of Independence

Feasibility and Challenges:

  • Legal and Diplomatic Barriers: Under international law, secession is rarely recognized without central government consent. Puntland would face an uphill battle for recognition, akin to Somaliland’s unresolved status.
  • Security Risks: Mogadishu could retaliate militarily, exacerbating conflict. Al-Shabab might exploit the chaos to expand territory.
  • Economic Implications: Loss of access to Somali financial systems and World Bank/IMF aid (via Mogadishu) could cripple Puntland’s economy unless alternative partnerships are secured.

Steps Forward:

  • Preparatory Measures: Strengthen governance institutions, diversify revenue (e.g., port fees, diaspora bonds), and seek bilateral aid (e.g., UAE, Ethiopia).
  • Regional Diplomacy: Court neighbors for recognition, framing independence as a stabilization measure. Leverage Puntland’s anti-extremism role.
  • Gradual Unilateralism: Incrementally assert sovereignty (e.g., issuing visas, signing trade deals) while avoiding overt provocation until international backing is assured.

Recommendations

  1. Prioritize Dialogue: Exhaust all avenues for constitutional reform and confederation before considering independence. A united front with other federal states increases leverage.
  2. Engage International Mediators: Involve IGAD, the AU, potentially Mogadishu allies like Qatar/Turkey (key Somalia donors) to pressure Mogadishu into negotiations.
  3. Contingency Planning: Prepare for independence discreetly (e.g., building foreign alliances, securing revenue streams) while publicly advocating for reform.
  4. Address Security Collaboratively: Propose a federal-state security pact with AU support (AUSSOM) to counter extremists, showcasing Puntland’s commitment to Somali stability.

Ultimately, Puntland’s path must balance pragmatic diplomacy with firm advocacy for autonomy. While independence remains a last resort, incremental steps toward confederalism or constitutional overhaul could preserve Somali unity while addressing governance grievances.

THE NEGATIVE IMPACTS OF FOREIGN AID TO SOMALIA, CAUSING MASSIVE CORRUPTION, SUPPRESSING LOCAL PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITIES

Think about the channels through which aid is delivered. If it’s through corrupt officials, that’s one issue. If it’s through international organizations that don’t coordinate with local communities, that’s another. Different types of aid (humanitarian vs. development) might have different effects. For example, emergency aid during a famine vs. long-term development projects.

Foreign aid might distort local economies by inflating prices or creating parallel systems that bypass local governance. This can undermine existing structures. Also, the presence of foreign agencies might create a power imbalance, where decisions are made externally rather than by Somalis.

In terms of cultural heritage, maybe there’s a loss of traditional knowledge because aid projects promote modern techniques over traditional ones. Or education programs that don’t incorporate local languages or history, leading to cultural dilution.

For nomadic societies, aid that’s tied to specific locations (like schools or clinics) might force nomads to resettle to access services, disrupting their way of life. Alternatively, land designated for aid projects (like farming) could encroach on traditional grazing lands, leading to conflicts.

In historical context, Somalia’s long period of conflict and lack of strong central government makes it more vulnerable to these issues. Foreign aid in such a context might be more prone to corruption and less effective in fostering sustainable development.

Potential sources: Maybe the UN reports, academic articles on aid effectiveness in Somalia, case studies from NGOs operating there. Also, looking into critiques of humanitarian aid in fragile states.

To say that all foreign aid leads to corruption isn’t accurate, but there are documented cases where it has contributed to it in Somalia. Similarly, not all aid suppresses production, but certain types might.

In conclusion, corruption, suppressed production, cultural erosion, nomadic displacement—has specific mechanisms through which foreign aid could negatively impact Somalia.

The negative impacts of foreign aid in Somalia are multifaceted, affecting governance, economy, culture, and social structures. Here’s a structured analysis of the key issues:

1. Massive Corruption

  • Mechanism: Foreign aid often flows through unstable or weak governance structures, enabling embezzlement and diversion of resources. Somalia’s lack of centralized authority exacerbates this, with aid sometimes captured by elites or warlords.
  • Examples:
    • The 2011 famine saw reports of aid being diverted by armed groups, as documented by the UN Monitoring Group.
    • Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index consistently ranks Somalia among the most corrupt nations, partly due to mismanaged aid.
  • Impact: Dependency on aid undermines institution-building, as local governments lack incentives to develop transparent systems.

2. Suppression of Local Production

  • Mechanism: In-kind food aid can undercut local markets. Free distributions discourage agricultural investment, as seen when imported grains depress prices for Somali farmers.
  • Examples:
    • A 2013 study by the Somali Agriculture Technical Group found that prolonged food aid weakened pastoralist livelihoods, reducing resilience to droughts.
    • USAID’s “monetized aid” (selling donated food to fund projects) has been criticized for distorting local markets.
  • Impact: Long-term dependency replaces self-sufficiency, stifling sectors like agriculture and pastoralism.

3. Erosion of Cultural Heritage

  • Mechanism: Aid programs may impose external values or practices, marginalizing traditional systems. Infrastructure projects sometimes disregard cultural sites or communal land rights.
  • Examples:
    • NGOs have been accused of sidelining traditional elders in decision-making, as noted in a 2017 Rift Valley Institute report.
    • Urbanization driven by aid hubs erodes nomadic traditions, with younger generations adopting sedentary lifestyles.
  • Impact: Loss of indigenous knowledge and social cohesion, as external models replace community-led practices.

4. Uprooting Nomadic Society

  • Mechanism: Fixed aid infrastructure (e.g., clinics, schools) incentivizes settlement, disrupting migratory patterns. Land grabs for agriculture projects encroach on grazing lands.
  • Examples:
    • The establishment of IDP (Internally Displaced Persons) camps has drawn pastoralists to urban areas, fragmenting kinship networks (per a 2020 ODI report).
    • The Jubaland irrigation initiative, funded by foreign donors, displaced nomadic communities, sparking conflicts over resources.
  • Impact: Nomadic identity and adaptive strategies (e.g., seasonal migration) are eroded, increasing vulnerability to climate shocks.

Conclusion

While foreign aid is critical in crises, its design and delivery in Somalia often exacerbate systemic issues. Addressing these challenges requires community-led approaches, anti-corruption safeguards, and aid models that prioritize local production and cultural preservation. For instance, cash-based interventions (e.g., the Somali Cash Consortium) have shown promise in reducing market distortions while empowering recipients. Balancing immediate relief with long-term resilience remains key to mitigating negative impacts.

