POLITICAL, GOVERNANCE AND SECURITY STALEMATE IN SOMALIA

Do you notice any movement in the topics mentioned above? The indirect elections in Puntland State have been completed. However, there has been no progress in the promised democratization process by the President-elect. Reports suggest that the President has not been present at his office since his re-election in January 2024. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and SFR Speaker of Parliament, Aden Madoobe, are tampering with the Federal Constitution in their efforts to recreate a “City-State”, which was the source of Somalia’s Civil War that has been ongoing for over two decades. Despite President HSM growing his beard and changing his hairstyle to symbolize the fight against extremists in rural areas, AL SHABAB is more assertive than ever. Even armed foreign guests are susceptible to its pervasive influence, not just in Mogadishu. There is no significant activity in other FMS after the Puntland elections. Leaders of these states, whose terms in office are ending, are trying to replicate Puntland’s successful experiment of re-electing a regional leader like Puntland President Said A Deni. In their quest for political survival, some of them may face public rejection and violent opposition, leading to further insurgency and destabilization in their respective regions. All signs point to an ungovernable Somalia under the leadership of Federal President HSM. Meanwhile, Somalis tend to rely on wishful thinking, hoping that things will improve without putting in the hard work needed to enhance their chances of survival as a functional country. Consequently, each new leader’s appointment only creates more wishful thinkers among the general public and apparent ruling elites, hoping to align with the new regime and enjoy the “honeymoon” period. It is a vicious cycle that is difficult to break free from. Do not expect personal or national achievements without investing effort and time into them. Abandon the culture of wishful thinking.