The State of the Somali Union
President Deni of Puntland State is getting ready to clear pockets of extremist ISIS in remote locations of Puntland State. There is potential that ASIS may hook up with Houthis across the Red Sea.
Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is trying to tople Ahmed Madoobe of Jubaland State, causing an outrage of the people of Somalia, who fear renewed destabilibization and civil war.
Hamse Abdi Barre is conflicted between loyalty to his boss, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, and the disappointment of his constituency for his exceptional poor performance as prime minister.
Ahmed Madoobe is engaged in self-defence against Mohamud’s aggressive provocation in Jubaland. He has no time and appetite for fighting against Al-Shabab in Jubaland at the moment, until Kismayo’s dust in this confrontation settles.
Laftegaren of Southwest State is in a dilemma whether or not to trust Ethiopian forces nearby to help him in holding elections against the dictates of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud not to do.
Qoor Qoor of Galmudugh State feels the pressure of personal security and political threats from both Mahad Salad, the former NISA Director, in Dusamareeb, Galgaduud Region, and Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. Mahad Salad intends to dislodge Qoor Qoor with the support of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud.
Guudlaawe of Hirshabeelle State finds himself in the crossfire between Hawaadle and Abgaal clans in his own state with swathes of it still under the control of Al-Shabab and his Hawaadle opponents in the Hiiraan Region. Mostly, he is based in Mogadishu, not in his state for lack of operating infrastructure and his own safety.
Abdirahman Cirro has defeated soundly Muse Bihi in a landslide presidential election in the self-declared state of Somaliland recently. MOU with Ethiopia signed in January this year by Bihi and Abyi, and inter-clan tensions in the city of Erigavo will give sleepless nights to the new president-elect Cirro.