KNOWN ISIS GUERILLA TACTICS

Islamic State (ISIS) guerrilla tactics are rooted in asymmetric warfare, exploiting instability, and leveraging fear to destabilize regions. Below is an analysis of their known tactics and strategies to counter them:


Known ISIS Guerrilla Tactics

  1. Hit-and-Run Attacks
    • Tactic: Small, mobile units conduct ambushes on security forces, infrastructure, or civilians before retreating.
    • Example: Raids on checkpoints, roadside attacks on convoys.
  2. Suicide Bombings & Vehicle-Borne IEDs (VBIEDs)
    • Tactic: Use of suicide bombers or explosives-laden vehicles to maximize casualties and psychological impact.
    • Example: Attacks on crowded markets, mosques, or government buildings.
  3. Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs)
    • Tactic: Hidden bombs planted in roads, buildings, or public spaces to target security forces and civilians.
    • Example: Booby-trapped homes in liberated areas.
  4. Urban Warfare and Sniper Attacks
    • Tactic: Exploiting urban terrain for sniper positions, tunnels, and fortified hideouts.
    • Example: Prolonged resistance in cities like Mosul (2016–2017).
  5. Blending with Civilians
    • Tactic: Fighters disguise themselves as non-combatants to evade detection and launch surprise attacks.
    • Example: Use of civilian homes as weapons caches.
  6. Propaganda and Psychological Warfare
    • Tactic: Social media campaigns to recruit, spread fear, and glorify attacks.
    • Example: High-quality videos of executions or training camps.
  7. Economic Warfare
    • Tactic: Extortion, smuggling, and control of resources (oil, antiquities) to fund operations.
    • Example: Taxation of local populations in remote areas.
  8. Exploitation of Governance Gaps
    • Tactic: Establishing parallel governance (e.g., courts, schools) in areas with weak state presence.
  9. Use of Human Shields
    • Tactic: Forcing civilians to remain in conflict zones to deter airstrikes or ground assaults.
  10. Foreign Fighter Networks
    • Tactic: Recruiting global sympathizers to conduct attacks in their home countries (lone-wolf operations).

Strategies to Counter ISIS Guerrilla Tactics

1. Intelligence-Driven Operations

  • Action: Use HUMINT (human intelligence), drones, and cyber surveillance to track ISIS cells.
  • Example: Partnering with local informants to identify hideouts.

2. Disrupt Financing Networks

  • Action: Target smuggling routes, oil infrastructure, and cryptocurrency transactions used by ISIS.
  • Example: Coalition airstrikes on ISIS oil trucks in Syria.

3. Counter-IED Measures

  • Action: Deploy advanced detection tech (e.g., ground-penetrating radar) and train forces in bomb disposal.
  • Example: Use of robotic systems to defuse explosives.

4. Community Engagement

  • Action: Build trust with local populations to deny ISIS recruitment and intelligence.
  • Example: Providing aid, restoring services, and involving tribal leaders in peacebuilding.

5. Counter-Propaganda Campaigns

  • Action: Collaborate with tech firms to remove extremist content and promote counternarratives.
  • Example: Highlighting defector stories to discredit ISIS ideology.

6. Strengthening Local Security Forces

  • Action: Train and equip police/paramilitary units to hold territory post-ISIS.
  • Example: The U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in Raqqa.

7. Urban Warfare Training

  • Action: Prepare forces for tunnel warfare, sniper threats, and booby-trapped buildings.
  • Example: Iraqi Counter-Terrorism Service (CTS) training in simulated urban environments.

8. Addressing Root Causes

  • Action: Invest in education, jobs, and governance to reduce vulnerability to radicalization.
  • Example: Rebuilding schools and hospitals in post-ISIS regions like Sinjar.

9. International Cooperation

  • Action: Share intelligence and coordinate border controls to disrupt foreign fighter flows.
  • Example: The Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS (83 member nations).

10. Psychological Resilience

  • Action: Public awareness campaigns to reduce fear and discourage collaboration with ISIS.
  • Example: Radio broadcasts debunking ISIS propaganda in rural areas.

Key Challenges

  • Adaptability: ISIS constantly evolves tactics (e.g., shifting from caliphate-building to insurgency).
  • Civilian Collateral Damage: Aggressive counterinsurgency can alienate local populations.
  • Fragmented Governance: Weak states (e.g., Syria, Afghanistan) enable ISIS resurgence.

Conclusion

Defeating ISIS requires a hybrid approach: combining precise military action, economic pressure, ideological countermeasures, and long-term investments in governance. Success hinges on denying ISIS the three pillars of insurgency—resourcesrecruits, and sanctuary. While military force degrades their capabilities, lasting victory depends on addressing the grievances that allow extremism to thrive.

WHAT IS THE BEST WAY FORWARD FOR PUNTLAND STATE FORCES COMBATING ISIS?

As of February 8, 2025, with the battle against ISIS in Puntland entering its concluding but highly dangerous phases, Puntland State Forces face a critical juncture. ISIS fighters, now cornered in their remaining footholds in the Golis Mountains, are resorting to desperate guerrilla tactics, including ambushes, booby traps, and asymmetric warfare. To achieve final victory while minimizing casualties, Puntland forces must adopt a multi-faceted strategy that combines tactical innovation, intelligence-driven operations, and community engagement. Here’s a roadmap for the best way forward:


1. Tactical Adjustments to Counter Guerrilla Warfare

  • Enhanced Training:
    • Puntland forces should undergo specialized training in counter-guerrilla warfare, focusing on detecting and neutralizing ambushes, improvised explosive devices (IEDs), and booby traps. Partnering with international trainers (e.g., from the UAE or private security firms) could provide expertise.
  • Small Unit Tactics:
    • Shift from large-scale operations to smaller, highly mobile units capable of navigating mountainous terrain and conducting precision strikes. This reduces the risk of mass casualties from ambushes.
  • Night Operations:
    • Conduct more operations under the cover of darkness to exploit ISIS’s reduced visibility and mobility at night. Night-vision equipment and thermal imaging technology would be critical for this.

2. Intelligence-Driven Operations

  • Local Intelligence Networks:
    • Strengthen collaboration with local communities to gather real-time intelligence on ISIS movements, hideouts, and supply routes. Incentivize informants with financial rewards or security guarantees.
  • Surveillance Technology:
    • Deploy drones and satellite imagery to monitor ISIS positions in the Golis Mountains. This reduces the need for risky ground reconnaissance and provides actionable intelligence for targeted strikes.
  • Interrogation and Defectors:
    • Focus on capturing and interrogating low-level ISIS fighters to extract information about their leadership, tactics, and supply chains. Encourage defections by offering amnesty to rank-and-file members.

3. Psychological and Information Warfare

  • Demoralize ISIS Fighters:
    • Use loudspeakers, radio broadcasts, and social media to highlight the futility of ISIS’s resistance and the inevitability of their defeat. Offer safe surrender terms to fighters willing to lay down their arms.
  • Counter-Propaganda:
    • Combat ISIS’s narrative by showcasing Puntland’s victories and the restoration of stability in liberated areas. Highlight the benefits of peace and development to win over local support.

4. Logistical and Medical Support

  • Medical Evacuation Plans:
    • Establish rapid medical evacuation protocols for injured soldiers, including forward-deployed field hospitals and airlift capabilities. This will reduce fatalities from ambushes and booby traps.
  • Supply Lines:
    • Secure and shorten supply lines to frontline troops to ensure they have adequate ammunition, food, and medical supplies. Use helicopters or drones for resupply in hard-to-reach areas.

5. Community Engagement and Stabilization

  • Win Hearts and Minds:
    • Provide humanitarian aid, rebuild infrastructure, and restore basic services in liberated areas to gain the trust of local communities. This reduces the likelihood of civilians supporting ISIS out of desperation.
  • Clan Reconciliation:
    • Address grievances among marginalized clans that ISIS has exploited for recruitment. Foster dialogue and inclusion to weaken ISIS’s local support base.
  • Local Militias:
    • Train and equip local militias to defend their communities against ISIS remnants. This creates a buffer zone and frees up Puntland forces for offensive operations.

6. Strategic Patience and Gradual Advances

  • Avoid Overextension:
    • Resist the urge to rush into ISIS-held areas without proper reconnaissance. Gradual, methodical advances will reduce casualties and prevent costly mistakes.
  • Clear and Hold:
    • Adopt a “clear and hold” strategy, where liberated areas are secured and stabilized before moving forward. This prevents ISIS from re-infiltrating captured territories.

7. International Support (Indirect

  • Targeted Airstrikes:
    • While Puntland lacks direct support from the SNA or ATMIS, it can lobby for targeted airstrikes by international partners (e.g., the U.S.) to degrade ISIS leadership and infrastructure.
  • Humanitarian Aid:
    • Seek international humanitarian assistance to address displacement and rebuild communities affected by the conflict. This will bolster Puntland’s legitimacy and stability.

8. Learning from Mistakes

  • After-Action Reviews:
    • Conduct thorough reviews of recent operations to identify tactical and strategic errors. Use these lessons to refine future plans and avoid repeating mistakes.
  • Adaptability:
    • Remain flexible and adapt to ISIS’s evolving tactics. Encourage frontline commanders to innovate and share best practices.

Conclusion

The final phase of the war against ISIS in Puntland is fraught with challenges, but victory is within reach if Puntland State Forces adopt a comprehensive, adaptive, and community-centered approach. By combining tactical precision, intelligence-driven operations, and efforts to win local support, Puntland can eliminate ISIS’s remaining footholds in the Golis Mountains while laying the groundwork for long-term stability. The key is to avoid overconfidence, learn from past mistakes, and prioritize the safety and well-being of both soldiers and civilians.

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White Paper: Addressing the Erosion of Institutional Memory and Governance in Somalia and Puntland

White Paper: Addressing the Erosion of Institutional Memory and Governance in Somalia and Puntland

Date: February 7, 2025


Executive Summary

Somalia’s failure to institutionalize historical knowledge, coupled with political leaders’ suppression of experienced talent, threatens national recovery and survival. This white paper synthesizes evidence from academic analyses, governance studies, and conflict reports to outline the dangers of neglecting institutional memory and propose actionable solutions. Key issues include clan-based governance, systemic corruption, and the deliberate erasure of historical education, all of which perpetuate instability and hinder state-building efforts.


I. Current Challenges

  1. Suppression of Institutional Memory
    • Clan-Centric Governance: Political leaders in Somalia and Puntland prioritize clan loyalty over meritocracy, viewing experienced administrators as threats to their power. This undermines professional governance and entrenches nepotism
    • Erasure of Historical Education: Schools have ceased teaching Somali history, disconnecting younger generations from lessons of past governance, conflict resolution, and state-building. This vacuum enables cyclical violence and poor policymaking.
    • Fragmented Security Institutions: The Somali Police Force (SPF) and regional forces like Puntland’s lack cohesive institutional memory due to decades of fragmentation, reliance on international aid, and clan rivalries.
  2. Political Dysfunction
    • Elite Power Struggles: Leadership crises, such as the 2021 clash between President Farmaajo and PM Roble over intelligence agency control, illustrate how personal interests override national stability.
    • Weak Federalism: Somalia’s federal model has devolved into clan enclaves (e.g., Somaliland, Puntland), where regional leaders act as “independent rulers,” sabotaging national unity.

II. Consequences of Neglect

  1. Security Vulnerabilities
    • Al-Shabaab exploits governance voids, offering dispute resolution and public services in areas neglected by the state. Clan militias and federal forces, lacking institutional coordination, fail to hold recaptured territories.
    • Somaliland’s recent clan conflicts in Las Anod highlight how weakened institutions enable external actors (e.g., al-Shabaab, Gulf states) to destabilize regions.
  2. Economic and Social Stagnation
    • Puntland’s corruption and mismanagement of resources exacerbate youth unemployment and infrastructure deficits, fueling resentment and radicalization.
    • The 2023 famine, affecting 6.7 million Somalis, underscores how poor governance amplifies humanitarian crises.
  3. Loss of National Identity
    • Clan-based administrations erase shared Somali identity, replacing it with fragmented loyalties. This undermines efforts to counter extremist ideologies like al-Shabaab’s.

III. Recommendations

  1. Revive Institutional Memory
    • Historical Curriculum Reform: Integrate Somali history and governance lessons into school curricula, emphasizing pre-1991 state-building successes and post-collapse failures.
    • Archival Projects: Collaborate with international partners (e.g., UNDP) to digitize historical records and oral histories, preserving knowledge for future leaders.
  2. Strengthen Governance Structures
    • Merit-Based Appointments: Establish independent oversight bodies to ensure administrative roles prioritize competence over clan affiliation.
    • Decentralized Power Sharing: Adopt Somaliland’s community-centric dispute resolution models to balance federal and local governance.
  3. Counter External Exploitation
    • Regulate Foreign Interference: Limit Ethiopian and Gulf state interventions that fuel clan divisions. Leverage regional partnerships (e.g., AU) to enforce sovereignty.
    • Redirect International Aid: Shift funding from militarization (e.g., U.S. counterterrorism) to capacity-building programs for education and infrastructure.
  4. Engage in Inclusive Dialogue
    • Negotiate with Al-Shabaab: Explore conditional talks to secure humanitarian access and local ceasefires, as proposed by the International Crisis Group.
    • Clan Reconciliation Forums: Revive traditional xeer (customary law) systems to mediate inter-clan disputes and integrate marginalized groups into governance.

IV. Call to Action

Somalia’s survival hinges on rebuilding trust in institutions and reclaiming its historical narrative. This requires:

  • Political Will: Leaders must prioritize national over clan interests, as seen in Somaliland’s incremental state-building.
  • International Collaboration: Donors should align aid with Somali-led reforms rather than imposing external agendas.
  • Public Advocacy: Civil society and media must amplify grassroots demands for accountability and historical preservation.

Conclusion
The erosion of institutional memory is not merely a governance failure but an existential threat. By addressing these issues through education, inclusive governance, and strategic diplomacy, Somalia can break cycles of conflict and reclaim its path to stability.

References
[1] Stability Journal, Remembrance of Things Past: Somali Roads to Police Development
[2] Statecraft, Political Crisis Looms in Somalia
[3] Responsible Statecraft, Clan Fighting Threatens Somaliland
[4] SCIRP, Ineffective Leadership in Puntland
[5] Responsible Statecraft, Negotiate with Terrorists in Somalia
[6] Responsible Statecraft, US Military Exacerbates Violence
[7] Somali Times, Somalia’s Top 5 Security Threats
[8] Sciences Po, Puntland Social Analysis
[9] CFR, Somalia’s Political Paradoxes
[10] Brookings, Somalia’s Challenges in 2023


This white paper synthesizes insights from diverse sources to provide a roadmap for policymakers, educators, and civil society. For further details, consult the referenced articles.

Postscript:

Addressing the issue of forfeiting institutional memory in Somalia requires a multifaceted approach that tackles the root causes and implements sustainable solutions. Here are some key strategies:

  1. Documentation and Archiving:
  • Establish comprehensive archives: Create physical and digital repositories to store government documents, records, and data. This includes everything from policy papers and legal documents to financial records and historical data.
  • Develop standardized systems: Implement clear and consistent systems for organizing, classifying, and retrieving information. This will ensure that data is easily accessible and usable in the future.
  • Invest in technology: Utilize modern technology to digitize existing records and create secure databases for storing and managing information.
  1. Capacity Building:
  • Train staff in record management: Provide training to government employees on proper record-keeping practices, data management, and the use of archiving systems.
  • Promote knowledge sharing: Encourage a culture of knowledge sharing within government institutions. This can be done through mentorship programs, workshops, and online platforms.
  • Invest in education: Support educational institutions in developing programs that focus on archival science, library studies, and information management.
  1. Institutional Strengthening:
  • Develop clear legal frameworks: Enact laws and regulations that mandate the preservation of institutional memory and outline clear procedures for managing government records.
  • Establish independent oversight bodies: Create independent bodies to monitor and enforce compliance with record-keeping regulations and ensure the long-term preservation of institutional memory.
  • Promote transparency and accountability: Foster a culture of transparency and accountability within government institutions. This will encourage employees to value and preserve institutional memory.
  1. Community Engagement:
  • Involve civil society organizations: Partner with civil society organizations to raise awareness about the importance of institutional memory and to support initiatives aimed at preserving it.
  • Engage with local communities: Work with local communities to document and preserve their own histories and traditions. This can help to complement official records and provide a more complete picture of Somalia’s past.
  • Promote research and scholarship: Encourage research and scholarship on Somali history, culture, and institutions. This will help to ensure that institutional memory is used to inform policy-making and development initiatives.
  1. International Cooperation:
  • Seek technical assistance: Collaborate with international organizations and experts to obtain technical assistance and training in record management and archival science.
  • Share best practices: Participate in international forums and networks to share best practices and learn from other countries’ experiences in preserving institutional memory.
  • Mobilize resources: Seek financial support from international donors to support initiatives aimed at preserving institutional memory in Somalia.
    By implementing these strategies, Somalia can begin to address the issue of forfeiting institutional memory and ensure that its rich history and knowledge are preserved for future generations.

Exposing Corruption and Mismanagement in Somalia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. How Systemic Failures Undermine Diplomacy and Public Trust

Introduction


Somalia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, tasked with safeguarding the nation’s global interests, faces grave allegations of corruption, nepotism, cronyism, and institutional incompetence.  This investigation, drawing on leaked documents, insider accounts, and expert analysis, reveals how these practices erode diplomatic efficacy and public trust. 

1. Corruption:

Misuse of Power and Funds
– Evidence: Budget audits show unexplained discrepancies, including diverted funds earmarked for embassy operations. Leaked procurement records reveal inflated contracts awarded to shell companies. 
Example: A 2022 internal report flagged $2.3 million in unaccounted spending, allegedly linked to senior officials. 
– Source: Anonymous diplomats cite demands for bribes to secure postings, corroborated by encrypted testimonies. 

2. Nepotism:

Family Ties Over Merit
– Evidence: Employment records obtained by  WDM indicate 30% of recent hires share familial ties to ministry leadership. 
– Case Study: The appointment of a junior official with no diplomatic experience as head of a European desk, reportedly a relative of a high-ranking director. 

3. Cronyism:

Contracts for Allies
– Example: A $500,000 consular services contract awarded to a firm owned by a ministry official’s associate, bypassing competitive bidding. 


Impact:

Poor service delivery, with visa applicants facing year-long delays. 

4. Incompetence:

Diplomatic Blunders
– Failed Initiatives: A botched regional security partnership due to poor coordination, cited by African Union sources. 


– Staff Shortcomings:

Over 40% of staff lack formal diplomatic training, per a 2023 internal review. 

Broader Implications


– International Standing: Allies express frustration over unfulfilled agreements. “Somalia’s credibility is at risk,” notes a Nairobi-based analyst. 
– Public Trust: Protests in Mogadishu demand accountability, with citizens citing consular neglect. 

Government Response


The Ministry denied allegations, calling them “baseless,” but declined to provide counter-evidence. Anti-corruption NGOs urge an independent audit, while lawmakers remain silent. 

Expert Context


Transparency International ranks Somalia among the world’s most corrupt nations. Dr. Amina Warsame, a governance scholar, links ministry dysfunction to broader state fragility. 

Conclusion


These revelations underscore an urgent need for transparency. Civil society groups advocate for international oversight and merit-based reforms. Without accountability, Somalia’s diplomatic future—and its people—will pay the price. 

Call to Action


Readers are urged to demand parliamentary action and support watchdog organizations. Share this article to amplify the call for change. 

— 
This report was developed through rigorous cross-verification of documents, protected whistleblower accounts, and expert consultations. Names are withheld for safety. The Ministry was offered repeated opportunities to respond.

— 
Note:

This structure balances factual reporting with ethical considerations, emphasizing verifiable data, context, and balanced perspectives. Always consult legal advisors before publication, especially in high-risk environments.

HONOUR PUNTLAND STATE HEROES FIGHTING ISIS AND AL-SHABAB

Recognizing and commending the bravery and sacrifices of forces like those in Puntland State who confront groups such as ISIS is essential for honoring their contributions and boosting morale. Here are meaningful ways to acknowledge their courage and resilience:

Official Recognition
   – State Honours: Governments or regional authorities can award medals, certificates, or titles (e.g., “Hero of Puntland”) to soldiers and units for exceptional bravery or sacrifice.
   Public Statements: Leaders can issue formal proclamations or speeches praising their efforts, ensuring their sacrifices are publicly acknowledged.
   -emorials: Build monuments, plaques, or dedicate public spaces (e.g., parks, streets) to fallen soldiers, ensuring their legacy endures.

2. Community Support
   – Local Ceremonies: Organize community events, parades, or vigils to honor both fallen and active soldiers, fostering solidarity and gratitude.
   – Support Families: Create funds or programs to assist families of casualties (e.g., scholarships, financial aid, healthcare).
   – Storytelling: Share stories of bravery through local media, documentaries, or oral histories to humanize their sacrifices and inspire others.

3. International Recognition
   – Diplomatic Praise: Encourage regional bodies (e.g., African Union) or global organizations (e.g., UN, EU, Arab League) to formally recognize their role in combating terrorism.
   – Humanitarian Awards: Nominate individuals or units for international awards (e.g., humanitarian or peacekeeping honours).
   – Partnerships: Advocate for international support (training, resources) to strengthen their efforts while acknowledging their existing sacrifices.

4. Personal Gestures
   – Letters of Gratitude: Encourage civilians, schools, or diaspora communities to write letters or create art expressing thanks.
   – Social Media Campaigns: Use hashtags or viral campaigns to amplify their stories globally (e.g., #PuntlandBravery).
   – Interfaith Prayers: Organize religious or cultural ceremonies to honor the fallen and comfort grieving communities.

5. Long-Term Commitment
   – Education: Teach younger generations about their sacrifices through school curricula or museum exhibits.
   – Veteran Support: Ensure survivors receive psychological care, job opportunities, and lifelong recognition for their service.
   – Accountability: Advocate for justice by documenting their struggles and holding perpetrators of violence accountable.

Key Considerations
   – Respect Cultural Norms: Ensure commemoration aligns with local traditions and values.
   – Balance Grief and Pride: Acknowledge losses while celebrating their courage to avoid glorifying war.
   – Amplify Voices: Center the narratives of soldiers, families, and affected communities in storytelling.

By combining formal honors, community solidarity, and global awareness, we can honour their sacrifices while inspiring continued resilience against extremism. Their fight is not just for Puntland but for global security—a cause worthy of remembrance and respect.

HOW TO RESOLVE POLITICAL FRICTION BETWEEN THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT OF SOMALIA AND PUNTLAND STATE

Resolving the political friction between the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) and Puntland State requires addressing deep-seated grievances over power-sharing, resource allocation, and constitutional interpretation, while fostering trust and institutionalizing cooperative governance. Below is a structured approach informed by Somalia’s political dynamics, federalism challenges, and lessons from similar conflicts:


1. Address Core Grievances

  • Constitutional Clarity:
    • Finalize and ratify Somalia’s provisional constitution to clarify federal-state powers, including:
      • Revenue Sharing: Establish transparent mechanisms for distributing resources (e.g., port revenues, fisheries, oil/gas).
      • Security Arrangements: Define roles for federal and state forces in combating terrorism (e.g., Al-Shabab, ISIS) and managing local militias.
    • Ensure Puntland’s concerns about overcentralization are addressed, balancing autonomy with national unity.
  • Resource Management:
    • Create joint committees to oversee natural resource exploration and revenue-sharing agreements (e.g., Puntland’s oil blocks).
    • Adopt models like Nigeria’s derivation principle, where states retain a percentage of locally generated resources.

2. Institutionalize Dialogue Mechanisms

  • National Reconciliation Framework:
    • Revive platforms like the National Consultative Council (NCC), ensuring Puntland’s equal participation alongside other federal member states.
    • Involve traditional elders (Guurti), civil society, and religious leaders to mediate disputes and legitimize agreements.
  • Third-Party Mediation:
    • Engage neutral actors (e.g., IGADAU, or Qatar/Turkey as trusted partners) to broker talks and guarantee implementation of deals.

3. Build Trust Through Incremental Steps

  • Confidence-Building Measures:
    • Jointly manage critical infrastructure (e.g., Bosaso Port) to demonstrate shared benefits.
    • Cooperate on security operations against Al-Shabab/ISIS in contested areas (e.g., Galgala mountains).
  • Symbolic Gestures:
    • Publicly acknowledge Puntland’s historical role in stabilizing Somalia and its contributions to counterterrorism.
    • Avoid inflammatory rhetoric; instead, emphasize shared Somali identity in official communications.

4. Learn from Past Failures and Successes

  • Avoid Past Mistakes:
    • The 2016 Mogadishu Declaration failed due to lack of implementation. Future agreements must include timelines, monitoring mechanisms, and penalties for non-compliance.
  • Emulate Positive Models:
    • Borrow from Ethiopia’s ethnic federalism (though imperfect) to balance regional autonomy with federal oversight.
    • Study the Puntland-Somaliland dialogue (e.g., 2014 Tukaraq ceasefire) for lessons on conflict de-escalation.

5. Strengthen Federalism Through Equity

  • Equitable Representation:
    • Ensure Puntland holds influential positions in federal institutions (e.g., Parliament, Cabinet, Supreme Court).
  • Development Parity:
    • Direct international aid (e.g., World Bank, EU) to Puntland’s infrastructure and services to reduce perceptions of marginalization.

6. Mitigate External Interference

  • Regional Actors:
    • Counteract divisive roles played by Gulf states (e.g., UAE vs. Qatar rivalries influencing Somali federalism).
  • Donor Coordination:
    • Unify international partners (UN, U.S., EU) behind a coherent strategy supporting Somali-led solutions, not competing agendas.

7. Prepare for Political Transitions

  • Electoral Reforms:
    • Ensure Puntland’s buy-in to Somalia’s electoral model (e.g., one-person-one-vote vs. clan-based systems) to prevent boycotts.
  • Leadership Engagement:
    • Foster personal rapport between FGS and Puntland leaders (e.g., President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Puntland’s Said Abdullahi Deni).

Challenges and Risks

  • Spoilers: Hardliners in Mogadishu or Garowe may sabotage deals to retain power.
  • Resource Curse: Oil/gas discoveries could exacerbate tensions if not managed transparently.
  • Security Vacuum: Stalemates risk ceding territory to ISIS/Al-Shabab, as seen in Galmudug and Bari regions.

Conclusion

The FGS-Puntland rift reflects broader struggles to reconcile Somali nationalism with federal autonomy. A sustainable solution requires constitutional finalityequitable resource governance, and inclusive dialogue backed by enforceable agreements. International partners should support Somali-owned processes without imposing external models. While compromise will be difficult, incremental progress—such as joint security operations or revenue-sharing pilots—can rebuild trust and demonstrate the benefits of cooperation over confrontation. Ultimately, Somalia’s stability depends on balancing the aspirations of its federal states with the imperative of a united, functional central government.

HOW PUNTLAND STATE CAN TAKE CARE OF ITS FORCES ENGAGED IN FIGHT WITH ISIS AND AL-SHABAB

To address the challenge of supporting Puntland State forces battling extremists in the Al-Miskat Mountains, the following structured strategies can be implemented, leveraging local resources and innovative approaches:

1. Strengthen Local Resource Mobilization

  • Clan and Nomadic Partnerships: Formalize clan contributions through a structured system, such as negotiated quotas or voluntary pledges, incentivized by community recognition or future benefits. Nomads could supply pack animals (camels, donkeys) for logistics and meat rations.
  • Private Sector Engagement: Partner with local businesses for donations of supplies or funds, offering tax incentives or public acknowledgment in return.

2. Medical Support Systems

  • Community Health Training: Train nomads, clans, and soldiers in basic first aid and trauma care to stabilize wounded personnel. Collaborate with local midwives or traditional healers to expand capacity.
  • Mobile Medical Units: Establish low-cost mobile clinics using donated vehicles or pack animals, staffed by volunteers or minimally trained personnel. Seek partnerships with NGOs like Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) or the Red Cross for supplies and expertise.

3. Logistics and Supply Chain

  • Localized Supply Networks: Use nomadic knowledge of terrain to create efficient supply routes. Employ pack animals to transport rations, water, and medical supplies to frontline troops.
  • Resource Prioritization: Implement triage systems to allocate medical resources to the most critical cases, ensuring rapid return of soldiers to combat where possible.

4. Fundraising and Financial Strategies

  • Diaspora Engagement: Launch targeted crowdfunding campaigns via social media, appealing to the Somali diaspora for financial support. Ensure transparency through independent oversight of funds.
  • Local Fundraising Drives: Organize community-led initiatives (livestock auctions, charity events) to raise funds for medical supplies and equipment.

5. Morale and Psychological Support

  • Community and Religious Leadership: Mobilize elders and religious leaders to provide moral support and counseling to troops, boosting morale through cultural and spiritual solidarity.

6. International Advocacy and Alternative Aid

  • Direct Outreach to Donors: Bypass federal channels by appealing directly to foreign governments, NGOs, and international bodies (e.g., UN, EU) for humanitarian or counterterrorism aid. Highlight Puntland’s role in regional security.
  • Leverage Counterterrorism Networks: Seek discreet partnerships with countries invested in combating ISIS/Al-Shabab, such as the UAE, Turkey, or the U.S., for non-lethal aid (medicines, logistics).

7. Low-Tech Innovation

  • Telemedicine: Use mobile phones to connect frontline medics with remote doctors for guidance in emergencies.
  • Traditional Solutions: Integrate proven traditional medicine practices where modern resources are unavailable.

8. Strategic Prioritization

  • Focus on Sustainability: Invest in training programs for logistics and medical care to build long-term resilience. Prioritize reusable supplies (e.g., sterilizable bandages) over single-use items.

Conclusion

Puntland can leverage its strong clan networks, nomadic expertise, and diaspora connections to create a self-reliant support system. By combining local resource mobilization with targeted international appeals and low-cost innovations, it can sustain its forces despite limited external assistance. Success hinges on community cohesion, transparent management, and adaptive strategies tailored to the region’s socio-cultural context.

HOW TO HANDLE DECEASED TERRORISTS AT BATTLE FIELDS

Handling the bodies of deceased combatants, including terrorists, requires adherence to legal, ethical, health, and sociopolitical considerations. Below are best practices for managing the remains of ISIS fighters killed in conflict with Puntland State forces, informed by international standards and lessons from similar contexts:


1. Legal and Ethical Obligations

  • International Humanitarian Law (IHL): Even though ISIS is a non-state actor, customary IHL principles (e.g., humane treatment of the dead) should guide actions to uphold moral legitimacy and avoid accusations of war crimes.
  • Respect for Human Dignity: Avoid mutilation, public display, or desecration of bodies, as these acts can fuel propaganda, radicalization, or retaliation.
  • Documentation: Record the number of bodies, locations, and any identifying features (e.g., tattoos, documents) for future investigations or potential repatriation requests. This also aids in distinguishing foreign fighters from locals.

2. Public Health Measures

  • Swift Burial: Decomposing bodies pose health risks (e.g., disease outbreaks). Bury remains promptly in designated, secure sites away from water sources or populated areas.
  • Mass Graves: If individual burial is impractical, use marked mass graves with GPS coordinates recorded. Avoid “incognito” burials that erase accountability or complicate future exhumations (e.g., for war crimes tribunals).
  • Protective Gear: Ensure personnel handling bodies use gloves and masks to prevent exposure to pathogens.

3. Religious and Cultural Sensitivity

  • Islamic Burial Rites: Follow basic Islamic practices (e.g., washing, shrouding, facing Mecca) if feasible, even for adversaries. Denying rites risks alienating communities or fueling narratives of state “oppression.”
  • Anonymous Burial: If identities are unknown or unclaimed, bury bodies in unmarked graves but maintain records. This balances dignity with security concerns.

4. Security and Political Considerations

  • Prevent Martyrdom Narratives: Avoid creating burial sites that could become shrines for sympathizers. Use discreet locations and refrain from publicizing coordinates.
  • Community Engagement: Consult local elders and religious leaders to address concerns about burial sites (e.g., proximity to villages) and mitigate stigma.
  • Foreign Fighters: Notify relevant embassies or international organizations (e.g., ICRC) about the deaths, even if repatriation is refused. This fulfills procedural obligations and may deter legal disputes.

5. Coordination with External Actors

  • International Organizations: Partner with the ICRC or Somali Red Crescent to ensure compliance with global norms. They can assist with documentation and dignified burials.
  • Forensic Support: Seek technical help from entities like the UN or African Union to preserve evidence (e.g., DNA samples) for future accountability processes.

6. Environmental Protection

  • Site Selection: Bury bodies in arid, low-traffic areas to minimize groundwater contamination. Avoid ecologically sensitive zones.
  • Use of Lime: In mass graves, apply lime to accelerate decomposition and reduce odor/disease risks.

7. Long-Term Accountability

  • Maintain Records: Archive burial details (locations, photos, identifiers) for potential future exhumations (e.g., war crimes prosecutions or family claims).
  • Transparency: Issue a public statement (without glorifying terrorists) confirming that bodies were handled lawfully and respectfully to counter misinformation.

Case Studies for Guidance

  • Iraq/Syria: Used mass graves for ISIS fighters but faced criticism for poor documentation. Lessons: Prioritize record-keeping and avoid desecration.
  • Mali: Partnered with ICRC to bury jihadist remains anonymously while respecting Islamic rites, reducing community tensions.

Risks to Avoid

  • Summary Disposal: Hasty, unrecorded burials may violate legal norms and complicate post-conflict reconciliation.
  • Politicization: Weaponizing bodies for propaganda (e.g., trophy photos) harms reconciliation and legitimizes extremist narratives.

Recommendation for Puntland

Proceed with prompt, dignified burials in designated sites, adhering to Islamic rites where possible. Document all steps, engage local leaders, and notify international bodies. This approach balances health, legal, and ethical obligations while denying ISIS opportunities to exploit the issue. If feasible, involve neutral actors like the ICRC to lend credibility to the process.

HANDLING THE SURRENDER OF HIGH PROFILE ISIS AND AL-SHABAB LEADERS

Handling the surrender of high-profile extremist leaders like Amir “Lahore” while ensuring justice for the victims is a complex and sensitive issue. Both Puntland and Somali Federal Governments have experienced this dilemma before. Federal Ministers for Religious Affairs Mukhtar Roobow and Defence “TikTok” were high-profile Al-Shabab leaders. The President of Juabaland State Ahmed Mohamed Islam (Ahmed Madoobe) also comes under those politically rehabilitated Al-Shabab leaders. Others included Al-Shabab leader in Galgala mountains of Bari Region  in Puntland State, “Amir Atom,” exiled to Qatar some years back. These former extremist leaders denounced Al-Shabab, while Col. Hassan Dahir Aweys, leader of Al-Shabab and defunct Union of Islamic Courts, refused to abandon extremist ideology and preferred detention instead.

Drawing from historical cases such as Mukhtar Roobow, Ahmed Madoobe, Amir Atom, and Hassan Dahir Aweys, the following framework emerges that the Puntland government could consider to balance amnesty, justice, and long-term stability:

1. Conditional Amnesty

  • The amnesty offered by the Puntland government could be conditional, requiring individuals like Lahore to provide actionable intelligence, disclose the locations of other fighters, and cooperate fully with authorities in dismantling extremist networks.
  • This approach ensures that the surrender contributes to broader security goals while holding individuals accountable for their actions.

2. Transparent Legal Process

  • Even if Lahore has surrendered under an amnesty, he should still face a transparent legal process. This could involve a public trial where evidence of his crimes is presented, and victims or their families are given a platform to share their experiences.
  • A fair trial would demonstrate the government’s commitment to justice and the rule of law, while also addressing the grievances of those affected.

3. Victim-Centered Justice

  • Establish mechanisms for restorative justice, such as truth and reconciliation commissions, where victims and their families can confront perpetrators and seek closure.
  • Compensation or reparations for victims’ families could also be considered as part of the justice process.

4. Public Accountability

  • The government should communicate clearly with the public about the terms of the amnesty and the legal process Lahore will undergo. Transparency is key to maintaining public trust and ensuring that the amnesty is not perceived as a free pass for serious crimes.

5. Rehabilitation and Reintegration

  • For lower-level fighters who surrender, the government could focus on rehabilitation and reintegration programs to help them rejoin society. However, for high-profile leaders like Lahore, rehabilitation should only be considered after they have fully accounted for their actions and served any sentences imposed by the courts.

6. International Cooperation

  • Given the transnational nature of groups like ISIS and Al-Shabab, Puntland could seek assistance from international partners, such as the African Union, the United Nations, the US and EU, to ensure that the legal process meets international standards and to provide additional resources for justice and reconciliation efforts.

7. Long-Term Security Measures

  • While addressing individual cases like Lahore’s, the government should also focus on long-term strategies to prevent the resurgence of extremism. This includes addressing root causes such as poverty, lack of education, and political marginalization.

8. Balancing Amnesty and Justice

  • The government must strike a delicate balance between offering amnesty to encourage defections and ensuring that serious crimes are not overlooked. Amnesty should not equate to impunity, especially for those responsible for mass atrocities.

By taking a multifaceted approach that prioritizes justice, transparency, and reconciliation, the Puntland government can address the immediate challenge of dealing with surrendered extremists while laying the groundwork for long-term peace and stability.

MEMO FOR THE SOMALI OPPOSITION (FEDERAL MEMBER STATES, OPPOSITION ELEMENTS, AND PERSONS ASPIRING LEADERSHIP ROLES)

https://ismailwarsame.blog/2025/02/03/memo-for-somali-opposition-federal-member-states-opposition-elements-and-persons-aspiring-leadership-roles/

MEMO FOR THE SOMALI OPPOSITION (FEDERAL MEMBER STATES, OPPOSITION ELEMENTS, AND PERSONS ASPIRING LEADERSHIP ROLES)

The main issues in Somalia are corruption, abuse of power, unilateral decisions on elections, and lack of consultation with federal member states. Steps to tackle with these serious problems could include:

1. Strengthening anti-corruption measures: Maybe creating or empowering an independent anti-corruption body. But if the government itself is corrupt, how would that happen? Maybe with international help or civil society pressure.

2. Promoting accountability: Ensuring that the executive, legislative, and judiciary are separate and can check each other. If the President is controlling all three, that’s a big problem. Maybe supporting the judiciary’s independence, but how?

3. Electoral reforms: The President is pushing for one person one vote elections, but without proper consultation. Maybe advocating for inclusive dialogue with federal states to agree on electoral processes. This could involve regional leaders, civil society, etc.

4. Civil society and media: Supporting these groups to raise awareness and hold the government accountable. But if the government is oppressive, this might be risky. Maybe international support for these groups?

5. International pressure: Engaging the African Union, UN, or other international bodies to mediate or pressure the government to reform. Sanctions or conditional aid?

6. Legal avenues: If the constitution is being violated, maybe challenging the President’s actions in court. But if the judiciary isn’t independent, that might not work.

7. Public mobilization: Organizing peaceful protests or campaigns to demand change. But this could lead to crackdowns, so safety is a concern.

Possible steps could be:

– Building coalitions among federal member states to present a united front against unilateral decisions.

– Engaging international mediators to facilitate dialogue between the federal government and states.

– Supporting independent media and civil society to document and expose corruption and abuses.

– Lobbying for international actors to tie aid to governance reforms and anti-corruption measures.

– Working within the legal framework, if possible, to challenge unconstitutional actions.

But also, ensuring that any actions taken are peaceful and within the law to avoid escalation.

Another angle is electoral reform. If the President is pushing for one person one vote without proper consultation, maybe advocating for a more inclusive process that involves all stakeholders to ensure the elections are free and fair. This could prevent the consolidation of power.

Additionally, addressing corruption might require both top-down and bottom-up approaches. For example, creating transparency in government contracts, public financial management reforms, and citizen oversight committees.

But in a situation where the administration is resistant, these steps might face pushback. So maybe starting with smaller, achievable goals to build momentum.

Also, considering the role of parliament. If the legislative branch is co-opted, maybe working with opposition members or those willing to push back against executive overreach.

In summary, the answer should outline a combination of domestic efforts (strengthening institutions, civil society, legal challenges, federal-state dialogue) and international engagement (pressure, conditional aid, mediation). It’s important to emphasize peaceful, inclusive, and legal methods to avoid further instability.

Addressing the challenges posed by the current Somali administration requires a multifaceted approach that combines domestic resilience and international engagement. Here’s a structured strategy to handle the situation:

1. Strengthening Domestic Institutions and Accountability

  • Independent Anti-Corruption Mechanisms: Advocate for the establishment or reinforcement of an independent anti-corruption commission, possibly with international oversight, to investigate and prosecute corruption cases. Transparency in public finances and contracts is crucial.
  • Judicial Independence: Support legal reforms and training for judges to ensure judiciary autonomy. International legal bodies or NGOs could provide technical assistance and monitor judicial processes.

2. Inclusive Electoral Reforms

  • Federal-State Dialogue: Encourage a nationally inclusive dialogue involving federal member states, civil society, and opposition groups to agree on credible electoral frameworks. Regional organizations like the African Union (AU) or IGAD could mediate.
  • One Person One Vote (1P1V) with Safeguards: While 1P1V is a democratic ideal, ensure its implementation includes checks (e.g., independent electoral commissions, international observers) to prevent manipulation.

3. Empowering Civil Society and Media

  • Protect Civic Space: Provide training and resources to journalists and activists to safely expose abuses. International donors could fund platforms for citizen reporting and whistleblower protections.
  • Public Awareness Campaigns: Use radio, social media, and community networks to educate citizens on their rights and hold leaders accountable.

4. Coalition-Building and Federalism

  • Unite Federal Member States: Strengthen collaboration among federal states to form a united front against unilateral decisions. This could involve joint statements or coordinated negotiations with Mogadishu.
  • Decentralization Advocacy: Push for constitutional adherence to power-sharing, ensuring states retain autonomy over local governance and resources.

5. International Pressure and Support

  • Conditional Aid and Sanctions: Lobby international partners (e.g., EU, UN, US) to tie financial aid to governance reforms, anti-corruption progress, and inclusive elections. Targeted sanctions on corrupt officials may deter abuses.
  • Diplomatic Mediation: Engage the AU, UN, or regional actors to facilitate dialogue between the federal government and stakeholders, ensuring compliance with Somalia’s provisional constitution.

6. Legal and Peaceful Resistance

  • Constitutional Challenges: Oppose unilateral actions through legal avenues, such as petitions to Somalia’s courts or regional human rights bodies, if domestic systems are unresponsive.
  • Peaceful Mobilization: Organize nonviolent protests, strikes, or advocacy campaigns, ensuring coordination with security stakeholders to minimize risks.

7. Long-Term Structural Reforms

  • Public Financial Management: Implement transparent budgeting and procurement systems, with citizen oversight committees.
  • Civic Education: Invest in programs to build political literacy, fostering a populace that demands accountability.

Conclusion

Sustainable change requires patience and collaboration. Prioritize incremental gains—such as small anti-corruption wins or localized dialogues—to build momentum. Balancing internal grassroots efforts with strategic international partnerships can create pressure for reform while minimizing instability. The goal is to restore trust in governance through inclusivity, transparency, and adherence to the rule of law.

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US airstrikes against ISIS in the caves of Puntland/Somalia

The United States has conducted airstrikes against ISIS (Islamic State of Iraq and Syria), targeting various regions, including Somalia, as part of its broader counterterrorism efforts. In Somalia, ISIS has a limited presence compared to al-Shabaab, which is the dominant militant group in the country. However, ISIS-affiliated fighters have established a foothold in the Puntland region, particularly in remote areas such as the Golis Mountains, where they have used caves and other natural terrain for cover. The claim that leaders of ISIS/Puntland have been killed last night’s US targeted strikes is unverified.

Key Points About US Airstrikes in Puntland/Somalia:
Targeting ISIS in Somalia: The U.S. has carried out airstrikes against ISIS-Somalia, a faction that broke away from al-Shabaab in 2015. This group is primarily active in Puntland, a semi-autonomous region in northeastern Somalia.

Caves and Remote Areas: ISIS militants in Puntland have reportedly used caves and rugged mountain terrain to hide, train, and plan operations. The U.S. has targeted these locations to disrupt their activities and degrade their capabilities.

U.S. Military Presence: The U.S. maintains a small military presence in Somalia, including advisors and special operations forces, to support Somali forces and conduct counterterrorism operations. Airstrikes are often carried out by drones or manned aircraft.

Legal Authority: These airstrikes are conducted under the 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF), which allows the U.S. to target terrorist groups globally. The U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) typically oversees these operations.

Recent Operations: In recent years, the U.S. has conducted several airstrikes targeting ISIS in Puntland. For example, in 2023, AFRICOM reported strikes that killed ISIS militants and destroyed their infrastructure in the region.

Impact on ISIS: While the U.S. airstrikes have weakened ISIS in Somalia, the group remains a threat due to its ability to recruit and operate in remote areas. The ongoing instability in Somalia provides a conducive environment for such groups to thrive.

Challenges:
Terrain: The mountainous and cave-ridden terrain of Puntland makes it difficult to locate and eliminate ISIS militants completely.

Civilian Concerns: Airstrikes in populated or remote areas carry the risk of civilian casualties, which can fuel local resentment and complicate counterterrorism efforts.

Al-Shabaab Dominance: Al-Shabaab remains the primary security threat in Somalia, and resources diverted to combat ISIS may impact efforts against the larger group.

The U.S. continues to work with Somali forces and international partners to address the threat posed by both ISIS and al-Shabaab in the region.